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Toledo vs Stetson Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 103-78
51-35 52-43
Position#167
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game77.0
Toledo 🏆
USA
vs
Position#341
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game78.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stetson winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#127
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A24/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A02/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
97-63
97
63
+34
A06/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H09/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H14/03
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A05/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A09/11
NCAA
Wright State
#239
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H14/11
NCAA
Detroit
#340
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-39
30-37
37-28
35-47
37-33
48-46
54-24
43-39
36-26
50-45
24-28
35-39
29-43
45-41
47-41
43-39
41-33
45-44
36-35
46-32
153.8Avg total
79.9Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.077.0160.0+6.075%
Season at home (1)86.077.0163.0+9.0100%
Season away (3)82.077.0159.0+5.067%
Last 10 (10)79.973.9153.8+6.060%
Last 5 (5)78.275.0153.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.089.8171.8-7.825%
vs Similar (16)78.873.2152.1+5.675%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)81.575.3156.8+6.270%
This opponent (Stetson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StetsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A29/02
NCAA
North Florida
#201
L
59-78
59
78
-19
A02/03
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H06/03
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
W
88-87
88
87
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
94-91
94
91
+3
H10/03
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
52-91
52
91
-39
A22/03
NCAA
New College (FL)
#385
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H05/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H08/11
NCAA
Citadel
#361
L
52-74
52
74
-22
A11/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
64-85
64
85
-21
A16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-30
43-43
29-42
30-36
38-36
45-35
48-40
40-47
36-39
58-52
19-52
33-39
37-39
57-36
41-48
35-31
22-34
30-40
28-44
36-41
155.2Avg total
74.8Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.578.2149.8-6.825%
Season at home (2)85.077.0162.0+8.050%
Season away (2)58.079.5137.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)74.880.4155.2-5.650%
Last 5 (5)67.680.8148.4-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)64.085.0149.0-21.00%
vs Similar (14)77.478.4155.8-0.957%
vs Weaker (13)79.569.4148.9+10.277%
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +0.7+0.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.9+4.91st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: +1.1+1.12nd half: +0.7+0.7
ToledoStetson
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#127
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A02/03
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
54-24
54
24
+30
A06/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H09/03
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H14/03
NCAA
Troy
#68
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A05/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A09/11
NCAA
Wright State
#239
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H14/11
NCAA
Detroit
#340
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A16/11
NCAA
70.9Avg total
37.9Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.935.472.2+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.533.769.3+1.847%-
Last 30 away (15)38.237.075.2+1.253%-
Last 10 (10)37.933.070.9+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)35.436.071.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.843.079.8-6.250%-
vs Similar (16)36.534.070.5+2.544%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)37.534.572.0+3.060%-
This opponent (Stetson) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StetsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A29/02
NCAA
North Florida
#201
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A02/03
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H06/03
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H08/03
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H10/03
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
19-52
19
52
-33
A22/03
NCAA
New College (FL)
#385
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H05/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H08/11
NCAA
Citadel
#361
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A11/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A16/11
NCAA
74.5Avg total
34.1Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.937.373.1-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.235.975.1+3.450%-
Last 30 away (14)32.038.970.9-6.929%-
Last 10 (10)34.140.474.5-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)29.443.472.8-14.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)29.348.077.3-18.70%-
vs Similar (14)35.636.472.0-0.936%-
vs Weaker (13)37.735.773.4+2.054%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toledo wins
0
Stetson wins
No previous meetings.
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24ADetroit82-67
14/11/24HWright State86-77
09/11/24AMarshall90-80
05/11/24ATroy74-84
14/03/24HKent State59-67
09/03/24HKent State86-71
06/03/24AMiami (Ohio)97-63
02/03/24ABuffalo85-79
28/02/24HNorthern Illinois72-75
24/02/24ABowling Green68-76
Stetsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24AOklahoma64-85
11/11/24ACitadel52-74
08/11/24HNebraska O.76-79
05/11/24HNew College (FL)94-75
22/03/24AUconn52-91
10/03/24HAustin Peay94-91
08/03/24HJacksonville Dolphins88-87
06/03/24HQueens Royals83-71
02/03/24ANorth Florida59-78
29/02/24AJacksonville Dolphins86-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toledo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game83.086.082.0
Allowed / game77.077.077.0
Point differential+6.0+9.0+5.0
Avg total160.0163.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stetson
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game71.585.058.0
Allowed / game78.277.079.5
Point differential-6.8+8.0-21.5
Avg total149.8162.0137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toledo43175%83.077.0+6.0
2 Kent State32167%74.766.0+8.7
3 Central Michigan53260%72.866.8+6.0
4 Eastern Michigan42250%66.066.0+0.0
5 Miami (Ohio)42250%75.077.0-2.0
6 Bowling Green52340%81.673.0+8.6
7 Northern Illinois52340%71.466.8+4.6
8 Buffalo52340%75.682.2-6.6
9 Western Michigan62433%72.569.8+2.7
10 Akron31233%77.074.7+2.3
11 UMass41325%77.275.0+2.2
12 Ball State51420%73.074.4-1.4
13 Ohio51420%77.285.2-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Eastern Kentucky43175%82.072.0+10.0
2 North Alabama53260%83.876.6+7.2
3 North Florida53260%84.281.8+2.4
4 Austin Peay53260%71.273.6-2.4
5 Queens Royals52340%66.070.6-4.6
6 Lipscomb62433%70.576.7-6.2
7 Central Arkansas41325%70.574.5-4.0
8 Stetson41325%71.578.2-6.8
9 Florida Gulf Coast4040%60.269.2-9.0
10 Bellarmine5050%67.082.8-15.8
11 West Georgia5050%63.082.8-19.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Toledo5152103
Stetson354378
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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