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Murcia vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 75-72
13-14 19-26 24-16 19-16
Position#9
Record-
FormLLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Murcia 🏆
vs
Position#27
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game67.5
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 1
European cup2022
Meetings · Murcia v Tofas
14 Nov 2023
MUR115
TOF89
04 Oct 2022
MUR75
TOF72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
W
86-75
86
75
+11
no box
H10/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
83-93
83
93
-10
65avg 74
A13/04
ACB
Manresa
#6
L
93-103
93
103
-10
76avg 74
A17/04
ACB
Bilbao
#11
L
77-78
77
78
-1
60avg 74
A23/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
98-80
98
80
+18
90avg 74
H01/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
71-83
71
83
-12
60avg 74
H08/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
49avg 74
A11/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
72-77
72
77
-5
61avg 74
H14/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
70-84
70
84
-14
55avg 74
H29/09
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
81-64
81
64
+17
68avg 74
A01/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
17-14
22-26
22-13
22-23
25-26
12-15
24-29
24-36
25-27
15-18
29-22
15-21
21-22
26-14
15-21
18-22
33-17
21-20
26-21
17-23
20-23
26-17
8-20
21-19
16-22
12-27
20-22
17-23
16-12
16-24
23-18
17-22
17-17
17-18
19-27
29-17
12-14
18-14
22-19
162.7Avg total
80.0Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.082.7162.7-2.730%
Last 5 (5)72.679.6152.2-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.290.5169.8-11.20%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.581.4162.9+0.150%
vs Weaker (11)89.383.7173.0+5.545%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#10
W
81-80
81
80
+1
79avg 79
H02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#1
L
77-78
77
78
-1
66avg 79
A06/04
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#7
L
78-79
78
79
-1
70avg 79
A09/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#1
L
73-74
73
74
-1
70avg 79
H12/04
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
76avg 79
H16/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
no box
A24/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#16
W
115-57
115
57
+58
125avg 79
A06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Voluntari
#18
W
68-57
68
57
+11
56avg 79
H23/09
Champions League
Chemnitz
#5
W
82-78
82
78
+4
73avg 79
H25/09
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
92-53
92
53
+39
no box
H01/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
19-24
20-18
18-17
17-31
16-16
24-19
20-12
16-15
19-27
20-16
23-21
16-21
14-22
20-18
23-13
26-21
17-24
20-11
15-26
24-13
16-19
20-20
18-26
36-10
31-15
28-21
20-11
21-15
12-10
14-11
21-21
30-22
20-22
8-21
24-13
23-10
21-11
23-17
25-15
156.1Avg total
83.3Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.067.5142.5+7.5100%
Season at home (2)75.067.5142.5+7.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.372.8156.1+10.550%
Last 5 (5)89.267.0156.2+22.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.080.0160.0+0.050%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.578.0158.5+2.542%
vs Weaker (8)97.272.4169.6+24.988%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.2+3.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +3.2+3.2
MurciaTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H10/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A13/04
ACB
Manresa
#6
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A17/04
ACB
Bilbao
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A23/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H01/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H08/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A11/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H14/05
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H29/09
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A01/10
ACB
82.9Avg total
40.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.782.8+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.738.679.3+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)43.642.786.3+0.940%-
Last 10 (10)40.742.282.9-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.438.474.8-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.845.887.5-4.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.740.880.5-1.143%-
vs Weaker (11)44.539.483.9+5.255%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Besiktas
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H02/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A06/04
Champions League
Karsiyaka
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A09/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tenerife
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H12/04
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H16/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#16
W
67-25
67
25
+42
A06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Voluntari
#18
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H23/09
Champions League
Chemnitz
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H25/09
Champions League
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H01/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
78.7Avg total
41.8Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.081.7+1.740%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.240.382.5+1.941%-
Last 30 away (13)41.139.580.6+1.538%-
Last 10 (10)41.836.978.7+4.950%-
Last 5 (5)46.829.476.2+17.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.544.591.0+2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)38.440.779.1-2.337%-
vs Weaker (8)47.537.585.0+10.038%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.318.7
46.4%
51.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.6
31.7%
35.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.212.8
70.3%
74.3%12.8
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.523.8
56.0%
51.4%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.97.7
36.8%
35.2%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.512.3
74.5%
74.3%12.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WLLLLWLLLW
Tofas
WWWWLLLLLW
#9
League position
#27
-3.6
Net rating
+10.9
104.1
Offensive rating
117.6
107.7
Defensive rating
106.7
46.9%
Effective FG%
55.8%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.9%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.7%
3-point %
36.8%
53.4%
Assist %
60.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 117.6Defence107.7 · 106.7Shooting46.9% · 55.8%3-point %31.7% · 36.8%Ball care16.1% · 15.9%Off. rebounds34.1% · 35.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Murcia   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murcia wins
0
Tofas wins
No previous meetings.
