PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Osaka vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 72-89
23-20 20-20 15-23 14-26
Position#13
Record29-29
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#16
Record24-34
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game78.4
JapanB League· Osaka Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Osaka v Nagasaki
31 Jan 2027
OSAK v NAGA
upcoming
30 Jan 2027
OSAK v NAGA
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
OSAK71
NAGA80
04 May 2025
OSAK76
NAGA85
03 May 2025
OSAK72
NAGA89
12 Mar 2025
OSAK70
NAGA83
24 Dec 2023
OSAK90
NAGA72
23 Dec 2023
OSAK97
NAGA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#10
W
95-94
95
94
+1
89avg 77
H06/04
B League
Saga
#18
W
85-81
85
81
+4
89avg 77
A09/04
B League
Alvark
#4
W
68-66
68
66
+2
58avg 77
A12/04
B League
Alvark
#4
L
47-82
47
82
-35
34avg 77
A13/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
81-98
81
98
-17
71avg 77
H16/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
78-85
78
85
-7
74avg 77
A19/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
90-76
90
76
+14
92avg 77
A20/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
95-91
95
91
+4
94avg 77
H23/04
B League
Saga
#18
L
79-90
79
90
-11
71avg 77
A26/04
B League
Saga
#18
L
82-106
82
106
-24
74avg 77
A27/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
21-29
23-22
26-28
24-25
20-22
25-22
16-12
11-20
14-18
18-17
25-11
10-24
15-16
11-29
11-13
27-23
16-22
16-28
22-25
23-22
15-23
19-26
21-14
20-19
21-21
23-17
26-19
34-21
25-27
23-21
13-22
14-15
15-30
23-30
27-15
26-28
28-25
9-19
19-34
166.9Avg total
80.0Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)82.283.6165.8-1.450%
Season at home (28)81.881.7163.5+0.154%
Season away (30)82.685.4168.0-2.747%
Last 10 (10)80.086.9166.9-6.950%
Last 5 (5)84.889.6174.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.986.5163.4-9.629%
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.588.9175.4-2.450%
vs Weaker (6)89.382.7172.0+6.783%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
76-79
76
79
-3
66avg 68
A06/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
63-72
63
72
-9
54avg 68
A09/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
W
91-86 OT
91
86
+5
87avg 68
A12/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
78-83
78
83
-5
67avg 68
A13/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
69-67 OT
69
67
+2
63avg 68
H16/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
80-90
80
90
-10
75avg 68
A19/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
66-87
66
87
-21
53avg 68
A20/04
B League
Saga
#18
L
68-78
68
78
-10
63avg 68
H23/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
71-87
71
87
-16
65avg 68
H26/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
66-79
66
79
-13
49avg 68
H27/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
22-10
15-27
20-23
12-18
21-17
7-17
23-20
19-25
9-28
29-12
20-12
16-24
23-15
17-24
22-20
18-20
22-16
5-15
16-10
20-27
20-21
16-22
24-20
24-16
13-26
16-23
13-22
16-13
24-21
14-20
14-24
17-23
21-17
15-29
18-18
13-17
17-18
21-22
15-22
153.6Avg total
72.8Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)75.478.4153.8-3.041%
Season at home (30)73.577.0150.5-3.537%
Season away (28)77.580.0157.5-2.546%
Last 10 (10)72.880.8153.6-8.020%
Last 5 (5)70.284.2154.4-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.581.6157.1-6.129%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.180.3158.4-2.244%
vs Weaker (4)81.079.8160.8+1.250%
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
OsakaNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H06/04
B League
Saga
#18
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A09/04
B League
Alvark
#4
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A12/04
B League
Alvark
#4
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A13/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H16/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A19/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A20/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H23/04
B League
Saga
#18
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A26/04
B League
Saga
#18
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A27/04
B League
84.9Avg total
40.4Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.284.6-1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.241.183.3+1.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.545.485.9-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)40.444.584.9-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.246.290.4-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.342.880.1-5.529%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.944.086.9-1.160%-
