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Varese vs Brindisi Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 76-74
24-24 11-19 24-20 17-11
Position#12
Record4-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game88.9
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#3
Record12-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game79.4
ItalyLega ARound 15
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Varese v Brindisi
10 Mar 2024
VAR81
BRI73
19 Apr 2023
VAR93
BRI86
07 Nov 2021
VAR71
BRI84
04 Feb 2021
VAR76
BRI74
27 Oct 2019
VAR102
BRI78
25 Nov 2018
VAR85
BRI67
29 Apr 2018
VAR69
BRI65
23 Oct 2016
VAR91
BRI81
20 Mar 2016
VAR80
BRI69
28 Mar 2015
VAR82
BRI93
17 Nov 2013
VAR71
BRI85
20 Jan 2013
VAR83
BRI71
14 Nov 2010
VAR73
BRI60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
82-104
82
104
-22
73avg 70
A01/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
78-85
78
85
-7
66avg 70
A08/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#16
W
98-88
98
88
+10
96avg 70
H15/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
77-74
77
74
+3
74avg 70
A22/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
70-96
70
96
-26
52avg 70
H06/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
76-89
76
89
-13
69avg 70
H13/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
66avg 70
A20/12
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
79-80
79
80
-1
68avg 70
H27/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
83-108
83
108
-25
72avg 70
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
82-97
82
97
-15
73avg 70
A31/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-36
14-31
26-17
24-20
21-16
18-18
18-27
21-24
20-17
28-16
23-28
27-27
14-21
20-15
25-21
18-17
18-20
14-35
18-22
20-19
12-14
23-19
8-24
33-32
23-27
25-19
14-18
15-22
29-16
16-14
8-28
26-22
20-28
27-26
17-17
19-37
24-27
18-21
24-23
16-26
170.9Avg total
80.2Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.388.9169.2-8.727%
Season at home (7)81.488.1169.6-6.729%
Season away (8)79.289.6168.9-10.425%
Last 10 (10)80.290.7170.9-10.520%
Last 5 (5)79.492.0171.4-12.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.093.4173.4-13.410%
vs Similar (11)80.988.5169.5-7.627%
vs Weaker (9)85.178.9164.0+6.267%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Oostende
#30
W
92-80
92
80
+12
79avg 79
A09/12
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
88-82
88
82
+6
82avg 79
A13/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
81-92
81
92
-11
68avg 79
H19/12
Lega A
Oostende
#30
W
93-81
93
81
+12
83avg 79
H22/12
Champions League
Cremona
#9
L
94-96
94
96
-2
81avg 79
A27/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 79
H03/01
Lega A
Darussafaka
#33
W
87-83
87
83
+4
82avg 79
A13/01
Champions League
Venezia
#4
L
77-89
77
89
-12
64avg 79
H17/01
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
86-90
86
90
-4
78avg 79
H27/01
Champions League
Reggiana
#13
W
79-70
79
70
+9
72avg 79
H01/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
30-18
17-22
17-22
21-18
15-22
27-17
25-25
21-27
15-23
24-26
21-16
24-20
24-24
18-16
27-21
29-21
16-24
29-30
20-21
19-16
16-28
15-13
24-16
19-27
20-13
18-23
30-20
21-25
15-9
18-33
23-22
23-20
12-21
27-25
24-24
18-13
17-19
26-16
18-22
168.7Avg total
85.1Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.479.4164.8+6.175%
Season at home (9)84.676.7161.2+7.978%
Season away (7)86.682.9169.4+3.771%
Last 10 (10)85.183.6168.7+1.560%
Last 5 (5)80.681.0161.6-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.591.5170.0-13.00%
vs Similar (8)87.584.1171.6+3.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.877.3164.1+9.580%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
VareseBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
32-67
32
67
-35
A01/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#16
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H15/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A22/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
32-55
32
55
-23
H06/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H13/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A20/12
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H27/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A31/01
Lega A
83.8Avg total
40.2Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.144.785.8-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.643.785.4-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)40.645.686.1-5.025%-
Last 10 (10)40.243.683.8-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.442.285.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)41.051.992.9-10.920%-