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/22ABasket Zaragoza81-64
29/09/22HBreogan70-84
14/05/22HBasket Zaragoza72-77
11/05/22AReal Madrid69-90
08/05/22HJoventut Badalona71-83
01/05/22HObradoiro CAB98-80
23/04/22ABilbao77-78
17/04/22AManresa93-103
13/04/22ABaskonia83-93
10/04/22HGran Canaria86-75
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/22HBuyukcekmece92-53
25/09/22HChemnitz82-78
23/09/22HVoluntari68-57
06/05/22AAfyon Belediye115-57
24/04/22AGalatasaray89-90 OT
16/04/22HFenerbahce78-82
12/04/22HTenerife73-74
09/04/22AKarsiyaka78-79
06/04/22ATenerife77-78
02/04/22HBesiktas81-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
Champions League 2022
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Tofas
Champions League 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game67.567.5-
Point differential+7.5+7.5-
Avg total142.5142.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ludwigsburg110100%99.058.0+41.0
2 Unicaja220100%102.565.5+37.0
3 Peristeri110100%86.070.0+16.0
4 Benfica440100%85.270.2+15.0
5 Bilbao110100%68.054.0+14.0
6 Tofas220100%75.067.5+7.5
7 Hapoel Holon110100%84.081.0+3.0
8 Karsiyaka110100%91.088.0+3.0
9 Hapoel Jerusalem110100%69.067.0+2.0
10 Chemnitz32167%89.076.3+12.7
11 FMP Beograd32167%83.376.0+7.3
12 Levice32167%77.772.7+5.0
13 Bakken Bears32167%76.382.0-5.7
14 Budivelnyk21150%90.574.0+16.5
15 Voluntari21150%63.564.5-1.0
16 Bamberg21150%85.090.5-5.5
17 Swans Gmunden21150%73.581.5-8.0
18 Den Bosch21150%71.593.5-22.0
19 Darussafaka1010%67.069.0-2.0
20 Parnu1010%80.082.0-2.0
21 AEK Athens1010%88.091.0-3.0
22 Legia1010%81.084.0-3.0
23 Keravnos1010%65.073.0-8.0
24 Kormend1010%70.079.0-9.0
25 Leicester Riders1010%61.070.0-9.0
26 Breogan1010%64.076.0-12.0
27 Siauliai1010%73.085.0-12.0
28 VEF Riga1010%76.089.0-13.0
29 Nymburk1010%54.068.0-14.0
30 Bnei Herzliya1010%70.086.0-16.0
31 Opava1010%76.092.0-16.0
32 TFT Skopje1010%77.096.0-19.0
33 Fribourg Olympic1010%70.093.0-23.0
34 Karhu Basket1010%57.081.0-24.0
35 Golden Eagle Ylli1010%67.092.0-25.0
36 Norrkoping1010%51.087.0-36.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1319241975
Tofas1426161672
← all games of the day
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