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Olimpia Milano vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 84-86
22-17 14-24 18-22 30-23
Position#6
Record-
FormWWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#4
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyItalian CupItalian Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2019
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna
25 Oct 2026
MIL94
VIR98
29 Sep 2026
MIL87
VIR85
26 Mar 2026
MIL103
VIR87
14 Dec 2025
MIL74
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07 Jun 2025
MIL78
VIR84
05 Jun 2025
MIL68
VIR78
08 Dec 2024
MIL73
VIR82
31 Oct 2024
MIL99
VIR90
22 Sep 2024
MIL98
VIR96
13 Jun 2024
MIL85
VIR73
11 Jun 2024
MIL81
VIR78
05 Apr 2024
MIL90
VIR75
10 Dec 2023
MIL82
VIR80
23 Sep 2023
MIL73
VIR78
23 Jun 2023
MIL67
VIR55
19 Jun 2023
MIL79
VIR72
11 Jun 2023
MIL79
VIR76
09 Jun 2023
MIL92
VIR82
19 Mar 2023
MIL69
VIR75
09 Nov 2022
MIL59
VIR64
28 Sep 2022
MIL64
VIR72
18 Jun 2022
MIL81
VIR64
14 Jun 2022
MIL77
VIR62
12 Jun 2022
MIL94
VIR82
05 Jan 2022
MIL102
VIR99
21 Sep 2021
MIL84
VIR90
07 Jun 2021
MIL72
VIR83
05 Jun 2021
MIL77
VIR83
17 Apr 2021
MIL94
VIR84
20 Sep 2020
MIL75
VIR68
19 Apr 2020
MIL v VIR
upcoming
14 Feb 2019
MIL84
VIR86
27 Jan 2019
MIL94
VIR75
05 Nov 2017
MIL72
VIR64
08 Nov 2015
MIL87
VIR72
20 May 2015
MIL99
VIR72
18 May 2015
MIL90
VIR67
26 Apr 2015
MIL117
VIR92
23 Feb 2014
MIL89
VIR66
27 Jan 2013
MIL91
VIR68
23 Oct 2011
MIL79
VIR64
10 Apr 2011
MIL71
VIR64
07 Mar 2010
MIL73
VIR71
19 Oct 2008
MIL68
VIR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Bayern
#12
L
87-93
87
93
-6
111avg 115
A11/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
W
77-73
77
73
+4
79avg 115
A13/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
L
75-80
75
80
-5
98avg 115
A18/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#5
L
92-101
92
101
-9
115avg 115
A20/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
H24/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
94-75
94
75
+19
115avg 115
H27/01
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#14
W
106-104 OT
106
104
+2
no box
A01/02
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A04/02
Lega A
Darussafaka
#16
W
90-78
90
78
+12
119avg 115
H08/02
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
111-74
111
74
+37
143avg 115
H10/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
23-30
23-24
19-16
23-13
13-22
16-21
25-17
21-16
28-26
10-20
16-18
16-26
23-19
25-30
28-26
21-13
13-17
18-20
28-20
22-16
26-16
19-26
27-17
27-28
12-18
29-21
21-22
–
–
–
–
19-17
21-19
20-25
30-17
29-18
30-10
21-21
31-25
158.0Avg total
81.2Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.276.8158.0+4.460%
Last 5 (5)80.270.2150.4+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.092.0177.0-7.00%
vs Similar (15)83.383.7167.0-0.353%
vs Weaker (14)88.879.9168.7+8.971%
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
87-84
87
84
+3
no box
H09/01
Champions League
Varese
#7
W
86-79
86
79
+7
no box
A13/01
Lega A
Bayreuth
#35
W
93-83
93
83
+10
no box
A16/01
Champions League
Trieste
#10
W
82-74
82
74
+8
114avg 107
H20/01
Lega A
Besiktas
#16
L
70-71
70
71
-1
no box
H23/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-94
75
94
-19
93avg 107
A27/01
Lega A
Strasbourg
#13
L
80-83
80
83
-3
no box
A29/01
Champions League
Avellino
#9
W
88-66
88
66
+22
123avg 107
H03/02
Lega A
Promitheas
#17
W
98-91 OT
98
91
+7
no box
H06/02
Champions League
Cremona
#3
L
70-87
70
87
-17
91avg 107
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
24-18
24-22
26-21
29-20
16-13
15-23
26-23
22-18
26-18
21-26
24-21
17-13
18-14
30-18
17-29
18-26
6-20
20-14
26-11
16-22
16-26
26-19
17-27
22-22
22-21
15-21
21-19
27-28
26-10
17-18
18-10
25-23
27-23
21-18
11-20
18-22
20-24
20-15
12-26
164.1Avg total
82.9Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.981.2164.1+1.760%
Last 5 (5)82.284.2166.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.387.3161.7-13.017%
vs Similar (9)83.777.7161.3+6.078%
vs Weaker (15)85.878.7164.5+7.167%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
