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Valencia vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-70
19-14 23-23 21-17 26-16
Position#2
Record15-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game97.1
Allowed / game86.9
vs
Position#15
Record8-13
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game83.0
SpainACBRound 22· Font de Sant Lluis
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Valencia v Bilbao
10 Jan 2027
VAL v BIL
upcoming
03 Jun 2026
VAL83
BIL80
17 May 2026
VAL88
BIL83
08 Mar 2025
VAL89
BIL70
03 Dec 2023
VAL79
BIL85
22 Apr 2023
VAL95
BIL88
20 Nov 2021
VAL100
BIL84
25 Apr 2021
VAL99
BIL90
11 Mar 2018
VAL87
BIL67
03 Dec 2016
VAL83
BIL61
31 Jan 2016
VAL85
BIL49
30 May 2015
VAL76
BIL80
16 May 2015
VAL73
BIL78
03 May 2014
VAL83
BIL71
29 Jan 2013
VAL60
BIL61
06 Jan 2013
VAL113
BIL111
22 Apr 2012
VAL66
BIL63
20 May 2011
VAL72
BIL79
30 Jan 2011
VAL68
BIL54
10 Apr 2010
VAL83
BIL75
11 Apr 2009
VAL80
BIL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#18
W
96-91
96
91
+5
98avg 87
A14/01
Eurocup
Unicaja
#4
L
86-94
86
94
-8
82avg 87
A18/01
ACB
Aris
#19
W
106-65
106
65
+41
110avg 87
H22/01
Eurocup
Manresa
#9
W
112-96
112
96
+16
109avg 87
H25/01
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
W
72-66
72
66
+6
65avg 87
A28/01
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
78avg 87
A01/02
ACB
JL Bourg
#12
W
100-98
100
98
+2
99avg 87
H05/02
Eurocup
Barcelona
#5
L
86-100
86
100
-14
77avg 87
H09/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
65-79
65
79
-14
no box
A14/02
Spanish Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
115-71
115
71
+44
123avg 87
A01/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-21
24-25
21-28
23-17
20-18
26-20
23-25
17-31
28-16
27-17
27-18
24-14
28-23
26-29
33-22
25-22
21-20
10-12
17-17
24-17
10-26
16-18
28-23
30-19
18-27
32-27
22-22
28-22
19-25
18-27
28-30
21-18
15-19
16-21
20-25
14-14
29-20
34-20
26-19
26-12
176.8Avg total
92.2Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)97.186.9184.0+10.271%
Season at home (10)98.885.5184.3+13.390%
Season away (11)95.688.2183.8+7.555%
Last 10 (10)92.284.6176.8+7.660%
Last 5 (5)90.086.8176.8+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)85.084.0169.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)98.585.9184.4+12.675%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
L
81-86
81
86
-5
77avg 76
H11/01
ACB
Sassari
#11
W
77-60
77
60
+17
71avg 76
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
L
84-97
84
97
-13
74avg 76
A19/01
ACB
Breogan
#13
L
71-76
71
76
-5
59avg 76
A25/01
ACB
Cholet
#1
L
75-82
75
82
-7
65avg 76
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#16
W
91-75
91
75
+16
84avg 76
H02/02
ACB
Le Portel
#24
W
78-74
78
74
+4
82avg 76
A04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#9
L
74-89
74
89
-15
68avg 76
A08/02
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
96-83
96
83
+13
88avg 76
H02/03
ACB
Tofas
#4
W
84-72
84
72
+12
79avg 76
H05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
14-19
16-23
28-16
20-14
21-19
18-14
18-13
25-17
17-25
19-32
23-23
15-12
22-14
16-26
18-24
18-20
19-20
21-18
17-24
28-20
20-21
20-17
23-17
18-19
20-14
15-17
25-24
23-28
11-16
24-25
16-20
26-22
19-24
28-19
23-18
26-14
21-21
18-15
19-22
160.5Avg total
81.1Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)82.183.0165.1-0.938%
Season at home (10)85.580.9166.4+4.660%
Season away (11)79.084.9163.9-5.918%
Last 10 (10)81.179.4160.5+1.750%
Last 5 (5)84.678.6163.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)83.389.0172.3-5.717%
vs Similar (12)80.682.0162.6-1.442%
vs Weaker (12)84.868.7153.5+16.292%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
ValenciaBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#18
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A14/01
Eurocup
Unicaja
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A18/01
ACB
Aris
#19
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H22/01
Eurocup
Manresa
#9
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H25/01
ACB
Cedevita Olimpija
#7
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A28/01
Eurocup
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A01/02
ACB
JL Bourg
#12
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H05/02
Eurocup
Barcelona
#5
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H09/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#4
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A14/02
Spanish Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
63-40
63
40
+23
A01/03
ACB
87.6Avg total
44.5Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.042.390.3+5.773%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.742.194.8+10.580%-
Last 30 away (15)43.442.585.9+0.967%-
