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Tofas vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 103-104
28-24 23-26 15-23 37-31
Position#4
Record2-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#2
Record5-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game69.8
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 6
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Tofas v Fenerbahce
05 Mar 2027
TOF v FEN
upcoming
27 Sep 2025
TOF80
FEN78
13 Apr 2025
TOF88
FEN89
05 Nov 2023
TOF86
FEN95
31 May 2023
TOF87
FEN98
26 Mar 2023
TOF94
FEN89
16 Apr 2022
TOF78
FEN82
15 Feb 2022
TOF88
FEN93
31 Oct 2020
TOF103
FEN104
17 Nov 2019
TOF76
FEN82
25 Nov 2018
TOF69
FEN74
11 Jun 2018
TOF77
FEN95
09 Jun 2018
TOF91
FEN88
17 Dec 2017
TOF71
FEN88
26 May 2017
TOF73
FEN79
04 Dec 2016
TOF81
FEN72
03 Oct 2014
TOF76
FEN79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#4
L
81-98
81
98
-17
A11/02
Turkish Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#14
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H26/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#4
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A29/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#9
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
23-30
17-18
17-25
17-18
20-13
23-17
17-28
20-20
15-18
19-15
21-27
22-13
23-23
19-18
15-17
20-19
17-25
17-22
21-18
14-22
14-26
25-18
20-18
25-16
25-28
27-18
17-23
26-18
24-17
23-17
16-23
19-30
18-24
21-14
20-20
27-22
15-18
14-21
14-22
161.5Avg total
79.1Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.883.0163.8-2.240%
Season at home (2)86.086.5172.5-0.550%
Season away (3)77.380.7158.0-3.333%
Last 10 (10)79.182.4161.5-3.340%
Last 5 (5)80.883.0163.8-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)83.085.5168.5-2.550%
vs Similar (5)72.680.2152.8-7.60%
vs Weaker (22)88.777.8166.5+10.973%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H02/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#5
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A08/10
Euroleague
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
113-74
113
74
+39
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
H14/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H16/10
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#8
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#16
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A22/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
W
93-70
93
70
+23
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A29/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
18-10
15-11
20-22
27-14
27-22
11-17
18-21
16-23
26-12
19-19
19-17
39-24
21-17
32-10
21-23
10-12
21-20
20-17
18-20
28-9
17-16
13-23
13-27
24-12
17-16
12-6
12-25
13-22
17-15
26-25
12-20
29-17
22-22
21-15
21-16
18-22
17-16
21-16
19-11
151.3Avg total
80.2Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.869.8161.6+22.0100%
Season at home (3)103.772.0175.7+31.7100%
Season away (2)74.066.5140.5+7.5100%
Last 10 (10)80.271.1151.3+9.170%
Last 5 (5)74.470.2144.6+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.074.0144.0-4.025%
vs Similar (7)77.173.0150.1+4.171%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.372.7158.0+12.789%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -2.9-2.9
TofasFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#4
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A11/02
Turkish Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H26/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A29/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#9
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A24/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
83.3Avg total
40.8Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.782.0+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.340.686.9+5.764%-
Last 30 away (16)38.938.977.8+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.842.583.3-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.444.285.6-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)42.550.092.5-7.550%-
vs Similar (5)35.041.276.2-6.220%-
vs Weaker (22)43.837.781.5+6.168%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H02/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#5
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A08/10
Euroleague
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H14/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H16/10
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#8
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#16
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A22/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A29/10
Euroleague
77.2Avg total
43.1Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.734.476.1+7.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.433.578.9+11.987%-
Last 30 away (15)38.035.373.3+2.747%-
Last 10 (10)43.134.177.2+9.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.433.473.8+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.034.267.2-1.225%-
vs Similar (7)39.333.773.0+5.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.334.879.2+9.572%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.123.2
55.1%
53.2%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.98.3
37.9%
36.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.912.9
76.3%
74.6%12.9
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.2
53.6%
53.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.69.7
42.9%
36.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws15.412.5
81.2%
74.6%12.5
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LLWWLLWLWL
Fenerbahce
WWLWLLWWWW
#4
League position
#2
-1.6
Net rating
+16.9
111.6
Offensive rating
114.2
113.2
Defensive rating
97.4
55.7%
Effective FG%
57.6%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
15.0%
Turnover %
18.7%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.9%
3-point %
42.9%
61.9%
Assist %
65.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 114.2Defence113.2 · 97.4Shooting55.7% · 57.6%3-point %37.9% · 42.9%Ball care15.0% · 18.7%Off. rebounds23.9% · 28.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Tofas   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tofas wins
9
Fenerbahce wins
DateGameScore
15/03/20Fenerbahce v Tofas84-75
17/11/19Tofas v Fenerbahce76-82
24/03/19Fenerbahce v Tofas89-56
25/11/18Tofas v Fenerbahce69-74
13/06/18Fenerbahce v Tofas94-64
11/06/18Tofas v Fenerbahce77-95
09/06/18Tofas v Fenerbahce91-88
07/06/18Fenerbahce v Tofas86-78
05/06/18Fenerbahce v Tofas103-63
02/05/18Fenerbahce v Tofas98-78
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/20ABursaspor70-83
17/10/20HKarsiyaka78-88
11/10/20AAfyon Belediye89-75
03/10/20HBuyukcekmece94-85
27/09/20ABahcesehir Kol.73-84
15/03/20AFenerbahce75-84
08/03/20HAfyon Belediye79-71
29/02/20AGalatasaray75-80
26/02/20HBahcesehir Kol.77-76
11/02/20AGalatasaray81-98
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv75-65
25/10/20HPetkim Spor93-70
22/10/20APanathinaikos68-82
18/10/20AGaziantep65-59
16/10/20HBayern71-75
14/10/20HCSKA Moscow77-78 OT
11/10/20HFethiye Bld.113-74
08/10/20AAnadolu Efes80-71
04/10/20ABesiktas83-74
02/10/20HCrvena zvezda77-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game80.886.077.3
Allowed / game83.086.580.7
Point differential-2.2-0.5-3.3
Avg total163.8172.5158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.8103.774.0
Allowed / game69.872.066.5
Point differential+22.0+31.7+7.5
Avg total161.6175.7140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce550100%91.869.8+22.0
2 Anadolu Efes550100%89.670.0+19.6
3 Karsiyaka54180%84.270.0+14.2
4 Turk Telekom54180%87.682.6+5.0
5 Gaziantep53260%73.672.4+1.2
6 Bahcesehir Kol.63350%82.582.0+0.5
7 Bursaspor63350%82.382.3+0.0
8 Afyon Belediye63350%78.583.0-4.5
9 Tofas52340%80.883.0-2.2
10 Buyukcekmece52340%82.889.8-7.0
11 OGM Ormanspor52340%79.692.2-12.6
12 Petkim Spor62433%83.783.5+0.2
13 Darussafaka62433%83.883.8+0.0
14 Galatasaray62433%79.285.8-6.7
15 Fethiye Bld.51420%72.290.6-18.4
16 Besiktas5050%79.088.2-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas28231537103
Fenerbahce24262331104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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