vs Weaker (6)48.243.091.2+5.283%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#2
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A06/04
B League
Shimane
#8
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A09/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A12/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A13/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H16/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A19/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A20/04
B League
Saga
#18
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H23/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H26/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H27/04
B League
75.7Avg total
36.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.480.6-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.840.680.4-0.857%-
Last 30 away (16)40.540.380.8+0.238%-
Last 10 (10)36.639.175.7-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.876.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.940.377.2-3.424%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)44.739.984.6+4.878%-
vs Weaker (4)44.042.286.2+1.875%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.3
51.6%
51.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.1
29.0%
33.4%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.014.9
74.5%
72.7%14.9
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.9
51.1%
51.2%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.1
33.5%
33.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws11.78.5
72.6%
72.7%8.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osaka
LLWWLLLWWW
Nagasaki
LLLLLWLWLL
#13
League position
#16
-10.1
Net rating
-11.4
106.1
Offensive rating
97.3
116.2
Defensive rating
108.8
48.6%
Effective FG%
50.7%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
15.7%
Turnover %
19.1%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.19
29.0%
3-point %
33.5%
75.0%
Assist %
56.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 97.3Defence116.2 · 108.8Shooting48.6% · 50.7%3-point %29.0% · 33.5%Ball care15.7% · 19.1%Off. rebounds31.9% · 22.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Osaka   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Osaka wins
3
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
12/03/25Osaka v Nagasaki70-83
23/10/24Nagasaki v Osaka81-79
28/04/24Nagasaki v Osaka84-66
27/04/24Nagasaki v Osaka85-87
24/12/23Osaka v Nagasaki90-72
23/12/23Osaka v Nagasaki97-95
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25ASaga82-106
26/04/25ASaga79-90
23/04/25HShiga95-91
20/04/25AHiroshima D.90-76
19/04/25AHiroshima D.78-85
16/04/25HRyukyu81-98
13/04/25AAlvark47-82
12/04/25AAlvark68-66
09/04/25ASaga85-81
06/04/25HKyoto95-94
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25HKyoto66-79
26/04/25HKyoto71-87
23/04/25HSaga68-78
20/04/25ARyukyu66-87
19/04/25ARyukyu80-90
16/04/25HShiga69-67 OT
13/04/25ASeaHorses Mikawa78-83
12/04/25ASeaHorses Mikawa91-86 OT
09/04/25AShimane63-72
06/04/25ANeoPhoenix76-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osaka
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWWLW54%
AwayLLWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582830
Win %50%54%47%
Points / game82.281.882.6
Allowed / game83.681.785.4
Point differential-1.4+0.1-2.7
Avg total165.8163.5168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)57% (7)62% (13)
Overtime %3%4%3%
Nagasaki
B League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL41%
HomeWWLLL37%
AwayLWLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games583028
Win %41%37%46%
Points / game75.473.577.5
Allowed / game78.477.080.0
Point differential-3.0-3.5-2.5
Avg total153.8150.5157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won39% (18)36% (14)50% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix57461181%90.879.7+11.1
2 Utsunomiya Brex58461279%84.575.4+9.0
3 Ryukyu58441476%85.576.4+9.0
4 Alvark58421672%76.370.6+5.7
5 Chiba58401869%82.276.6+5.6
6 Gunma58382066%77.771.7+5.9
7 SeaHorses Mikawa58382066%81.775.7+5.9
8 Shimane58362262%79.774.8+4.9
9 Diamond Dolphins58342459%82.179.3+2.8
10 Kyoto58312753%82.080.1+1.9
11 Sun Rockers Shibuya58302852%73.170.9+2.2
12 Osaka58292950%82.283.6-1.4
13 Nagoya Fighting Eagles58283048%78.179.5-1.4
14 Akita58273147%73.274.7-1.5
15 Hiroshima D.58273147%79.983.1-3.2
16 Nagasaki58243441%75.478.4-3.0
17 Yokohama58243441%75.379.5-4.2
18 Saga58223638%76.678.8-2.3
19 Hokkaido58203834%75.480.1-4.7
20 Koshigaya Alphas58193933%75.180.4-5.3
21 Brave Thunders58174129%78.986.4-7.5
22 Ibaraki Robots58144424%72.479.6-7.2
23 Sendai58114719%72.982.9-10.1
24 Shiga5784914%77.189.5-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osaka2320151472
Nagasaki2020232689
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.