Last 10 (10)44.543.187.6+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.446.087.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)40.030.070.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)48.942.891.8+6.175%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H11/01
ACB
Sassari
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H15/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A19/01
ACB
Breogan
#13
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A25/01
ACB
Cholet
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A29/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#16
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H02/02
ACB
Le Portel
#24
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#9
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A08/02
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H02/03
ACB
Tofas
#4
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H05/03
FIBA Europe Cup
79.3Avg total
40.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.336.878.2+4.570%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.438.682.1+4.871%-
Last 30 away (16)39.535.274.8+4.269%-
Last 10 (10)40.638.779.3+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.882.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)42.243.085.2-0.850%-
vs Similar (12)38.838.877.6+0.150%-
vs Weaker (12)43.431.875.2+11.6100%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 96.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.620.3
60.4%
54.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.713.8
42.2%
35.6%41.4
🏀 Free throws19.114.9
78.0%
76.4%14.9
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.416.5
49.4%
54.0%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.8
34.3%
35.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.318.1
77.7%
76.4%18.1
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLLWLWWWLW
Bilbao
WWLWWLLLWL
#2
League position
#15
+15.2
Net rating
+2.6
122.8
Offensive rating
111.0
107.6
Defensive rating
108.4
61.8%
Effective FG%
50.3%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
19.2%
Turnover %
16.0%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.38
42.2%
3-point %
34.3%
68.0%
Assist %
68.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence122.8 · 111.0Defence107.6 · 108.4Shooting61.8% · 50.3%3-point %42.2% · 34.3%Ball care19.2% · 16.0%Off. rebounds32.7% · 31.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Valencia   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Valencia wins
4
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
27/10/24Bilbao v Valencia98-103
11/02/24Bilbao v Valencia93-78
03/12/23Valencia v Bilbao79-85
22/04/23Valencia v Bilbao95-88
09/10/22Bilbao v Valencia71-65
09/04/22Bilbao v Valencia84-78
20/11/21Valencia v Bilbao100-84
25/04/21Valencia v Bilbao99-90
09/01/21Bilbao v Valencia73-106
11/03/18Valencia v Bilbao87-67
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ABasket Zaragoza115-71
14/02/25AGran Canaria65-79
09/02/25HBarcelona86-100
05/02/25HJL Bourg100-98
01/02/25AMoraBanc Andorra84-86
28/01/25ACedevita Olimpija72-66
25/01/25HManresa112-96
22/01/25HAris106-65
18/01/25AUnicaja86-94
14/01/25ALietkabelis96-91
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HTofas84-72
02/03/25HBasquet Girona96-83
08/02/25AManresa74-89
04/02/25ALe Portel78-74
02/02/25HForca Lleida91-75
29/01/25ACholet75-82
25/01/25ABreogan71-76
19/01/25ABarcelona84-97
15/01/25HSassari77-60
11/01/25HUnicaja81-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW71%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayLWLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %71%90%55%
Points / game97.198.895.6
Allowed / game86.985.588.2
Point differential+10.2+13.3+7.5
Avg total184.0184.3183.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%70%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
ACB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW38%
HomeWWLWW60%
AwayWLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%60%18%
Points / game82.185.579.0
Allowed / game83.080.984.9
Point differential-0.9+4.6-5.9
Avg total165.1166.4163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2117481%87.576.6+10.9
2 Unicaja2116576%88.883.0+5.8
3 Tenerife2116576%87.082.1+4.9
4 Valencia2115671%97.186.9+10.2
5 Joventut Badalona2113862%85.282.8+2.4
6 Barcelona2112957%90.485.9+4.5
7 Manresa2112957%87.383.8+3.5
8 Gran Canaria21111052%82.181.8+0.3
9 Basket Zaragoza21101148%89.890.0-0.3
10 Baskonia21101148%86.587.3-0.9
11 Murcia21101148%81.482.2-0.9
12 Bilbao2181338%82.183.0-0.9
13 MoraBanc Andorra2181338%87.190.5-3.4
14 Breogan2181338%77.385.9-8.6
15 Forca Lleida2161529%83.087.9-4.9
16 Granada2161529%80.185.9-5.8
17 Basquet Girona2161529%80.188.8-8.6
18 Leyma Coruna2151624%84.793.0-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia1923212689
Bilbao1423171670
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