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Nara vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 69-73
23-15 11-25 12-12 23-21
Position#9
Record8-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#8
Record2-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game87.2
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nara v Kumamoto
01 Dec 2024
NARA69
KUMA73
30 Nov 2024
NARA88
KUMA74
17 Mar 2024
NARA84
KUMA87
16 Mar 2024
NARA87
KUMA77
20 Dec 2023
NARA86
KUMA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
56avg 69
H27/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
94-86
94
86
+8
91avg 69
A02/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
82avg 69
A03/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
65-76
65
76
-11
49avg 69
H09/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
78-69
78
69
+9
77avg 69
H10/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
56-78
56
78
-22
48avg 69
H16/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 69
H17/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
68-66
68
66
+2
58avg 69
A25/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
63-82
63
82
-19
48avg 69
A26/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
88-74
88
74
+14
86avg 69
H30/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
15-21
9-27
17-18
30-23
30-20
14-25
20-18
22-25
19-12
16-15
28-19
15-18
16-15
16-27
18-16
21-19
15-16
15-17
27-17
19-17
14-20
10-23
13-18
19-18
15-24
10-16
22-17
25-11
16-23
13-18
14-14
18-21
18-18
10-22
17-21
17-28
26-8
28-21
17-17
148.6Avg total
72.6Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.878.3155.1-1.544%
Season at home (10)74.580.1154.6-5.630%
Season away (8)79.676.0155.6+3.662%
Last 10 (10)72.676.0148.6-3.450%
Last 5 (5)68.275.0143.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.375.8145.2-6.533%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.682.4166.0+1.250%
vs Weaker (6)81.276.2157.3+5.050%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
61avg 74
A27/10
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
86-94
86
94
-8
79avg 74
H02/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
71-85
71
85
-14
65avg 74
H03/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
73-92
73
92
-19
65avg 74
A09/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
78-94
78
94
-16
66avg 74
A10/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
80-85 OT
80
85
-5
71avg 74
A16/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
84-100
84
100
-16
74avg 74
A17/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
51-60
51
60
-9
42avg 74
H25/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
74-71
74
71
+3
63avg 74
H26/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
74-88
74
88
-14
63avg 74
A30/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
17-22
24-20
15-25
23-30
20-30
25-14
18-20
25-22
12-19
15-16
19-28
18-26
21-23
13-19
21-24
17-27
24-20
19-25
18-22
17-14
18-16
23-27
16-17
24-30
23-21
20-28
17-21
11-10
17-13
19-19
4-18
15-17
18-23
28-18
13-13
28-17
8-26
21-28
17-17
159.7Avg total
74.6Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.987.2162.2-12.311%
Season at home (9)76.184.7160.8-8.622%
Season away (9)73.889.8163.6-16.00%
Last 10 (10)74.685.1159.7-10.510%
Last 5 (5)72.680.8153.4-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.897.6173.4-21.90%
vs Similar ◀ (21)78.387.6165.9-9.310%
vs Weaker (1)95.083.0178.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -7.0-7.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -4.7-4.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -7.0-7.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -4.7-4.7
NaraKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H27/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A02/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A03/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H09/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H10/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H16/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H17/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A25/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A26/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H30/11
B2.League
76.6Avg total
39.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.279.6+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.240.880.1-1.641%-
Last 30 away (13)41.837.279.0+4.762%-
Last 10 (10)39.237.476.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.675.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.338.074.3-1.742%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.141.084.1+2.150%-
vs Weaker (6)43.038.281.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A27/10
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
43-60
43
60
-17
H02/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H03/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A09/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A10/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A16/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A17/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H25/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H26/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A30/11
B2.League
79.6Avg total
37.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.446.886.2-7.520%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.147.188.2-5.933%-
Last 30 away (15)37.646.684.2-9.07%-
Last 10 (10)37.542.179.6-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)35.837.473.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.654.893.4-16.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)39.244.083.1-4.824%-
vs Weaker (1)49.044.093.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.018.7
44.5%
51.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.8
30.6%
32.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.914.2
67.9%
70.7%14.2
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.019.8
48.3%
51.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.9
32.0%
32.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws13.09.4
72.3%
70.7%9.4
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
WLWLLWLWWL
Kumamoto
LWLLLLLLLL
#9
League position
#8
-3.8
Net rating
-16.9
97.4
Offensive rating
98.4
101.2
Defensive rating
115.3
45.0%
Effective FG%
48.2%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
15.3%
Turnover %
18.4%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.20
30.6%
3-point %
32.0%
70.6%
Assist %
63.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 98.4Defence101.2 · 115.3Shooting45.0% · 48.2%3-point %30.6% · 32.0%Ball care15.3% · 18.4%Off. rebounds27.4% · 30.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Nara   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nara wins
4
Kumamoto wins
DateGameScore
30/11/24Nara v Kumamoto88-74
03/11/24Kumamoto v Nara71-85
02/11/24Kumamoto v Nara86-94
17/03/24Nara v Kumamoto84-87
16/03/24Nara v Kumamoto87-77
07/01/24Kumamoto v Nara74-59
06/01/24Kumamoto v Nara87-66
20/12/23Nara v Kumamoto86-78
25/10/23Kumamoto v Nara64-62
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24HKumamoto88-74
26/11/24AShinshu63-82
25/11/24AShinshu68-66
17/11/24HKagoshima Rebnise66-75
16/11/24HKagoshima Rebnise56-78
10/11/24HFukushima78-69
09/11/24HFukushima65-76
03/11/24AKumamoto85-71
02/11/24AKumamoto94-86
27/10/24HFukuoka63-83
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24ANara74-88
26/11/24HShizuoka74-71
25/11/24HShizuoka51-60
17/11/24AYamagata Wyverns84-100
16/11/24AYamagata Wyverns80-85 OT
10/11/24AKobe78-94
09/11/24AKobe73-92
03/11/24HNara71-85
02/11/24HNara86-94
27/10/24AShizuoka75-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeLWLLW30%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %44%30%62%
Points / game76.874.579.6
Allowed / game78.380.176.0
Point differential-1.5-5.6+3.6
Avg total155.1154.6155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%20%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL11%
HomeWLLLW22%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %11%22%0%
Points / game74.976.173.8
Allowed / game87.284.789.8
Point differential-12.3-8.6-16.0
Avg total162.2160.8163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba1817194%92.476.4+15.9
2 Toyama1813572%86.778.6+8.1
3 Fukui1813572%83.277.5+5.7
4 Fukuoka1913668%84.075.1+8.9
5 Shinshu1812667%86.275.4+10.8
6 Kagoshima Rebnise1912763%80.778.8+1.8
7 Kobe189950%84.383.4+0.9
8 Shizuoka189950%75.876.5-0.7
9 Nara1881044%76.878.3-1.5
10 Yamagata Wyverns1981142%81.183.6-2.5
11 Aomori1971237%78.687.7-9.1
12 Fukushima1841422%75.383.9-8.6
13 Kumamoto1821611%74.987.2-12.3
14 Ehime Orange Vikings181176%74.291.8-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara2311122369
Kumamoto1525122173
← all games of the day
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