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Tofas vs Fenerbahce Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 05 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record4-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
3.7/10
Below normal
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game79.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 21· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Tofas v Fenerbahce
05 Mar 2027
TOF v FEN
upcoming
27 Sep 2025
TOF80
FEN78
13 Apr 2025
TOF88
FEN89
05 Nov 2023
TOF86
FEN95
31 May 2023
TOF87
FEN98
26 Mar 2023
TOF94
FEN89
16 Apr 2022
TOF78
FEN82
15 Feb 2022
TOF88
FEN93
31 Oct 2020
TOF103
FEN104
17 Nov 2019
TOF76
FEN82
25 Nov 2018
TOF69
FEN74
11 Jun 2018
TOF77
FEN95
09 Jun 2018
TOF91
FEN88
17 Dec 2017
TOF71
FEN88
26 May 2017
TOF73
FEN79
04 Dec 2016
TOF81
FEN72
03 Oct 2014
TOF76
FEN79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#10
W
90-85
90
85
+5
78avg 78
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
38avg 78
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#2
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
89avg 78
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#5
L
72-74
72
74
-2
67avg 78
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
90-74
90
74
+16
91avg 78
A28/10
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
70avg 78
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Neptunas
#26
W
94-79
94
79
+15
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
no box
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trento
#27
W
96-86
96
86
+10
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#9
W
75-61
75
61
+14
no box
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
30-19
19-20
19-21
19-20
7-15
15-19
30-15
20-29
22-24
24-20
27-20
21-14
19-24
19-14
13-22
22-24
33-14
15-22
20-14
21-25
22-22
16-23
18-18
19-29
24-20
24-10
27-20
21-21
25-17
21-31
26-18
21-24
23-20
23-22
29-20
16-22
20-17
18-12
21-10
166.7Avg total
85.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.582.0162.5-1.550%
Season at home (4)79.077.8156.8+1.250%
Season away (4)82.086.2168.2-4.250%
Last 10 (10)85.980.8166.7+5.170%
Last 5 (5)87.080.2167.2+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)80.086.9166.9-6.914%
vs Similar (10)82.886.1168.9-3.330%
vs Weaker (13)89.584.9174.4+4.577%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#5
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 78
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
W
64-61
64
61
+3
51avg 78
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#10
W
97-72
97
72
+25
98avg 78
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 78
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#5
L
76-95
76
95
-19
64avg 78
A29/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#8
W
88-77
88
77
+11
85avg 78
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
84-65
84
65
+19
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
78-59
78
59
+19
no box
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#14
L
109-111 OT
109
111
-2
no box
A11/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
77-75
77
75
+2
no box
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
21-15
18-19
26-24
8-20
16-14
21-15
19-12
25-16
24-20
25-14
23-22
9-19
16-17
21-24
32-26
24-22
18-25
13-23
21-25
25-21
22-22
23-16
18-18
33-18
19-14
11-9
21-24
23-15
20-21
16-11
19-12
14-23
29-27
29-22
20-20
18-32
17-11
25-11
17-21
161.1Avg total
82.8Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.679.0164.6+6.675%
Season at home (4)81.879.5161.2+2.275%
Season away (4)89.578.5168.0+11.075%
Last 10 (10)82.878.3161.1+4.560%
Last 5 (5)87.277.4164.6+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.587.0155.5-18.50%
vs Similar (16)80.378.2158.5+2.169%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)90.577.0167.5+13.583%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
TofasFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#10
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#13
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#5
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A28/10
Eurocup
Fenerbahce
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Neptunas
#26
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H03/11
Eurocup
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trento
#27
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/11
Eurocup
Trabzonspor
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
85.2Avg total
42.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.544.486.9-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.045.787.7-3.733%-
Last 30 away (15)43.043.086.0+0.040%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.585.2+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.485.8-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.344.185.4-2.929%-
vs Similar (10)40.245.986.1-5.720%-
vs Weaker (13)44.943.388.2+1.654%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#2
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#10
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A29/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H05/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#14
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A11/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
78.9Avg total
39.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.081.3+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.538.278.7+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)42.041.983.9+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.339.678.9-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.884.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.040.073.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (16)37.941.579.4-3.631%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.138.185.2+9.083%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.2
58.1%
54.8%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.9
29.2%
35.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.715.1
76.6%
75.9%15.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.9
58.2%
54.8%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.5
33.1%
35.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.415.9
77.9%
75.9%15.9
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
WWWWLWLLWW
Fenerbahce
WLWWWLLWWL
#8
League position
#3
-1.4
Net rating
+3.1
92.8
Offensive rating
97.9
94.2
Defensive rating
94.8
52.7%
Effective FG%
54.2%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.2%
3-point %
33.1%
59.8%
Assist %
62.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 97.9Defence94.2 · 94.8Shooting52.7% · 54.2%3-point %29.2% · 33.1%Ball care17.6% · 15.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Tofas   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tofas wins
8
Fenerbahce wins
DateGameScore
01/11/26Fenerbahce v Tofas88-77
18/01/26Fenerbahce v Tofas90-82
27/09/25Tofas v Fenerbahce80-78
13/04/25Tofas v Fenerbahce88-89
14/12/24Fenerbahce v Tofas90-88
03/03/24Fenerbahce v Tofas109-77
05/11/23Tofas v Fenerbahce86-95
31/05/23Tofas v Fenerbahce87-98
27/05/23Fenerbahce v Tofas93-78
26/03/23Tofas v Fenerbahce94-89
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTrabzonspor75-61
10/11/26ATrento96-86
08/11/26AAnadolu Efes93-87
03/11/26HNeptunas94-79
01/11/26AFenerbahce77-88
28/10/26ASlask Wroclaw90-74
25/10/26HPetkim Spor72-74
21/10/26ABasket Napoli101-105 OT
17/10/26AKorfez Basket71-69
14/10/26HBuducnost90-85
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HAnadolu Efes77-75
11/11/26AParis109-111 OT
07/11/26ABursaspor78-59
05/11/26HBaskonia84-65
01/11/26HTofas88-77
29/10/26AReal Madrid76-95
27/10/26AValencia78-86
25/10/26AKarsiyaka97-72
23/10/26AOlympiacos64-61
18/10/26HPetkim Spor77-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game80.579.082.0
Allowed / game82.077.886.2
Point differential-1.5+1.2-4.2
Avg total162.5156.8168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game85.681.889.5
Allowed / game79.079.578.5
Point differential+6.6+2.2+11.0
Avg total164.6161.2168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%25%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bahcesehir Kol.87188%92.882.9+9.9
2 Turk Telekom86275%83.675.0+8.6
3 Fenerbahce86275%85.679.0+6.6
4 Anadolu Efes85362%84.679.1+5.5
5 Petkim Spor85362%84.283.6+0.6
6 Galatasaray84450%87.679.8+7.9
7 Besiktas84450%83.184.4-1.2
8 Tofas84450%80.582.0-1.5
9 Trabzonspor84450%80.282.2-2.0
10 Karsiyaka84450%80.582.6-2.1
11 Esenler Erokspor84450%79.685.8-6.1
12 Bordo Bandirma83538%82.485.5-3.1
13 Korfez Basket83538%82.085.2-3.2
14 Cayirova82625%83.989.6-5.8
15 Denizli Basket82625%83.188.9-5.8
16 Bursaspor81712%74.482.6-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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