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Bowling Green vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-68
39-38 37-30
Position#127
Record16-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#107
Record17-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game77.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Bowling Green v Toledo
30 Jan 2027
BOWL v TOLE
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
BOWL80
TOLE70
24 Jan 2025
BOWL71
TOLE84
23 Feb 2024
BOWL76
TOLE68
18 Feb 2023
BOWL86
TOLE91
15 Jan 2022
BOWL78
TOLE91
30 Jan 2021
BOWL66
TOLE84
12 Mar 2020
BOWL v TOLE
upcoming
08 Feb 2020
BOWL85
TOLE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bowling Green winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bowling GreenUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A17/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H20/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
H24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A27/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A31/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
H03/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H07/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
60-86
60
86
-26
A11/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A17/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
60-62 OT
60
62
-2
A21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-37
42-36
39-31
45-48
35-35
39-39
31-31
41-57
33-31
48-41
32-35
30-27
34-26
53-47
30-41
30-45
24-33
36-36
17-28
39-28
151.1Avg total
74.2Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.272.0147.2+3.262%
Season at home (16)79.970.9150.8+8.975%
Season away (10)67.773.8141.5-6.140%
Last 10 (10)74.276.9151.1-2.740%
Last 5 (5)68.673.4142.0-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.481.2149.6-12.820%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.073.5147.5+0.555%
vs Weaker (12)75.272.1147.3+3.267%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#362
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H17/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A20/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
W
89-73
89
73
+16
A24/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H27/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
88-63
88
63
+25
H31/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A03/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A07/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
L
104-109 OT
104
109
-5
A10/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H17/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-33
44-33
23-30
39-35
38-38
51-35
31-31
57-41
48-27
40-36
36-47
34-30
42-37
49-50
47-46
43-44
39-44
46-39
32-22
40-42
158.5Avg total
82.6Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.577.1157.6+3.465%
Season at home (15)80.275.3155.5+4.973%
Season away (11)80.979.6160.5+1.355%
Last 10 (10)82.675.9158.5+6.770%
Last 5 (5)84.484.0168.4+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.688.0166.6-9.40%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.376.1155.4+3.380%
vs Weaker (9)84.674.1158.7+10.478%
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +5.8+5.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.7-1.71st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +5.8+5.8
Bowling GreenToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Bowling GreenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H20/01
NCAA
Kent State
#199
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#107
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A27/01
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A31/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H03/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#362
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H07/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#147
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A11/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A17/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
17-28
17
28
-11
A21/02
NCAA
63.9Avg total
31.1Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.732.565.2+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.631.265.7+3.461%-
Last 30 away (12)29.934.664.5-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)31.132.863.9-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)27.432.660.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.237.672.8-2.480%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.532.667.1+1.845%-
vs Weaker (12)29.931.961.8-2.042%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buffalo
#362
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H17/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A20/01
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#307
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A24/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H27/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H31/01
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A03/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#14
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A10/02
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H17/02
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H21/02
NCAA
72.4Avg total
36.9Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.337.074.3+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.336.273.5+1.139%-
Last 30 away (12)37.238.275.5-1.050%-
Last 10 (10)36.935.572.4+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.278.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.041.876.8-6.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.836.372.1-0.540%-
vs Weaker (9)40.435.275.7+5.256%-
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bowling Green wins
6
Toledo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/24ACentral Michigan60-62 OT
17/02/24AEastern Michigan60-69
11/02/24ALouisiana Lafayette60-86
07/02/24HBuffalo87-73
03/02/24HCentral Michigan76-77 OT
31/01/24ABall State81-72
27/01/24AToledo72-88
24/01/24HKent State84-90 OT
20/01/24HWestern Michigan84-79
17/01/24AMiami (Ohio)78-73
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/24HAkron72-64
17/02/24HOhio85-83
10/02/24AAppalachian State104-109 OT
07/02/24AEastern Michigan91-87
03/02/24AAkron70-77
31/01/24HWestern Michigan88-63
27/01/24HBowling Green88-72
24/01/24ANorthern Illinois89-73
20/01/24ACentral Michigan62-65
17/01/24HBuffalo77-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bowling Green
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL62%
HomeWWLLW75%
AwayLWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261610
Win %62%75%40%
Points / game75.279.967.7
Allowed / game72.070.973.8
Point differential+3.2+8.9-6.1
Avg total147.2150.8141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%44%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)80% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %15%19%10%
Toledo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW65%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayLWLWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %65%73%55%
Points / game80.580.280.9
Allowed / game77.175.379.6
Point differential+3.4+4.9+1.3
Avg total157.6155.5160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%27%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)83% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2720774%75.065.0+10.0
2 UMass2617965%79.771.4+8.2
3 Toledo2617965%80.577.1+3.4
4 Bowling Green26161062%75.272.0+3.2
5 Central Michigan26161062%66.769.4-2.8
6 Ohio26141254%78.372.3+6.1
7 Ball State26131350%74.070.9+3.0
8 Kent State27131448%75.972.0+3.9
9 Miami (Ohio)25121348%72.270.8+1.4
10 Eastern Michigan26101638%67.775.1-7.4
11 Western Michigan2691735%70.674.6-4.0
12 Northern Illinois2691735%73.978.1-4.2
13 Buffalo2642215%67.779.3-11.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Bowling Green393776
Toledo383068
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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