PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Nara vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 88-74
17-28 26-8 28-21 17-17
Position#9
Record7-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game78.5
Nara 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#8
Record2-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game87.2
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nara v Kumamoto
01 Dec 2024
NARA69
KUMA73
30 Nov 2024
NARA88
KUMA74
17 Mar 2024
NARA84
KUMA87
16 Mar 2024
NARA87
KUMA77
20 Dec 2023
NARA86
KUMA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#2
W
81-62
81
62
+19
77avg 69
H26/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
63-83
63
83
-20
56avg 69
H27/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
94-86
94
86
+8
91avg 69
A02/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
85-71
85
71
+14
82avg 69
A03/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
65-76
65
76
-11
49avg 69
H09/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
78-69
78
69
+9
77avg 69
H10/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
56-78
56
78
-22
48avg 69
H16/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 69
H17/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
68-66
68
66
+2
58avg 69
A25/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
63-82
63
82
-19
48avg 69
A26/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
21-22
15-15
25-9
22-17
15-21
9-27
17-18
30-23
30-20
14-25
20-18
22-25
19-12
16-15
28-19
15-18
16-15
16-27
18-16
21-19
15-16
15-17
27-17
19-17
14-20
10-23
13-18
19-18
15-24
10-16
22-17
25-11
16-23
13-18
14-14
18-21
18-18
10-22
17-21
146.7Avg total
71.9Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.178.5154.6-2.441%
Season at home (9)73.080.8153.8-7.822%
Season away (8)79.676.0155.6+3.662%
Last 10 (10)71.974.8146.7-2.950%
Last 5 (5)66.274.0140.2-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.375.8145.2-6.533%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.582.7166.2+0.850%
vs Weaker (6)81.276.2157.3+5.050%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
L
75-89
75
89
-14
59avg 74
A26/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
61avg 74
A27/10
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
86-94
86
94
-8
79avg 74
H02/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
71-85
71
85
-14
65avg 74
H03/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
73-92
73
92
-19
65avg 74
A09/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
78-94
78
94
-16
66avg 74
A10/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
80-85 OT
80
85
-5
71avg 74
A16/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
84-100
84
100
-16
74avg 74
A17/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
51-60
51
60
-9
42avg 74
H25/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
74-71
74
71
+3
63avg 74
H26/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
22-16
17-18
20-27
19-15
17-22
24-20
15-25
23-30
20-30
25-14
18-20
25-22
12-19
15-16
19-28
18-26
21-23
13-19
21-24
17-27
24-20
19-25
18-22
17-14
18-16
23-27
16-17
24-30
23-21
20-28
17-21
11-10
17-13
19-19
4-18
15-17
18-23
28-18
13-13
159.9Avg total
74.7Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.087.2162.2-12.212%
Season at home (9)76.184.7160.8-8.622%
Season away (8)73.890.0163.8-16.20%
Last 10 (10)74.785.2159.9-10.510%
Last 5 (5)73.482.0155.4-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.698.9175.4-22.30%
vs Similar ◀ (20)78.587.5166.1-9.010%
vs Weaker (1)95.083.0178.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -7.7-7.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -5.4-5.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -7.7-7.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -5.4-5.4
NaraKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H26/10
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H27/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A02/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A03/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H09/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H10/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H16/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H17/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A25/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A26/11
B2.League
76.6Avg total
39.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.279.4+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.040.879.8-1.841%-
Last 30 away (13)41.837.279.0+4.762%-
Last 10 (10)39.037.676.6+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.473.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.338.074.3-1.742%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.840.983.7+1.850%-
vs Weaker (6)43.038.281.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A26/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A27/10
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
43-60
43
60
-17
H02/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H03/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A09/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A10/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A16/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A17/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H25/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H26/11
B2.League
79.9Avg total
37.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.747.286.9-7.520%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.447.689.0-6.131%-
Last 30 away (14)37.746.984.6-9.17%-
Last 10 (10)37.742.279.9-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.838.275.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.454.894.2-15.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)39.444.083.3-4.625%-
vs Weaker (1)49.044.093.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.519.1
46.0%
51.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.7
29.5%
32.9%20.1
🏀 Free throws19.313.0
67.4%
70.7%13.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.419.7
48.8%
51.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.9
32.5%
32.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws13.59.7
71.9%
70.7%9.7
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
LWLLWLWWLW
Kumamoto
WLLLLLLLLL
#9
League position
#8
-3.1
Net rating
-16.9
97.2
Offensive rating
98.3
100.3
Defensive rating
115.2
45.4%
Effective FG%
48.8%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
14.4%
Turnover %
18.2%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.21
29.5%
3-point %
32.5%
70.2%
Assist %
62.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence97.2 · 98.3Defence100.3 · 115.2Shooting45.4% · 48.8%3-point %29.5% · 32.5%Ball care14.4% · 18.2%Off. rebounds25.1% · 28.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Nara   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nara wins
4
Kumamoto wins
DateGameScore
03/11/24Kumamoto v Nara71-85
02/11/24Kumamoto v Nara86-94
17/03/24Nara v Kumamoto84-87
16/03/24Nara v Kumamoto87-77
07/01/24Kumamoto v Nara74-59
06/01/24Kumamoto v Nara87-66
20/12/23Nara v Kumamoto86-78
25/10/23Kumamoto v Nara64-62
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/24AShinshu63-82
25/11/24AShinshu68-66
17/11/24HKagoshima Rebnise66-75
16/11/24HKagoshima Rebnise56-78
10/11/24HFukushima78-69
09/11/24HFukushima65-76
03/11/24AKumamoto85-71
02/11/24AKumamoto94-86
27/10/24HFukuoka63-83
26/10/24HFukuoka81-62
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/24HShizuoka74-71
25/11/24HShizuoka51-60
17/11/24AYamagata Wyverns84-100
16/11/24AYamagata Wyverns80-85 OT
10/11/24AKobe78-94
09/11/24AKobe73-92
03/11/24HNara71-85
02/11/24HNara86-94
27/10/24AShizuoka75-82
26/10/24AShizuoka75-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL41%
HomeLLWLL22%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%22%62%
Points / game76.173.079.6
Allowed / game78.580.876.0
Point differential-2.4-7.8+3.6
Avg total154.6153.8155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%11%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW12%
HomeWLLLW22%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %12%22%0%
Points / game75.076.173.8
Allowed / game87.284.790.0
Point differential-12.2-8.6-16.2
Avg total162.2160.8163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba1817194%92.476.4+15.9
2 Toyama1712571%86.779.0+7.7
3 Fukui1712571%81.477.9+3.5
4 Shinshu1812667%86.275.4+10.8
5 Fukuoka1812667%83.474.8+8.7
6 Kagoshima Rebnise1710759%79.379.5-0.2
7 Shizuoka179853%76.175.9+0.2
8 Kobe189950%84.383.4+0.9
9 Yamagata Wyverns178947%81.982.5-0.6
10 Nara1771041%76.178.5-2.4
11 Aomori1871139%78.687.3-8.8
12 Fukushima1841422%75.383.9-8.6
13 Kumamoto1721512%75.087.2-12.2
14 Ehime Orange Vikings171166%74.490.5-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara1726281788
Kumamoto288211774
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.