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Toledo vs Jacksonville State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 82-80
34-41 48-39
Position#167
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game77.2
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#92
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game63.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jacksonville State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#307
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A02/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
97-63
97
63
+34
A06/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H09/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H14/03
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A05/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A09/11
NCAA
Wright State
#239
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H14/11
NCAA
Detroit
#340
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A16/11
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
103-78
103
78
+25
H21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-28
35-47
37-33
48-46
54-24
43-39
36-26
50-45
24-28
35-39
29-43
45-41
47-41
43-39
41-33
45-44
36-35
46-32
51-35
52-43
157.5Avg total
83.4Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.077.2164.2+9.880%
Season at home (2)94.577.5172.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)82.077.0159.0+5.067%
Last 10 (10)83.474.1157.5+9.370%
Last 5 (5)87.077.2164.2+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)82.089.8171.8-7.825%
vs Similar (15)78.972.4151.3+6.580%
vs Weaker (11)83.575.5159.0+7.973%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#318
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A24/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H01/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H02/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A09/03
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H13/03
NCAA
La Grange
#640
W
112-48
112
48
+64
H04/11
NCAA
Air Force
#367
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H14/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
71-53
71
53
+18
A17/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-36
50-39
31-37
34-35
23-29
41-37
35-39
38-42
37-33
30-43
–
–
30-22
37-51
31-41
41-26
38-21
33-32
37-39
49-39
144.3Avg total
75.4Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.663.8145.4+17.880%
Season at home (2)92.057.5149.5+34.5100%
Season away (3)74.768.0142.7+6.767%
Last 10 (10)75.468.9144.3+6.550%
Last 5 (5)81.663.8145.4+17.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.262.5124.8-0.250%
vs Similar (11)70.571.5142.0-0.936%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)71.364.5135.8+6.854%
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +1.0+1.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +1.0+1.0
ToledoJacksonville State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#307
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A02/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
54-24
54
24
+30
A06/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H09/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H14/03
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A05/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A09/11
NCAA
Wright State
#239
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H14/11
NCAA
Detroit
#340
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A16/11
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H21/11
NCAA
71.8Avg total
39.2Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.435.272.6+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.633.470.0+3.253%-
Last 30 away (15)38.237.075.2+1.253%-
Last 10 (10)39.232.671.8+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.478.2+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.843.079.8-6.250%-
vs Similar (15)36.633.670.2+3.047%-
vs Weaker (11)38.734.573.3+4.264%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#318
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A24/02
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H01/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#285
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H02/03
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A09/03
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H13/03
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H14/11
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
38-21
38
21
+17
A17/11
NCAA
East Carolina
#144
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A21/11
NCAA
65.1Avg total
32.1Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.130.964.0+2.255%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.329.463.7+4.967%-
Last 30 away (14)31.932.564.4-0.643%-
Last 10 (9)32.133.065.1-0.933%-
Last 5 (5)34.631.265.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.029.257.2-1.250%-
vs Similar (11)33.733.367.0+0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)31.129.260.3+1.858%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toledo wins
0
Jacksonville State wins
No previous meetings.
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24HStetson103-78
16/11/24ADetroit82-67
14/11/24HWright State86-77
09/11/24AMarshall90-80
05/11/24ATroy74-84
14/03/24HKent State59-67
09/03/24HKent State86-71
06/03/24AMiami (Ohio)97-63
02/03/24ABuffalo85-79
28/02/24HNorthern Illinois72-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/24AEast Carolina86-78
17/11/24ACoastal Carolina71-53
14/11/24HGeorgia State72-67
08/11/24AAir Force67-73
04/11/24HLa Grange112-48
13/03/24HFlorida International67-76
09/03/24ASam Houston St.73-81
02/03/24HNew Mexico State64-66
01/03/24HUTEP65-72
24/02/24AFlorida International77-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game87.094.582.0
Allowed / game77.277.577.0
Point differential+9.8+17.0+5.0
Avg total164.2172.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jacksonville State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game81.692.074.7
Allowed / game63.857.568.0
Point differential+17.8+34.5+6.7
Avg total145.4149.5142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toledo54180%87.077.2+9.8
2 Kent State43175%75.067.8+7.2
3 Central Michigan53260%72.866.8+6.0
4 Eastern Michigan53260%66.465.6+0.8
5 Miami (Ohio)42250%75.077.0-2.0
6 Bowling Green52340%81.673.0+8.6
7 Northern Illinois52340%71.466.8+4.6
8 Buffalo52340%75.682.2-6.6
9 Western Michigan62433%72.569.8+2.7
10 Akron31233%77.074.7+2.3
11 Ohio62433%78.583.2-4.7
12 UMass41325%77.275.0+2.2
13 Ball State51420%73.074.4-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech440100%87.565.0+22.5
2 Middle Tenn. St.65183%83.571.2+12.3
3 Kennesaw State54180%91.470.6+20.8
4 Jacksonville State54180%81.663.8+17.8
5 Liberty54180%74.459.2+15.2
6 UTEP43175%79.869.5+10.2
7 Missouri State43175%86.076.8+9.2
8 New Mexico State43175%76.069.0+7.0
9 Western Kentucky53260%81.072.8+8.2
10 Sam Houston St.53260%84.681.4+3.2
11 Delaware42250%75.576.2-0.8
12 Florida International51420%76.669.4+7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo344882
Jacksonville State413980
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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