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Toyama vs Fukui Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 04:05
Final 103-107 (OT)
26-28 25-22 26-20 20-27 6-10
Position#3
Record38-21
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Fukui 🏆
Japan
Position#7
Record31-28
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game80.4
JapanB2.League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toyama v Fukui
20 Apr 2025
TOYA103
FUKU107
19 Apr 2025
TOYA100
FUKU90
05 Jan 2025
TOYA82
FUKU96
04 Jan 2025
TOYA84
FUKU91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fukui winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
79avg 81
H22/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
78avg 81
H23/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
93-79
93
79
+14
100avg 81
A26/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
72-97
72
97
-25
57avg 81
A29/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
95-101
95
101
-6
90avg 81
A30/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
58avg 81
H05/04
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
96-85
96
85
+11
100avg 81
H06/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
96-103
96
103
-7
87avg 81
A12/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
97-89
97
89
+8
93avg 81
A13/04
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
100-90
100
90
+10
98avg 81
H19/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
19-21
19-18
23-15
17-25
24-16
26-21
21-15
28-26
24-16
19-20
22-17
22-20
18-23
16-24
16-30
22-33
27-25
20-22
26-21
20-18
19-17
16-21
12-24
26-25
25-15
15-16
30-29
25-22
23-29
23-26
25-26
29-18
27-27
19-19
22-25
33-23
27-23
20-22
20-22
178.1Avg total
89.3Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)88.281.9170.1+6.264%
Season at home (29)87.281.1168.3+6.166%
Season away (30)89.182.8171.9+6.363%
Last 10 (10)89.388.8178.1+0.560%
Last 5 (5)91.289.4180.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.598.2180.8-15.825%
vs Similar (6)86.590.0176.5-3.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.779.7168.4+9.075%
This opponent (Fukui) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukuiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukui
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
66avg 75
A22/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
82-67
82
67
+15
87avg 75
A23/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
69-80
69
80
-11
62avg 75
A26/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
72-80
72
80
-8
61avg 75
H29/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
93-78
93
78
+15
92avg 75
H30/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
76-69
76
69
+7
66avg 75
H05/04
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
68-77
68
77
-9
52avg 75
H06/04
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
87-82
87
82
+5
84avg 75
A12/04
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
63-90
63
90
-27
43avg 75
A13/04
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
90-100
90
100
-10
84avg 75
A19/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
19-19
23-23
19-27
27-18
25-18
14-20
16-11
17-21
19-19
19-20
14-20
20-18
20-18
16-22
16-22
27-15
23-18
24-19
19-26
18-21
13-13
20-19
25-16
23-21
11-18
16-16
18-22
21-19
21-15
16-22
29-26
9-24
24-16
14-25
16-25
23-33
23-27
22-20
22-20
159.2Avg total
78.0Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)81.680.4162.0+1.253%
Season at home (30)79.779.7159.4+0.057%
Season away (29)83.681.1164.7+2.548%
Last 10 (10)78.081.2159.2-3.240%
Last 5 (5)76.883.6160.4-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.384.7164.0-5.421%
vs Similar (8)81.278.8160.0+2.562%
vs Weaker (8)82.177.5159.6+4.650%
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.1-2.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.1-2.1
ToyamaFukui
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H22/03
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H23/03
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A26/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A29/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
49-58
49
58
-9
A30/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H05/04
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H06/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A12/04
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A13/04
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H19/04
B2.League
91.4Avg total
47.0Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.339.985.2+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.240.085.2+5.267%-
Last 30 away (15)45.439.785.1+5.760%-
Last 10 (10)47.044.491.4+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)50.843.494.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.248.294.5-2.025%-
vs Similar (6)43.543.086.5+0.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.637.282.9+8.470%-
This opponent (Fukui) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukuiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A22/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A23/03
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A26/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H29/03
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H30/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H05/04
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H06/04
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A12/04
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/04
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A19/04
B2.League
79.3Avg total
40.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.679.9+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.438.777.1-0.333%-
Last 30 away (15)42.240.582.7+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.179.3+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.241.478.6-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)41.343.284.5-1.936%-
vs Similar (8)41.234.876.0+6.575%-
vs Weaker (8)37.638.275.9-0.638%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.326.9
56.9%
51.0%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.75.5
27.9%
32.9%16.5
🏀 Free throws24.318.2
74.9%
70.7%18.2
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fukuitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukui: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.318.6
47.3%
51.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.8
32.0%
32.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.213.4
73.6%
70.7%13.4
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
WWLWLLLWWW
Fukui
LLWLWWLLWL
#3
League position
#7
+0.6
Net rating
-4.6
111.5
Offensive rating
103.6
110.8
Defensive rating
108.2
52.5%
Effective FG%
47.6%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
16.9%
Turnover %
14.0%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.27
27.9%
3-point %
32.0%
69.4%
Assist %
67.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 103.6Defence110.8 · 108.2Shooting52.5% · 47.6%3-point %27.9% · 32.0%Ball care16.9% · 14.0%Off. rebounds31.8% · 26.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Toyama   ■ Fukui
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toyama wins
2
Fukui wins
DateGameScore
19/04/25Toyama v Fukui100-90
16/03/25Fukui v Toyama71-79
15/03/25Fukui v Toyama76-92
05/01/25Toyama v Fukui82-96
04/01/25Toyama v Fukui84-91
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25HFukui100-90
13/04/25AKumamoto97-89
12/04/25AKumamoto96-103
06/04/25HShinshu96-85
05/04/25HShinshu67-80
30/03/25AAltiri Chiba95-101
29/03/25AAltiri Chiba72-97
26/03/25AAomori93-79
23/03/25HShizuoka88-77
22/03/25HShizuoka89-87 OT
Fukuilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25AToyama90-100
13/04/25AYamagata Wyverns63-90
12/04/25AYamagata Wyverns87-82
06/04/25HFukushima68-77
05/04/25HFukushima76-69
30/03/25HKagoshima Rebnise93-78
29/03/25HKagoshima Rebnise72-80
26/03/25AShinshu69-80
23/03/25AFukuoka82-67
22/03/25AFukuoka80-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeWWLWW66%
AwayWLLLW63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games592930
Win %64%66%63%
Points / game88.287.289.1
Allowed / game81.981.182.8
Point differential+6.2+6.1+6.3
Avg total170.1168.3171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%45%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Fukui
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL53%
HomeLLWWL57%
AwayWLWLL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593029
Win %53%57%48%
Points / game81.679.783.6
Allowed / game80.479.781.1
Point differential+1.2+0.0+2.5
Avg total162.0159.4164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%27%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)75% (8)17% (6)
Overtime %3%3%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5956395%91.674.7+17.0
2 Fukuoka59411869%82.874.2+8.6
3 Toyama59382164%88.281.9+6.2
4 Shinshu59372263%84.277.8+6.4
5 Kagoshima Rebnise58362262%82.378.2+4.1
6 Shizuoka59332656%77.675.6+2.1
7 Fukui59312853%81.680.4+1.2
8 Kumamoto59273246%79.579.8-0.3
9 Nara59263344%76.180.2-4.1
10 Kobe58243441%79.882.3-2.6
11 Yamagata Wyverns59233639%78.781.4-2.7
12 Aomori59203934%77.886.3-8.5
13 Fukushima59154425%73.482.0-8.6
14 Ehime Orange Vikings595548%71.490.3-18.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Toyama262526206103
Fukui2822202710107
← all games of the day
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