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Olimpia Milano vs Torino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 18:05
Final 110-91
35-22 26-12 22-26 27-31
Position#1
Record16-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#13
Record6-13
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game86.1
ItalyLega ARound 20
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Torino
03 Mar 2019
MIL110
TOR91
08 Apr 2018
MIL90
TOR78
05 Mar 2017
MIL81
TOR74
06 Mar 2016
MIL94
TOR90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Torino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
L
92-101
92
101
-9
A20/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H24/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H27/01
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#14
W
106-104 OT
106
104
+2
A01/02
Euroleague
Pistoia
#16
L
0-20
0
20
-20
A04/02
Lega A
Darussafaka
#16
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H08/02
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
111-74
111
74
+37
H10/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H14/02
Italian Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H21/02
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
W
90-88
90
88
+2
A28/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
23-19
25-30
28-26
21-13
13-17
18-20
28-20
22-16
26-16
19-26
27-17
27-28
12-18
29-21
21-22
–
–
–
–
19-17
21-19
20-25
30-17
29-18
30-10
21-21
31-25
22-17
14-24
18-22
30-23
20-22
27-25
17-15
23-21
20-25
25-29
20-19
25-15
161.3Avg total
83.4Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)87.277.2164.3+10.084%
Season at home (9)92.977.1170.0+15.8100%
Season away (10)82.077.2159.2+4.870%
Last 10 (10)83.477.9161.3+5.570%
Last 5 (5)92.481.8174.2+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.092.0177.0-7.00%
vs Similar (16)83.984.1168.0-0.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.179.3166.4+7.867%
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#6
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A19/12
Eurocup
Pistoia
#16
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H23/12
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
79-96
79
96
-17
H26/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
87-100
87
100
-13
A30/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
96-106 OT
96
106
-10
H06/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
98-102 OT
98
102
-4
A13/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H20/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
110-115 OT
110
115
-5
A27/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H03/02
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
102-83
102
83
+19
H10/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
26-15
10-26
11-22
13-21
23-29
26-17
24-13
30-23
16-19
14-24
19-30
16-23
24-28
23-26
24-23
25-23
22-26
18-17
26-25
26-26
23-15
18-26
19-19
11-19
17-20
25-11
13-23
27-30
23-25
27-22
24-24
15-20
21-15
18-16
23-7
33-20
24-26
24-14
21-23
177.1Avg total
86.9Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.286.1169.2-2.932%
Season at home (10)81.581.9163.4-0.450%
Season away (9)85.090.7175.7-5.711%
Last 10 (10)86.990.2177.1-3.330%
Last 5 (5)90.686.2176.8+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)80.788.4169.1-7.811%
vs Similar (8)84.083.9167.9+0.138%
vs Weaker (4)86.888.0174.8-1.225%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
Olimpia MilanoTorino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A20/01
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H24/01
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/01
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#14
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A01/02
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H08/02
Euroleague
Pesaro
#15
W
59-28
59
28
+31
H10/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H14/02
Italian Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H21/02
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#13
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A28/02
Euroleague
82.9Avg total
43.0Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.340.883.1+1.552%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.338.080.3+4.360%-
Last 30 away (14)42.243.886.0-1.643%-
Last 10 (9)43.039.982.9+3.144%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.286.6+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.040.080.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (16)41.241.582.7-0.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.639.884.5+4.855%-
This opponent (Torino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A19/12
Eurocup
Pistoia
#16
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H23/12
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H26/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A30/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H06/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A13/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H20/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A27/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H03/02
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H10/02
Lega A
88.5Avg total
43.6Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.744.484.1-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.643.783.3-4.138%-
Last 30 away (14)39.845.385.1-5.521%-
Last 10 (10)43.644.988.5-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.043.287.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.943.682.5-4.728%-
vs Similar (8)40.844.685.4-3.938%-
vs Weaker (4)41.247.889.0-6.525%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.4
54.8%
51.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.9
40.1%
35.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.016.8
76.4%
72.3%16.8
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.2
52.3%
51.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.6
37.7%
35.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.611.7
70.5%
72.3%11.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWLWWLWWWL
Torino
WWLLLLLLWL
#1
League position
#13
+9.2
Net rating
-4.3
117.9
Offensive rating
105.6
108.7
Defensive rating
110.0
56.9%
Effective FG%
53.9%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
15.2%
Turnover %
17.5%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.27
40.1%
3-point %
37.7%
47.9%
Assist %
62.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.9 · 105.6Defence108.7 · 110.0Shooting56.9% · 53.9%3-point %40.1% · 37.7%Ball care15.2% · 17.5%Off. rebounds26.1% · 23.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Torino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Torino wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/19AKhimki M.90-88
21/02/19HMaccabi Tel Aviv87-83
14/02/19HVirtus Bologna84-86
10/02/19HPesaro111-74
08/02/19HDarussafaka90-78
04/02/19APistoia0-20
01/02/19AGran Canaria106-104 OT
27/01/19HVirtus Bologna94-75
24/01/19HZalgiris Kaunas80-70
20/01/19ABrindisi92-101
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/19HSassari102-83
03/02/19HReggiana77-58
27/01/19ATrieste110-115 OT
20/01/19HVenezia66-73
13/01/19APesaro98-102 OT
06/01/19HCantu96-106 OT
30/12/18ACremona87-100
26/12/18HAvellino79-96
23/12/18HPistoia86-80
19/12/18AUnicaja68-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW84%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %84%100%70%
Points / game87.292.982.0
Allowed / game77.277.177.2
Point differential+10.0+15.8+4.8
Avg total164.3170.0159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%67%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Torino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW32%
HomeLLLWW50%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%50%11%
Points / game83.281.585.0
Allowed / game86.181.990.7
Point differential-2.9-0.4-5.7
Avg total169.2163.4175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%30%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)100% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %21%10%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1916384%87.277.2+10.0
2 Venezia2014670%81.572.1+9.3
3 Cremona2013765%83.077.8+5.2
4 Brindisi1912763%82.178.1+4.0
5 Varese2012860%79.575.2+4.3
6 Avellino2012860%80.581.5-1.0
7 Trieste20101050%86.784.9+1.8
8 Virtus Bologna20101050%80.781.8-1.1
9 Trento20101050%78.981.2-2.2
10 Cantu1991047%84.587.3-2.8
11 Sassari2091145%84.081.8+2.2
12 Brescia1981142%77.679.6-2.0
13 Torino1961332%83.286.1-2.9
14 Pesaro1961332%81.893.2-11.3
15 Reggiana2051525%78.783.6-5.0
16 Pistoia2051525%74.583.2-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano35262227110
Torino2212263191
← all games of the day
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