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Toyama vs Alvark Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 25 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record9-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game88.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
5.7/10
Above normal
Position#4
Record14-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game82.3
JapanB League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Toyama v Alvark
25 Apr 2027
TOYA v ALVA
upcoming
24 Apr 2027
TOYA v ALVA
upcoming
10 Dec 2023
TOYA67
ALVA92
09 Dec 2023
TOYA66
ALVA89
02 Dec 2020
TOYA104
ALVA85
19 Feb 2017
TOYA81
ALVA100
18 Feb 2017
TOYA66
ALVA82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alvark win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
56-99
56
99
-43
39avg 79
H18/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
105-87
105
87
+18
103avg 79
A21/10
B League
Shimane
#15
W
82-79
82
79
+3
72avg 79
H24/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
61-83
61
83
-22
47avg 79
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#14
W
100-93
100
93
+7
95avg 79
A31/10
B League
Chiba
#14
W
83-78
83
78
+5
84avg 79
A01/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
no box
H07/11
B League
Shimane
#15
L
75-108
75
108
-33
no box
A09/11
B League
Osaka
#26
W
91-77
91
77
+14
no box
H12/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
70-111
70
111
-41
no box
A14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
14-19
16-36
8-20
17-17
22-23
36-24
30-23
20-17
29-20
14-16
19-26
19-18
17-25
9-25
16-15
27-34
30-19
24-11
19-29
20-19
26-10
19-23
18-26
15-22
20-23
27-26
18-22
13-20
20-32
23-26
19-30
18-29
21-10
26-13
26-25
16-34
17-29
27-22
10-26
171.1Avg total
80.3Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.688.4171.0-5.853%
Season at home (8)75.184.8159.9-9.638%
Season away (9)89.291.7180.9-2.467%
Last 10 (10)80.390.8171.1-10.550%
Last 5 (5)79.893.4173.2-13.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)79.289.0168.2-9.837%
vs Similar (8)90.085.1175.1+4.975%
vs Weaker (3)89.075.3164.3+13.7100%
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlvark
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
66-69
66
69
-3
60avg 89
H22/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 89
H24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
112-88
112
88
+24
116avg 89
A26/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
100-90
100
90
+10
99avg 89
H31/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
106-71
106
71
+35
102avg 89
H01/11
B League
Tainan TSG GhostHawks
#8
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
A04/11
EASL
Sendai
#5
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
A06/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
88-67
88
67
+21
no box
H08/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
H11/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
99-83
99
83
+16
no box
H14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
22-21
14-15
11-14
19-23
18-21
18-15
27-32
33-13
28-17
21-30
30-28
25-20
19-26
31-18
25-26
26-15
25-10
24-31
31-15
17-15
23-17
28-27
17-31
10-24
22-19
19-22
18-31
20-16
23-17
23-14
22-20
22-24
11-16
23-20
26-13
27-17
20-24
26-22
26-20
170.7Avg total
88.9Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)92.982.3175.3+10.678%
Season at home (11)87.477.3164.6+10.173%
Season away (7)101.790.3192.0+11.486%
Last 10 (10)88.981.8170.7+7.160%
Last 5 (5)84.681.8166.4+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.094.5161.5-27.50%
vs Similar (6)92.892.8185.7+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)91.679.0170.5+12.681%
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: +0.3+0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -5.9-5.9Q4: +0.3+0.3
ToyamaAlvark
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H18/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A21/10
B League
Shimane
#15
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H24/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#12
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H26/10
B League
Chiba
#14
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A31/10
B League
Chiba
#14
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A01/11
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H07/11
B League
Shimane
#15
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A09/11
B League
Osaka
#26
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H12/11
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
33-63
33
63
-30
A14/11
B League
84.3Avg total
39.9Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.843.885.6-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.141.381.4-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)43.446.389.7-2.953%-
Last 10 (10)39.944.484.3-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.245.682.8-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.745.184.7-5.437%-
vs Similar (8)47.042.489.4+4.662%-
vs Weaker (3)41.039.780.7+1.333%-
This opponent (Alvark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlvarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H22/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H24/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
61-30
61
30
+31
A26/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H31/10
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#17
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H01/11
B League
Tainan TSG GhostHawks
#8
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A04/11
EASL
Sendai
#5
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A06/11
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H08/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H11/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H14/11
B League
80.3Avg total
42.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.584.3+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.337.982.2+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)43.343.186.5+0.240%-
Last 10 (10)42.937.480.3+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.876.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.540.575.0-6.050%-
vs Similar (6)44.349.894.2-5.517%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)44.438.583.0+5.962%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.319.8
47.9%
53.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.67.9
28.6%
32.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws25.719.8
77.0%
73.8%19.8
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alvarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alvark: 94.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.920.6
59.0%
53.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.712.0
37.9%
32.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws23.317.1
73.4%
73.8%17.1
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
LWLLWWLWWL
Alvark
WWWLLWWWLL
#11
League position
#4
-2.9
Net rating
+16.2
90.8
Offensive rating
109.0
93.7
Defensive rating
92.8
45.9%
Effective FG%
58.0%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
13.0%
Turnover %
11.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
28.6%
3-point %
37.9%
71.8%
Assist %
60.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence90.8 · 109.0Defence93.7 · 92.8Shooting45.9% · 58.0%3-point %28.6% · 37.9%Ball care13.0% · 11.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Toyama   ■ Alvark
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toyama wins
10
Alvark wins
DateGameScore
01/02/26Alvark v Toyama70-69
31/01/26Alvark v Toyama75-66
10/12/23Toyama v Alvark67-92
09/12/23Toyama v Alvark66-89
18/12/22Alvark v Toyama78-74
17/12/22Alvark v Toyama74-66
10/10/21Alvark v Toyama114-81
09/10/21Alvark v Toyama96-71
03/03/21Alvark v Toyama114-87
31/01/21Alvark v Toyama90-86
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASeaHorses Mikawa70-111
12/11/26HOsaka91-77
09/11/26AShimane75-108
07/11/26HDiamond Dolphins80-93
01/11/26AChiba83-78
31/10/26AChiba100-93
26/10/26HIbaraki Robots61-83
24/10/26HShimane82-79
21/10/26ALevanga Hokkaido105-87
18/10/26HSeaHorses Mikawa56-99
Alvarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HHiroshima D.99-83
11/11/26HNagasaki82-73
08/11/26HNeoPhoenix88-67
06/11/26ASendai69-96
04/11/26ATainan TSG GhostHawks85-90
01/11/26HUtsunomiya Brex106-71
31/10/26HUtsunomiya Brex100-90
26/10/26ASaga112-88
24/10/26HSeaHorses Mikawa82-91
22/10/26HIbaraki Robots66-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL53%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %53%38%67%
Points / game82.675.189.2
Allowed / game88.484.891.7
Point differential-5.8-9.6-2.4
Avg total171.0159.9180.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Alvark
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW78%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %78%73%86%
Points / game92.987.4101.7
Allowed / game82.377.390.3
Point differential+10.6+10.1+11.4
Avg total175.3164.6192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%64%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
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