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Tofas vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 86-95
19-30 23-23 28-21 16-21
Position#11
Record2-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game89.8
vs
Position#1
Record4-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game71.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 6· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Tofas v Fenerbahce
05 Mar 2027
TOF v FEN
upcoming
27 Sep 2025
TOF80
FEN78
13 Apr 2025
TOF88
FEN89
05 Nov 2023
TOF86
FEN95
31 May 2023
TOF87
FEN98
26 Mar 2023
TOF94
FEN89
16 Apr 2022
TOF78
FEN82
15 Feb 2022
TOF88
FEN93
31 Oct 2020
TOF103
FEN104
17 Nov 2019
TOF76
FEN82
25 Nov 2018
TOF69
FEN74
11 Jun 2018
TOF77
FEN95
09 Jun 2018
TOF91
FEN88
17 Dec 2017
TOF71
FEN88
26 May 2017
TOF73
FEN79
04 Dec 2016
TOF81
FEN72
03 Oct 2014
TOF76
FEN79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
W
92-79
92
79
+13
no box
H20/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
78-93
78
93
-15
no box
A27/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
no box
H31/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
104-91
104
91
+13
103avg 75
H30/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
54-69
54
69
-15
48avg 75
A08/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
97-93
97
93
+4
90avg 75
A13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#49
W
104-102 OT
104
102
+2
98avg 75
A18/10
Champions League
Manisa
#6
L
77-89
77
89
-12
69avg 75
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
L
100-107 OT
100
107
-7
no box
A28/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tortona
#8
L
80-88
80
88
-8
75avg 75
H31/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-14
21-23
22-17
19-25
20-28
15-19
20-20
23-26
13-26
25-23
22-21
27-28
23-25
14-24
31-21
36-21
17-15
10-13
6-22
21-19
33-27
26-21
15-24
23-21
28-16
15-19
18-22
30-34
20-22
22-18
14-26
21-23
24-23
28-12
23-34
18-24
16-21
31-22
13-25
20-20
178.2Avg total
87.3Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.489.8176.2-3.440%
Season at home (2)90.590.0180.5+0.550%
Season away (3)83.789.7173.3-6.033%
Last 10 (10)87.390.9178.2-3.640%
Last 5 (5)91.695.8187.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)78.384.3162.7-6.033%
vs Similar (16)85.088.2173.2-3.225%
vs Weaker (8)89.283.2172.5+6.088%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
73avg 77
H06/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
L
79-84
79
84
-5
73avg 77
A09/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#14
L
74-77
74
77
-3
58avg 77
A13/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
113-98
113
98
+15
113avg 77
H15/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#2
W
83-69
83
69
+14
81avg 77
H17/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
101-86
101
86
+15
93avg 77
H19/10
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#5
W
74-62
74
62
+12
71avg 77
A22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#15
W
76-67
76
67
+9
64avg 77
A27/10
Euroleague
Samsunspor
#16
W
83-53
83
53
+30
76avg 77
H29/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
W
79-77
79
77
+2
78avg 77
H02/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
19-12
24-19
14-22
22-20
16-25
15-22
26-17
9-22
24-17
20-19
21-19
34-28
24-16
27-33
28-21
27-9
16-19
24-17
16-24
16-28
26-27
30-15
29-16
22-18
16-17
18-15
18-12
19-20
22-18
14-9
21-20
22-12
11-17
22-12
28-12
29-14
17-19
12-24
21-20
160.2Avg total
84.7Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.871.0159.8+17.880%
Season at home (3)97.069.7166.7+27.3100%
Season away (2)76.573.0149.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)84.775.5160.2+9.280%
Last 5 (5)82.669.0151.6+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.881.2157.0-5.333%
vs Similar (8)88.183.2171.4+4.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.877.0164.8+10.888%
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.9+3.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +3.9+3.9
TofasFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H20/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A27/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H31/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H30/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A08/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A13/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Igokea
#49
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A18/10
Champions League
Manisa
#6
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#7
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A28/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tortona
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H31/10
Champions League
84.2Avg total