Olimpia MilanoVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#12
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A11/01
Euroleague
Trieste
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A13/01
Lega A
Baskonia
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A18/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A20/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H24/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/01
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A01/02
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H08/02
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
59-28
59
28
+31
H10/02
Lega A
81.8Avg total
43.2Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.840.283.0+2.562%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.637.580.1+5.171%-
Last 30 away (15)42.942.885.7+0.153%-
Last 10 (9)43.238.681.8+4.767%-
Last 5 (5)44.034.478.4+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.040.080.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (15)40.739.880.5+0.967%-
vs Weaker (13)45.340.886.1+4.562%-
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrol Olimpija
#45
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/01
Champions League
Varese
#7
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A13/01
Lega A
Bayreuth
#35
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A16/01
Champions League
Trieste
#10
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H20/01
Lega A
Besiktas
#16
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H23/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A27/01
Lega A
Strasbourg
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A29/01
Champions League
Avellino
#9
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H03/02
Lega A
Promitheas
#17
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H06/02
Champions League
Cremona
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A09/02
Lega A
81.2Avg total
40.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.180.7+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.938.078.9+2.971%-
Last 30 away (16)42.240.182.3+2.162%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.481.2+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.844.288.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.342.580.8-4.233%-
vs Similar (9)41.839.281.0+2.678%-
vs Weaker (15)42.737.780.5+5.073%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.3
53.9%
-38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.210.2
40.5%
-30.6
🏀 Free throws23.117.7
76.6%
-17.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.6
51.9%
-39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.88.2
37.6%
-24.6
🏀 Free throws19.613.8
70.4%
-13.8
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWLWWWLLWL
Virtus Bologna
LWWLLLWWWW
#6
League position
#4
+9.1
Net rating
+6.2
117.6
Offensive rating
111.8
108.5
Defensive rating
105.6
56.7%
Effective FG%
53.5%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
15.9%
Turnover %
17.9%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.33
40.5%
3-point %
37.6%
53.9%
Assist %
48.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/19HPesaro111-74
08/02/19HDarussafaka90-78
04/02/19APistoia0-20
01/02/19AGran Canaria106-104 OT
27/01/19HVirtus Bologna94-75
24/01/19HZalgiris Kaunas80-70
20/01/19ABrindisi92-101
18/01/19ABaskonia75-80
13/01/19ATrieste77-73
11/01/19ABayern87-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/19ACremona70-87
06/02/19HPromitheas98-91 OT
03/02/19HAvellino88-66
29/01/19AStrasbourg80-83
27/01/19AOlimpia Milano75-94
23/01/19HBesiktas70-71
20/01/19HTrieste82-74
16/01/19ABayreuth93-83
13/01/19AVarese86-79
09/01/19HPetrol Olimpija87-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Italian Cup 2019
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Virtus Bologna
Italian Cup 2019
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cremona110100%82.073.0+9.0
2 Varese1010%73.082.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2214183084
Virtus Bologna1724222386
← all games of the day
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