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Torino vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 64-80
11-27 15-11 19-16 19-26
Position#13
Record6-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game87.7
Torino
Italy
vs
Virtus Bologna 🏆
Italy
Position#11
Record10-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game82.5
ItalyLega ARound 22
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Torino v Virtus Bologna
17 Mar 2019
TOR64
VIR80
14 Apr 2018
TOR65
VIR67
27 Dec 2015
TOR75
VIR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#9
L
79-96
79
96
-17
H26/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
87-100
87
100
-13
A30/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
96-106 OT
96
106
-10
H06/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
98-102 OT
98
102
-4
A13/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H20/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
110-115 OT
110
115
-5
A27/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H03/02
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
102-83
102
83
+19
H10/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
91-110
91
110
-19
A03/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
A10/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-23
16-19
14-24
19-30
16-23
24-28
23-26
24-23
25-23
22-26
18-17
26-25
26-26
23-15
18-26
19-19
11-19
17-20
25-11
13-23
27-30
23-25
27-22
24-24
15-20
21-15
18-16
23-7
33-20
24-26
24-14
21-23
22-35
12-26
26-22
31-27
24-15
14-29
21-24
23-14
183.4Avg total
89.5Scored
93.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.887.7171.5-3.929%
Season at home (10)81.581.9163.4-0.450%
Season away (11)85.992.9178.8-7.09%
Last 10 (10)89.593.9183.4-4.420%
Last 5 (5)93.892.4186.2+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)82.290.3172.5-8.211%
vs Similar ◀ (7)83.983.3167.1+0.643%
vs Weaker (4)86.888.0174.8-1.225%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#13
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A29/01
Champions League
Avellino
#9
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H03/02
Lega A
Promitheas
#17
W
98-91 OT
98
91
+7
H06/02
Champions League
Cremona
#3
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A09/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A14/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#1
L
91-102
91
102
-11
H16/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H02/03
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
L
74-74
74
74
+0
A05/03
Champions League
Cantu
#8
L
94-96
94
96
-2
A10/03
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H13/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
22-21
15-21
21-19
27-28
26-10
17-18
18-10
25-23
27-23
21-18
11-20
18-22
20-24
20-15
12-26
17-22
24-14
22-18
23-30
20-21
24-38
24-16
23-27
22-16
19-14
22-24
13-23
24-21
16-17
19-17
15-19
22-20
20-22
20-26
32-28
25-10
18-15
20-10
18-23
165.6Avg total
83.8Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.382.5163.8-1.248%
Season at home (10)80.678.4159.0+2.260%
Season away (11)81.986.2168.1-4.336%
Last 10 (10)83.881.8165.6+2.040%
Last 5 (5)83.281.4164.6+1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.787.5166.2-8.817%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.478.3161.8+5.167%
vs Weaker (14)84.880.4165.1+4.457%
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.9-3.9
TorinoVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H26/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A30/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H06/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A13/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H20/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A27/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H03/02
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H10/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-61
34
61
-27
A03/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A10/03
Lega A
88.8Avg total
42.5Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.845.184.9-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.243.984.1-3.740%-
Last 30 away (15)39.546.385.7-6.820%-
Last 10 (10)42.546.388.8-3.840%-
Last 5 (5)43.048.291.2-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)39.044.783.7-5.726%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.344.685.9-3.343%-
vs Weaker (4)41.247.889.0-6.525%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A29/01
Champions League
Avellino
#9
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H03/02
Lega A
Promitheas
#17
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H06/02
Champions League
Cremona
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A09/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A14/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#1
L
44-59
44
59
-15
H16/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#2
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H02/03
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A05/03
Champions League
Cantu
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A10/03
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H13/03
Champions League
84.1Avg total
43.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.681.5+2.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.939.481.3+2.471%-
Last 30 away (16)41.839.881.6+2.062%-
Last 10 (10)43.840.384.1+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.880.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.543.083.5-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.138.879.9+2.367%-
vs Weaker (14)42.939.081.9+3.971%-
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.721.1
53.1%
51.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.5
38.1%
35.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.611.7
70.5%
72.3%11.7
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.0
51.5%
51.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.3
37.4%
35.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.515.1
67.1%
72.3%15.1
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Torino
LLWWLLLLLL
Virtus Bologna
WLLLLWLWWL
#13
League position
#11
-5.9
Net rating
+2.3
106.7
Offensive rating
108.2
112.6
Defensive rating
105.9
54.6%
Effective FG%
53.2%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.9%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.37
38.1%
3-point %
37.4%
64.5%
Assist %
49.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 108.2Defence112.6 · 105.9Shooting54.6% · 53.2%3-point %38.1% · 37.4%Ball care17.4% · 16.9%Off. rebounds23.5% · 27.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Torino   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Torino wins
4
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
18/11/18Virtus Bologna v Torino82-79
14/04/18Torino v Virtus Bologna65-67
17/12/17Virtus Bologna v Torino84-76
24/04/16Virtus Bologna v Torino73-54
27/12/15Torino v Virtus Bologna75-70
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/19ABrindisi89-96 OT
03/03/19AOlimpia Milano91-110
10/02/19HSassari102-83
03/02/19HReggiana77-58
27/01/19ATrieste110-115 OT
20/01/19HVenezia66-73
13/01/19APesaro98-102 OT
06/01/19HCantu96-106 OT
30/12/18ACremona87-100
26/12/18HAvellino79-96
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/19HLe Mans81-58
10/03/19ACantu94-96
05/03/19ALe Mans74-74
02/03/19HVenezia76-77
16/02/19HCremona91-102
14/02/19AOlimpia Milano86-84
09/02/19ACremona70-87
06/02/19HPromitheas98-91 OT
03/02/19HAvellino88-66
29/01/19AStrasbourg80-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL29%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %29%50%9%
Points / game83.881.585.9
Allowed / game87.781.992.9
Point differential-3.9-0.4-7.0
Avg total171.5163.4178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%30%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)100% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %24%10%36%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL48%
HomeWWWWL60%
AwayLWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %48%60%36%
Points / game81.380.681.9
Allowed / game82.578.486.2
Point differential-1.2+2.2-4.3
Avg total163.8159.0168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2118386%87.577.3+10.1
2 Venezia2115671%82.273.0+9.3
3 Cremona2114767%83.378.0+5.4
4 Brindisi2113862%82.678.8+3.9
5 Avellino2113862%80.381.0-0.7
6 Varese2112957%79.175.3+3.9
7 Trieste21111052%87.684.1+3.5
8 Trento21111052%79.181.0-1.9
9 Cantu21111052%84.987.2-2.3
10 Virtus Bologna21101148%81.382.5-1.2
11 Sassari2191243%84.382.6+1.7
12 Brescia2191243%78.380.1-1.8
13 Torino2161529%83.887.7-3.9
14 Pesaro2161529%81.493.7-12.3
15 Reggiana2151624%78.183.0-4.9
16 Pistoia2151624%74.883.5-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Torino1115191964
Virtus Bologna2711162680
← all games of the day
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