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Virtus Bologna vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 91-102
20-21 24-38 24-16 23-27
Position#4
Record1-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Cremona 🏆
Italy
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game73.0
ItalyItalian CupItalian Cup - Semi-finals
Other2019
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Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A13/01
Lega A
Bayreuth
#35
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A16/01
Champions League
Trieste
#10
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H20/01
Lega A
Besiktas
#16
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H23/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-94
75
94
-19
A27/01
Lega A
Strasbourg
#13
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A29/01
Champions League
Avellino
#9
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H03/02
Lega A
Promitheas
#17
W
98-91 OT
98
91
+7
H06/02
Champions League
Cremona
#3
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A09/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A14/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
16-13
15-23
26-23
22-18
26-18
21-26
24-21
17-13
18-14
30-18
17-29
18-26
6-20
20-14
26-11
16-22
16-26
26-19
17-27
22-22
22-21
15-21
21-19
27-28
26-10
17-18
18-10
25-23
27-23
21-18
11-20
18-22
20-24
20-15
12-26
17-22
24-14
22-18
23-30
164.0Avg total
82.8Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.084.0170.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)86.084.0170.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.881.2164.0+1.660%
Last 5 (5)84.482.2166.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.387.3161.7-13.017%
vs Similar (9)83.777.7161.3+6.078%
vs Weaker (14)85.680.1165.6+5.564%
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#12
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H22/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
86-80
86
80
+6
A26/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
100-87
100
87
+13
H30/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A06/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H13/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
84-89
84
89
-5
H20/01
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A03/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H09/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H14/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
25-24
24-18
19-27
31-16
15-18
18-26
22-20
23-16
28-24
26-23
23-24
15-20
19-13
13-22
20-23
28-24
21-18
22-17
27-22
21-20
19-24
22-16
22-29
15-19
21-15
20-12
14-16
18-29
10-19
20-14
18-20
22-18
24-20
15-20
26-12
19-15
25-25
16-12
22-21
162.1Avg total
82.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.073.0155.0+9.0100%
Season at home (1)82.073.0155.0+9.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.879.3162.1+3.560%
Last 5 (5)77.875.2153.0+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.297.2171.5-23.00%
vs Similar (10)81.482.9164.3-1.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)92.383.8176.1+8.573%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
Virtus BolognaCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#7
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A13/01
Lega A
Bayreuth
#35
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A16/01
Champions League
Trieste
#10
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H20/01
Lega A
Besiktas
#16
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H23/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A27/01
Lega A
Strasbourg
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A29/01
Champions League
Avellino
#9
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H03/02
Lega A
Promitheas
#17
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H06/02
Champions League
Cremona
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A09/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A14/02
Italian Cup
81.1Avg total
41.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.581.0+2.067%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.739.079.7+1.769%-
Last 30 away (17)42.139.982.0+2.265%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.981.1+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.887.4+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.342.580.8-4.233%-
vs Similar (9)41.839.281.0+2.678%-
vs Weaker (14)42.738.681.4+4.171%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#12
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H22/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A26/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H30/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A06/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H13/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H20/01
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A03/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H09/02
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H14/02
Italian Cup
81.8Avg total
41.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.642.584.1-1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.543.185.6-0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)40.741.982.6-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.981.8+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.879.6-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.550.589.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (10)39.939.078.9+0.960%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.342.986.3+0.460%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.6
51.9%
-39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.88.2
37.6%
-24.6
🏀 Free throws19.613.8
70.4%
-13.8
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.0
51.8%
-40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.6
36.8%
-31.8
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
-14.0
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WLWWLLLWWW
Cremona
WWLWLWLWWL
#4
League position
#1
+6.2
Net rating
+4.9
111.8
Offensive rating
111.6
105.6
Defensive rating
106.6
53.5%
Effective FG%
53.3%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
17.9%
Turnover %
17.1%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.6%
3-point %
36.8%
48.9%
Assist %
51.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Virtus Bologna wins
7
Cremona wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/19AOlimpia Milano86-84
09/02/19ACremona70-87
06/02/19HPromitheas98-91 OT
03/02/19HAvellino88-66
29/01/19AStrasbourg80-83
27/01/19AOlimpia Milano75-94
23/01/19HBesiktas70-71
20/01/19HTrieste82-74
16/01/19ABayreuth93-83
13/01/19AVarese86-79
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/19HVarese82-73
09/02/19HVirtus Bologna87-70
03/02/19ACantu66-82
27/01/19AAvellino70-62
20/01/19HTrento84-89
13/01/19HReggiana98-81
06/01/19AVenezia67-78
30/12/18HTorino100-87
26/12/18ABrindisi86-80
22/12/18HBrescia88-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Italian Cup 2019
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game86.0-86.0
Allowed / game84.0-84.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total170.0-170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Cremona
Italian Cup 2019
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game82.082.0-
Allowed / game73.073.0-
Point differential+9.0+9.0-
Avg total155.0155.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cremona110100%82.073.0+9.0
2 Brindisi110100%95.092.0+3.0
3 Virtus Bologna110100%86.084.0+2.0
4 Sassari110100%89.088.0+1.0
5 Venezia1010%88.089.0-1.0
6 Olimpia Milano1010%84.086.0-2.0
7 Avellino1010%92.095.0-3.0
8 Varese1010%73.082.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2024242391
Cremona21381627102
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