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Cremona vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 87-70
22-18 24-20 15-20 26-12
Position#3
Record11-7
FormLWLWL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game82.6
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#11
Record10-8
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game81.8
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Cremona v Virtus Bologna
26 Jan 2026
CRE74
VIR84
26 Oct 2024
CRE69
VIR74
05 Nov 2023
CRE93
VIR83
12 Dec 2021
CRE75
VIR87
30 Jan 2021
CRE75
VIR88
29 Aug 2020
CRE66
VIR87
08 Dec 2019
CRE78
VIR66
09 Feb 2019
CRE87
VIR70
31 Mar 2018
CRE91
VIR78
06 Dec 2015
CRE73
VIR63
12 Apr 2015
CRE81
VIR76
20 Oct 2013
CRE82
VIR87
29 Sep 2012
CRE63
VIR74
11 Feb 2012
CRE83
VIR80
17 Apr 2011
CRE88
VIR95
03 Jan 2010
CRE69
VIR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
W
87-78
87
78
+9
155avg 118
H09/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
122-106
122
106
+16
158avg 118
A16/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
88-91
88
91
-3
118avg 118
H22/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
86-80
86
80
+6
144avg 118
A26/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
100-87
100
87
+13
133avg 118
H30/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
67-78
67
78
-11
93avg 118
A06/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
98-81
98
81
+17
100avg 118
H13/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
84-89
84
89
-5
107avg 118
H20/01
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
70-62
70
62
+8
97avg 118
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
66-82
66
82
-16
95avg 118
A03/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
21-21
21-22
26-17
35-23
31-30
28-18
28-35
20-22
25-24
24-18
19-27
31-16
15-18
18-26
22-20
23-16
28-24
26-23
23-24
15-20
19-13
13-22
20-23
28-24
21-18
22-17
27-22
21-20
19-24
22-16
22-29
15-19
21-15
20-12
14-16
18-29
10-19
20-14
18-20
170.2Avg total
86.8Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.382.6168.9+3.761%
Season at home (9)87.785.0172.7+2.756%
Season away (9)84.980.2165.1+4.767%
Last 10 (10)86.883.4170.2+3.460%
Last 5 (5)77.078.4155.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.297.2171.5-23.00%
vs Similar (12)83.181.4164.5+1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)92.684.8177.4+7.971%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Brescia
#12
W
88-80
88
80
+8
116avg 107
H06/01
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
87-84
87
84
+3
no box
H09/01
Champions League
Varese
#7
W
86-79
86
79
+7
no box
A13/01
Lega A
Bayreuth
#35
W
93-83
93
83
+10
no box
A16/01
Champions League
Trieste
#10
W
82-74
82
74
+8
114avg 107
H20/01
Lega A
Besiktas
#16
L
70-71
70
71
-1
no box
H23/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-94
75
94
-19
93avg 107
A27/01
Lega A
Strasbourg
#13
L
80-83
80
83
-3
no box
A29/01
Champions League
Avellino
#9
W
88-66
88
66
+22
123avg 107
H03/02
Lega A
Promitheas
#17
W
98-91 OT
98
91
+7
no box
H06/02
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
18-18
21-29
25-17
13-23
24-18
24-22
26-21
29-20
16-13
15-23
26-23
22-18
26-18
21-26
24-21
17-13
18-14
30-18
17-29
18-26
6-20
20-14
26-11
16-22
16-26
26-19
17-27
22-22
22-21
15-21
21-19
27-28
26-10
17-18
18-10
25-23
27-23
21-18
11-20
165.2Avg total
84.7Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)81.581.8163.3-0.356%
Season at home (9)81.178.6159.7+2.667%
Season away (9)81.985.0166.9-3.144%
Last 10 (10)84.780.5165.2+4.270%
Last 5 (5)82.281.0163.2+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.887.5163.3-11.717%
vs Similar (9)83.777.7161.3+6.078%
vs Weaker (15)85.878.7164.5+7.167%
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.3+1.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.3+1.3
CremonaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H09/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A16/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H22/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A26/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H30/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A06/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H13/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H20/01
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A03/02
Lega A
84.8Avg total
