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Pesaro vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 May 2022
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 55-75
19-21 16-14 10-24 10-16
Position#9
Record14-18
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#2
Record28-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game77.8
ItalyLega ALega A - Quarter-finals
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Pesaro v Virtus Bologna
17 Mar 2024
PES87
VIR86
26 Dec 2022
PES82
VIR87
19 May 2022
PES55
VIR75
16 Apr 2022
PES77
VIR96
20 Mar 2021
PES70
VIR75
13 Oct 2019
PES79
VIR94
25 Nov 2018
PES89
VIR86
14 Oct 2017
PES75
VIR81
25 Oct 2015
PES68
VIR63
26 Dec 2014
PES67
VIR70
27 Apr 2014
PES79
VIR78
30 Mar 2013
PES101
VIR91
08 Jan 2012
PES86
VIR77
07 Nov 2010
PES66
VIR70
21 Apr 2010
PES90
VIR73
02 Nov 2008
PES99
VIR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
83-88
83
88
-5
74avg 70
H27/03
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
86-70
86
70
+16
86avg 70
A02/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
75-73
75
73
+2
70avg 70
H10/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
W
88-87
88
87
+1
83avg 70
H13/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
77-96
77
96
-19
67avg 70
H16/04
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 70
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
75-85
75
85
-10
52avg 70
H01/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
no box
A08/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 70
A15/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
51-70
51
70
-19
43avg 70
A17/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
20-15
16-22
19-28
22-11
26-20
20-18
18-21
17-25
22-14
11-19
25-15
20-24
21-23
24-21
23-19
24-23
13-20
13-27
27-26
19-12
25-23
15-26
24-21
20-22
17-23
22-22
16-18
15-18
21-16
20-22
15-15
22-24
14-21
18-17
22-20
13-12
12-19
13-16
13-23
159.6Avg total
77.9Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)79.283.4162.7-4.244%
Season at home (15)82.984.5167.3-1.647%
Season away (17)76.082.5158.5-6.541%
Last 10 (10)77.981.7159.6-3.850%
Last 5 (5)74.080.6154.6-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.484.8159.2-10.423%
vs Similar (17)83.684.2167.8-0.659%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#13
W
75-67
75
67
+8
72avg 85
H20/04
Eurocup
Tortona
#5
W
101-83
101
83
+18
104avg 85
H22/04
Lega A
Ulm
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H26/04
Eurocup
Treviso
#11
W
113-76
113
76
+37
121avg 85
A29/04
Lega A
Valencia
#4
W
83-73
83
73
+10
78avg 85
A04/05
Eurocup
Sassari
#4
L
73-108
73
108
-35
72avg 85
A06/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
79-57
79
57
+22
91avg 85
H08/05
Lega A
Bursaspor
#11
W
80-67
80
67
+13
78avg 85
H11/05
Eurocup
Pesaro
#9
W
82-76
82
76
+6
85avg 85
H15/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
W
70-51
70
51
+19
64avg 85
H17/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
21-20
17-18
19-15
28-29
21-24
29-14
23-16
25-17
18-28
24-17
16-15
32-14
20-20
34-19
27-23
27-19
23-19
12-19
21-16
18-17
17-30
20-39
18-22
22-11
20-13
26-19
11-14
25-12
16-19
21-22
18-14
24-22
21-14
17-18
20-22
12-13
19-12
16-13
23-13
157.4Avg total
83.9Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)88.177.8165.9+10.288%
Season at home (17)86.273.0159.2+13.2100%
Season away (15)90.283.3173.5+6.973%
Last 10 (10)83.973.5157.4+10.490%
Last 5 (5)76.871.8148.6+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)77.974.1152.0+3.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.376.3161.6+9.090%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +2.6+2.6
PesaroVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H27/03
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A02/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H10/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#15
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H13/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H16/04
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H01/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A08/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A15/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A17/05
Lega A
77.9Avg total
39.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.541.480.9-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.743.584.2-2.829%-
Last 30 away (16)38.439.577.9-1.144%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.877.9+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.638.073.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.241.880.0-3.531%-
vs Similar (17)40.541.181.5-0.641%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#13
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H20/04
Eurocup
Tortona
#5
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H22/04
Lega A
Ulm
#15
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H26/04
Eurocup
Treviso
#11
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A29/04
Lega A
Valencia
#4
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A04/05
Eurocup
Sassari
#4
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A06/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H08/05
Lega A
Bursaspor
#11
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H11/05
Eurocup
Pesaro
#9
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H15/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H17/05
Lega A
79.4Avg total
42.7Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.637.879.4+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.136.177.2+4.972%-
Last 30 away (12)42.540.282.8+2.258%-
Last 10 (10)42.736.779.4+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)38.832.671.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)42.038.280.2+3.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.037.478.4+3.767%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.0
51.0%
51.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.9
37.4%
35.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws15.211.0
72.4%
74.7%11.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.323.7
58.8%
51.1%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.0
34.3%
35.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.212.4
68.1%
74.7%12.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 May 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLWLWLWWWL
Virtus Bologna
WWWWLWWWWW
#9
League position
#2
-3.6
Net rating
+15.2
107.6
Offensive rating
114.0
111.2
Defensive rating
98.7
52.9%
Effective FG%
56.1%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
19.9%
Turnover %
18.2%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.4%
3-point %
34.3%
54.7%
Assist %
73.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 114.0Defence111.2 · 98.7Shooting52.9% · 56.1%3-point %37.4% · 34.3%Ball care19.9% · 18.2%Off. rebounds33.2% · 32.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Pesaro   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pesaro wins
9
Virtus Bologna wins
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/22AVirtus Bologna51-70
15/05/22AVirtus Bologna76-82
08/05/22ABasket Napoli85-84 OT
01/05/22HVenezia75-85
23/04/22ATrento83-82
16/04/22HVirtus Bologna77-96
13/04/22HFortitudo Bologna88-87
10/04/22HSassari75-73
02/04/22ATortona86-70
27/03/22HBrescia83-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/22HPesaro70-51
15/05/22HPesaro82-76
11/05/22HBursaspor80-67
08/05/22HBrescia79-57
06/05/22ASassari73-108
04/05/22AValencia83-73
29/04/22ATreviso113-76
26/04/22HUlm83-77
22/04/22HTortona101-83
20/04/22HLietkabelis75-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeLWWLL47%
AwayWWWLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %44%47%41%
Points / game79.282.976.0
Allowed / game83.484.582.5
Point differential-4.2-1.6-6.5
Avg total162.7167.3158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%13%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)50% (8)80% (5)
Overtime %9%13%6%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %88%100%73%
Points / game88.186.290.2
Allowed / game77.873.083.3
Point differential+10.2+13.2+6.9
Avg total165.9159.2173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%53%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %9%12%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna3228488%88.177.8+10.2
2 Olimpia Milano3327682%82.971.5+11.4
3 Brescia32221069%84.878.1+6.7
4 Tortona33191458%79.679.1+0.5
5 Sassari32181456%85.382.4+2.8
6 Venezia33181555%76.675.9+0.7
7 Trieste30141647%79.782.1-2.5
8 Reggiana33151845%79.281.0-1.7
9 Pesaro32141844%79.283.4-4.2
10 Brindisi30121840%81.383.3-2.0
11 Treviso30121840%78.983.6-4.8
12 Varese30121840%82.388.5-6.2
13 Basket Napoli30111937%79.881.8-2.1
14 Trento30111937%78.281.6-3.4
15 Fortitudo Bologna3092130%81.083.7-2.7
16 Cremona3082227%79.584.5-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1916101055
Virtus Bologna2114241675
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