43.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.182.3+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.641.283.8+1.460%-
Last 30 away (15)39.940.980.8-1.133%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.184.2+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)48.640.288.8+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.240.578.7-2.333%-
vs Similar (16)44.442.887.2+1.656%-
vs Weaker (8)37.138.075.1-0.938%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H06/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A09/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#14
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A13/10
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H15/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#2
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H17/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H19/10
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A22/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A27/10
Euroleague
Samsunspor
#16
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H29/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H02/11
Euroleague
79.1Avg total
41.0Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.782.5+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.538.583.1+6.076%-
Last 30 away (13)40.641.281.8-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.179.1+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.078.0+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.840.077.8-2.217%-
vs Similar (8)45.539.685.1+5.975%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.439.682.9+3.869%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.4
54.5%
53.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.8
36.4%
36.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.014.2
67.6%
74.7%14.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.5
56.9%
53.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.2
34.2%
36.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.112.8
79.5%
74.7%12.8
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tofas
LLLWWLWLLW
Fenerbahce
WWWWWWWLLW
#11
League position
#1
-2.6
Net rating
+14.3
109.9
Offensive rating
116.2
112.4
Defensive rating
101.9
54.5%
Effective FG%
54.4%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
18.1%
Turnover %
16.2%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.4%
3-point %
34.2%
64.0%
Assist %
59.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 116.2Defence112.4 · 101.9Shooting54.5% · 54.4%3-point %36.4% · 34.2%Ball care18.1% · 16.2%Off. rebounds29.2% · 33.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Tofas   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Tofas wins
8
Fenerbahce wins
DateGameScore
31/05/23Tofas v Fenerbahce87-98
27/05/23Fenerbahce v Tofas93-78
26/03/23Tofas v Fenerbahce94-89
20/11/22Fenerbahce v Tofas82-68
16/04/22Tofas v Fenerbahce78-82
15/02/22Tofas v Fenerbahce88-93 OT
19/12/21Fenerbahce v Tofas82-72
10/02/21Fenerbahce v Tofas81-84
31/10/20Tofas v Fenerbahce103-104
15/03/20Fenerbahce v Tofas84-75
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/23HTortona80-88
28/10/23APetkim Spor100-107 OT
22/10/23HManisa77-89
18/10/23AIgokea104-102 OT
13/10/23AMerkezefendi97-93
08/10/23ABesiktas54-69
30/09/23HSamsunspor104-91
31/05/23HFenerbahce87-98
27/05/23AFenerbahce78-93
20/05/23HBahcesehir Kol.92-79
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/23HOlympiacos79-77
29/10/23HSamsunspor83-53
27/10/23ABayern76-67
22/10/23AGalatasaray74-62
19/10/23HLyon-Villeurbanne101-86
17/10/23HPanathinaikos83-69
15/10/23HBahcesehir Kol.113-98
13/10/23AValencia74-77
09/10/23AKarsiyaka79-84
06/10/23HOlimpia Milano85-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game86.490.583.7
Allowed / game89.890.089.7
Point differential-3.4+0.5-6.0
Avg total176.2180.5173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game88.897.076.5
Allowed / game71.069.773.0
Point differential+17.8+27.3+3.5
Avg total159.8166.7149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes65183%88.881.0+7.8
2 Fenerbahce54180%88.871.0+17.8
3 Petkim Spor54180%85.080.2+4.8
4 Manisa64267%86.077.0+9.0
5 Besiktas64267%74.566.8+7.7
6 Darussafaka64267%76.877.0-0.2
7 Galatasaray63350%80.776.7+4.0
8 Karsiyaka63350%85.283.2+2.0
9 Bursaspor63350%74.375.2-0.8
10 Turk Telekom63350%79.380.3-1.0
11 Tofas52340%86.489.8-3.4
12 Bahcesehir Kol.62433%89.792.5-2.8
13 Buyukcekmece62433%77.782.5-4.8
14 Çağdaş Bodrum Spor62433%72.381.7-9.3
15 Samsunspor61517%73.289.3-16.2
16 Merkezefendi5050%77.891.4-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tofas1923281686
Fenerbahce3023212195
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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