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Tortona vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-86
11-22 20-26 18-20 21-18
Position#5
Record12-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game79.3
Tortona
Italy
vs
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
Position#9
Record9-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game84.4
ItalyLega ARound 25
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Tortona v Pesaro
20 Apr 2024
TOR94
PES76
15 Oct 2022
TOR81
PES73
02 Apr 2022
TOR70
PES86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#8
L
93-98 OT
93
98
-5
no box
H30/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
70-72
70
72
-2
68avg 70
A05/02
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
76-50
76
50
+26
75avg 70
H12/02
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
94-82
94
82
+12
no box
A17/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#3
W
94-82
94
82
+12
no box
H19/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
61-78
61
78
-17
no box
A20/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
64-81
64
81
-17
53avg 70
H06/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
87-83
87
83
+4
81avg 70
A13/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
76avg 70
H19/03
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
61-69
61
69
-8
47avg 70
A27/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
24-26
30-13
16-25
18-15
26-16
12-22
14-19
22-14
16-11
21-15
17-10
21-23
25-13
25-17
23-29
24-18
26-23
30-15
14-26
13-25
20-16
14-12
14-25
22-19
15-21
14-23
13-18
23-19
26-23
20-23
18-18
24-19
22-16
20-20
17-22
13-13
13-15
13-28
22-13
155.5Avg total
78.3Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.479.3158.7+0.252%
Season at home (11)82.579.2161.6+3.364%
Season away (12)76.779.3156.0-2.742%
Last 10 (10)78.377.2155.5+1.150%
Last 5 (5)71.277.6148.8-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.476.8148.2-5.440%
vs Similar (16)80.178.2158.2+1.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)82.179.2161.4+2.962%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
no box
H16/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
78-110
78
110
-32
66avg 71
A20/01
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
78-89
78
89
-11
62avg 71
A23/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
105-108 OT
105
108
-3
no box
H30/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
93-87
93
87
+6
82avg 71
H06/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
57-91
57
91
-34
45avg 71
A13/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
A06/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
80avg 71
H13/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
87-76
87
76
+11
88avg 71
A20/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
83-88
83
88
-5
74avg 71
H27/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
16-18
12-17
25-22
15-26
25-35
18-25
20-24
20-26
17-20
21-19
20-24
17-27
26-20
24-21
25-24
19-30
30-17
21-14
23-26
12-23
15-19
13-25
17-24
17-25
32-18
12-22
16-21
15-26
27-18
22-19
22-21
21-17
19-19
25-16
22-24
28-23
20-15
16-22
19-28
173.0Avg total
82.9Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.084.4164.3-4.439%
Season at home (11)84.484.2168.5+0.245%
Season away (12)75.984.6160.5-8.733%
Last 10 (10)82.990.1173.0-7.240%
Last 5 (5)78.085.0163.0-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.387.5161.8-13.210%
vs Similar (19)83.184.3167.4-1.247%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -2.9-2.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -2.9-2.9
TortonaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H30/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A05/02
Lega A
Trento
#14
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H12/02
Lega A
Trieste
#7
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A17/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H19/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H06/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A13/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H19/03
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A27/03
Lega A
76.8Avg total
40.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.877.7+2.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.238.479.6+2.943%-
Last 30 away (16)38.837.376.1+1.438%-
Last 10 (10)40.536.376.8+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.275.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.837.875.6+0.020%-
vs Similar (16)38.737.976.6+0.831%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.937.880.6+5.162%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
40-61
40
61
-21
A20/01
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A23/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H30/01
Lega A
Cremona
#16
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H06/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A13/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A06/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H13/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A20/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H27/03
Lega A
85.7Avg total
41.5Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.282.3-2.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.242.581.7-3.347%-
Last 30 away (15)41.141.882.9-0.747%-
Last 10 (10)41.544.285.7-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.681.8+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.642.481.0-3.850%-
vs Similar (19)42.341.984.2+0.447%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tortona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.315.1
49.8%
51.1%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.111.0
39.1%
35.4%33.0
🏀 Free throws14.310.3
72.0%
74.7%10.3
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.2
50.7%
51.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.4
38.4%
35.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.214.5
75.5%
74.7%14.5
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
LWWLLWWWLL
Pesaro
LWWLLWLLLW
#5
League position
#9
+2.8
Net rating
-10.5
108.2
Offensive rating
111.2
105.4
Defensive rating
121.7
54.1%
Effective FG%
53.5%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
15.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.32
39.1%
3-point %
38.4%
64.0%
Assist %
52.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 111.2Defence105.4 · 121.7Shooting54.1% · 53.5%3-point %39.1% · 38.4%Ball care15.2% · 16.7%Off. rebounds24.4% · 28.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Tortona   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tortona wins
0
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
17/10/21Pesaro v Tortona81-90
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/22AVenezia61-69
19/03/22HBasket Napoli83-77
13/03/22ASassari87-83
06/03/22HOlimpia Milano64-81
20/02/22AOlimpia Milano61-78
19/02/22HVirtus Bologna94-82
17/02/22ATrieste94-82
12/02/22HTrento76-50
05/02/22ATreviso70-72
30/01/22HReggiana93-98 OT
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/22HBrescia83-88
20/03/22AVarese87-76
13/03/22HBrindisi86-84
06/03/22AReggiana77-86
13/02/22AOlimpia Milano57-91
06/02/22HCremona93-87
30/01/22HTreviso105-108 OT
23/01/22ATrieste78-89
20/01/22ABrescia78-110
16/01/22HOlimpia Milano85-82 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL52%
HomeWLWLW64%
AwayLWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%64%42%
Points / game79.482.576.7
Allowed / game79.379.279.3
Point differential+0.2+3.3-2.7
Avg total158.7161.6156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Pesaro
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL39%
HomeWLWWL45%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %39%45%33%
Points / game80.084.475.9
Allowed / game84.484.284.6
Point differential-4.4+0.2-8.7
Avg total164.3168.5160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%18%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)33% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %9%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2219386%83.870.6+13.2
2 Virtus Bologna2219386%87.978.6+9.3
3 Brescia2316770%84.778.7+6.0
4 Reggiana23121152%80.578.8+1.7
5 Tortona23121152%79.479.3+0.2
6 Sassari22111150%83.082.5+0.5
7 Venezia23111248%77.977.8+0.1
8 Brindisi23111248%80.781.5-0.7
9 Trento23101343%77.179.4-2.3
10 Trieste23101343%77.381.0-3.6
11 Varese23101343%81.386.7-5.4
12 Treviso2291341%78.582.7-4.2
13 Basket Napoli2391439%81.783.7-2.0
14 Pesaro2391439%80.084.4-4.4
15 Fortitudo Bologna2371630%81.384.3-3.0
16 Cremona2371630%79.484.0-4.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona1120182170
Pesaro2226201886
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