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Toledo vs Bowling Green Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position-
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position-
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Toledo v Bowling Green
12 Mar 2026
TOLE77
BOWL76
24 Jan 2026
TOLE73
BOWL72
21 Feb 2025
TOLE68
BOWL69
27 Jan 2024
TOLE88
BOWL72
28 Jan 2023
TOLE91
BOWL77
04 Mar 2022
TOLE96
BOWL56
13 Feb 2021
TOLE81
BOWL88
25 Jan 2020
TOLE79
BOWL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bowling Green win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraurgi SB
#9
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H08/03
Segunda FEB
Bowling Green
#143
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H12/03
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H13/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A15/03
NCAA
Logrono
#24
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A15/03
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H22/03
Segunda FEB
Gijon
#27
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A28/03
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#10
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H05/04
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A12/04
Segunda FEB
Caceres
#13
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H18/04
Segunda FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
19-15
26-15
16-17
0-0
37-38
0-0
40-38
0-0
43-34
0-0
34-33
0-0
42-30
0-0
34-49
17-25
13-15
22-11
15-14
24-19
16-17
10-23
24-16
16-16
23-24
14-20
21-18
17-17
24-19
19-14
15-20
18-19
15-6
20-23
13-16
21-24
22-18
18-14
14-21
146.5Avg total
74.6Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.671.9146.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)72.872.8145.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.878.7153.5-3.833%
vs Similar (13)77.175.8152.9+1.246%
vs Weaker (11)79.570.6150.2+8.973%
Bowling GreenUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#288
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H04/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
54-91
54
91
-37
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
68-52
68
52
+16
A12/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H14/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H18/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H25/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H28/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A12/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
40-27
0-0
37-25
0-0
14-40
0-0
40-51
0-0
38-19
0-0
30-33
0-0
37-35
0-0
43-35
0-0
25-30
0-0
46-48
0-0
30-45
0-0
47-46
0-0
38-41
0-0
41-47
0-0
28-37
0-0
53-25
0-0
28-31
0-0
49-38
0-0
38-37
0-0
38-40
147.0Avg total
74.0Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.073.0147.0+1.050%
Last 5 (5)78.077.4155.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.787.0162.7-11.30%
vs Similar (2)62.586.5149.0-24.00%
vs Weaker (24)79.870.5150.4+9.362%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +3.6+3.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +3.6+3.6
ToledoBowling Green
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraurgi SB
#9
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H08/03
Segunda FEB
Bowling Green
#143
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H12/03
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H13/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A15/03
NCAA
Logrono
#24
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A15/03
Segunda FEB
Moron
#11
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H22/03
Segunda FEB
Gijon
#27
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A28/03
Segunda FEB
Clavijo
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H05/04
Segunda FEB
Cordoba
#5
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A12/04
Segunda FEB
Caceres
#13
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/04
Segunda FEB
74.8Avg total
39.1Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.435.574.0+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.734.273.9+5.587%-
Last 30 away (15)37.236.974.1+0.340%-
Last 10 (10)39.135.774.8+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.875.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.537.376.8+2.250%-
vs Similar (13)36.235.171.3+1.269%-
vs Weaker (11)40.535.175.5+5.464%-
Bowling GreenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ball State
#288
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H04/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
14-40
14
40
-26
A07/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
38-19
38
19
+19
A12/02
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H14/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H18/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A21/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H25/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H28/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A12/03
NCAA
65.8Avg total
31.6Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.534.270.7+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.534.371.8+3.253%-
Last 30 away (13)35.234.069.2+1.246%-
Last 10 (10)31.634.265.8-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)32.438.270.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.347.375.7-19.00%-
vs Similar (2)22.539.061.5-16.50%-
vs Weaker (24)37.332.569.8+4.858%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Toledo wins
3
Bowling Green wins
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/26HCaceres75-77
12/04/26ACordoba66-64
05/04/26HClavijo75-70
28/03/26AGijon74-78
22/03/26HMoron74-75
15/03/26ALogrono67-65
15/03/26AAkron76-79
13/03/26HUMass77-67
12/03/26HBowling Green77-76
08/03/26HIraurgi SB85-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26AToledo76-77
06/03/26AEastern Michigan77-69
28/02/26HUMass81-62
25/02/26HWestern Michigan79-88
21/02/26AMiami (Ohio)77-91
18/02/26HKent State71-78
14/02/26HToledo80-70
12/02/26ANorthern Illinois68-52
07/02/26AArkansas State54-91
04/02/26HBall State77-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Bowling Green
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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