vs Similar (11)39.941.881.7-1.927%-
vs Weaker (9)42.640.282.8+2.356%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#30
W
58-36
58
36
+22
A09/12
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A13/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H19/12
Lega A
Oostende
#30
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H22/12
Champions League
Cremona
#9
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A27/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H03/01
Lega A
Darussafaka
#33
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A13/01
Champions League
Venezia
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H17/01
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H27/01
Champions League
Reggiana
#13
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H01/02
Lega A
80.9Avg total
40.3Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.682.1+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.539.880.3+0.769%-
Last 30 away (14)44.639.484.1+5.264%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.680.9-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.038.274.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.045.085.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (8)44.040.484.4+3.675%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.038.880.8+3.270%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.416.0
49.4%
51.2%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.810.8
32.9%
35.9%32.4
🏀 Free throws19.714.8
75.1%
75.8%14.8
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.3
48.5%
51.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.9
36.3%
35.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws23.918.2
76.2%
75.8%18.2
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLLLLLWWLL
Brindisi
WLLWWLWLWW
#12
League position
#3
-14.7
Net rating
+2.8
106.6
Offensive rating
112.8
121.3
Defensive rating
110.0
49.4%
Effective FG%
51.0%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
16.4%
Turnover %
14.5%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.9%
3-point %
36.3%
56.0%
Assist %
52.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 112.8Defence121.3 · 110.0Shooting49.4% · 51.0%3-point %32.9% · 36.3%Ball care16.4% · 14.5%Off. rebounds30.7% · 29.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Varese   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
5
Brindisi wins
DateGameScore
27/10/19Varese v Brindisi102-78
24/03/19Brindisi v Varese81-77
25/11/18Varese v Brindisi85-67
29/04/18Varese v Brindisi69-65
02/01/18Brindisi v Varese95-90 OT
12/02/17Brindisi v Varese80-58
23/10/16Varese v Brindisi91-81 OT
20/03/16Varese v Brindisi80-69
29/11/15Brindisi v Varese80-74
28/03/15Varese v Brindisi82-93
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/21ACantu82-97
27/01/21ATrieste83-108
27/12/20HTreviso79-80
20/12/20AVenezia77-86
13/12/20HReggiana76-89
06/12/20HOlimpia Milano70-96
22/11/20ATrento77-74
15/11/20HVirtus Roma98-88
08/11/20APesaro78-85
01/11/20ASassari82-104
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/21HReggiana79-70
27/01/21HSan Pablo Burgos86-90
17/01/21HVenezia77-89
13/01/21ADarussafaka87-83
03/01/21HTrento74-73
27/12/20ACremona94-96
22/12/20HOostende93-81
19/12/20HPesaro81-92
13/12/20AOlimpia Milano88-82
09/12/20AOostende92-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeLWLLL29%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %27%29%25%
Points / game80.381.479.2
Allowed / game88.988.189.6
Point differential-8.7-6.7-10.4
Avg total169.2169.6168.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Brindisi
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW75%
HomeWLWLW78%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %75%78%71%
Points / game85.484.686.6
Allowed / game79.476.782.9
Point differential+6.1+7.9+3.7
Avg total164.8161.2169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%44%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1816289%88.675.1+13.5
2 Brindisi1612475%85.479.4+6.1
3 Sassari1712571%91.585.4+6.1
4 Venezia1812667%80.676.6+4.0
5 Virtus Bologna1711665%85.478.1+7.4
6 Trieste179853%80.879.5+1.4
7 Pesaro189950%83.182.3+0.8
8 Treviso178947%84.488.8-4.5
9 Reggiana1771041%76.280.1-3.9
10 Fortitudo Bologna1661038%78.881.4-2.6
11 Trento1761135%77.479.9-2.6
12 Cremona1761135%83.086.3-3.3
13 Brescia1761135%80.784.2-3.5
14 Cantu1861233%79.484.4-5.0
15 Varese1541127%80.388.9-8.7
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2411241776
Brindisi2419201174
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