43.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.442.383.6-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.142.684.7-0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)40.741.982.6-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)43.541.384.8+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.277.6-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.550.589.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (12)40.238.378.6+1.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.143.386.4-0.157%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H06/01
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#45
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/01
Champions League
Varese
#7
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A13/01
Lega A
Bayreuth
#35
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A16/01
Champions League
Trieste
#10
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H20/01
Lega A
Besiktas
#16
L
24-46
24
46
-22
H23/01
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A27/01
Lega A
Strasbourg
#13
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A29/01
Champions League
Avellino
#9
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H03/02
Lega A
Promitheas
#17
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H06/02
Champions League
80.4Avg total
41.2Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.980.5+2.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.838.178.9+2.773%-
Last 30 away (15)42.539.782.2+2.767%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.280.4+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.044.285.2-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.741.380.0-2.750%-
vs Similar (9)41.839.281.0+2.678%-
vs Weaker (15)42.737.780.5+5.073%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.7
51.0%
51.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.6
36.6%
35.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.514.6
71.2%
72.3%14.6
They take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.7
51.2%
51.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.18.6
38.9%
35.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.814.9
71.6%
72.3%14.9
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LWLWLWWLWW
Virtus Bologna
WWLLLWWWWW
#3
League position
#11
+4.0
Net rating
+7.4
111.0
Offensive rating
113.3
107.0
Defensive rating
105.9
52.7%
Effective FG%
53.9%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
16.8%
Turnover %
17.3%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.6%
3-point %
38.9%
53.5%
Assist %
50.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 113.3Defence107.0 · 105.9Shooting52.7% · 53.9%3-point %36.6% · 38.9%Ball care16.8% · 17.3%Off. rebounds30.9% · 31.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Cremona   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Cremona wins
3
Virtus Bologna wins
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/19ACantu66-82
27/01/19AAvellino70-62
20/01/19HTrento84-89
13/01/19HReggiana98-81
06/01/19AVenezia67-78
30/12/18HTorino100-87
26/12/18ABrindisi86-80
22/12/18HBrescia88-91
16/12/18APesaro122-106
09/12/18HTrieste87-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/19HPromitheas98-91 OT
03/02/19HAvellino88-66
29/01/19AStrasbourg80-83
27/01/19AOlimpia Milano75-94
23/01/19HBesiktas70-71
20/01/19HTrieste82-74
16/01/19ABayreuth93-83
13/01/19AVarese86-79
09/01/19HPetrol Olimpija87-84
06/01/19HBrescia88-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL61%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%56%67%
Points / game86.387.784.9
Allowed / game82.685.080.2
Point differential+3.7+2.7+4.7
Avg total168.9172.7165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%22%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%67%44%
Points / game81.581.181.9
Allowed / game81.878.685.0
Point differential-0.3+2.6-3.1
Avg total163.3159.7166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1815383%85.877.3+8.5
2 Venezia1813572%81.971.4+10.6
3 Brindisi1811761%82.278.6+3.7
4 Cremona1811761%86.382.6+3.7
5 Avellino1811761%80.781.4-0.8
6 Varese1810856%77.573.8+3.7
7 Virtus Bologna1810856%81.581.8-0.3
8 Sassari189950%88.884.2+4.6
9 Trieste189950%86.084.3+1.7
10 Cantu1991047%84.587.3-2.8
11 Brescia1881044%78.279.6-1.4
12 Trento1881044%77.881.5-3.7
13 Pesaro1861233%82.392.2-9.9
14 Torino1851328%82.186.2-4.1
15 Pistoia1851328%74.683.0-8.4
16 Reggiana1951426%78.683.2-4.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2224152687
Virtus Bologna1820201270
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