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Brescia vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 83-72
23-21 14-19 22-14 24-18
Position#4
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game80.6
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#12
Record5-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game83.6
ItalyLega ARound 9· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Brescia v Cremona
21 Nov 2025
BRE83
CRE72
02 Mar 2025
BRE99
CRE87
12 Nov 2023
BRE84
CRE75
19 Dec 2021
BRE86
CRE73
03 Jan 2021
BRE85
CRE89
26 Dec 2019
BRE91
CRE76
14 Apr 2019
BRE86
CRE89
02 Jan 2018
BRE67
CRE80
11 Dec 2016
BRE95
CRE66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
W
88-75
88
75
+13
77avg 81
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
76-90
76
90
-14
66avg 81
H28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#14
W
102-100 OT
102
100
+2
71avg 81
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
72-63
72
63
+9
63avg 81
H11/10
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
81-72
81
72
+9
78avg 81
A19/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
104-94
104
94
+10
95avg 81
H26/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
75-77
75
77
-2
71avg 81
A02/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
98-92
98
92
+6
92avg 81
H05/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
98-75
98
75
+23
100avg 81
H09/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 81
A16/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
12-19
30-14
26-16
24-28
20-19
11-22
21-21
28-30
23-18
10-24
23-12
27-14
12-20
16-13
17-16
16-23
28-16
21-14
16-19
29-27
28-11
28-26
19-30
19-19
17-31
20-13
19-14
27-20
29-21
24-27
18-24
32-26
21-18
18-16
27-15
23-15
21-18
12-16
29-23
168.9Avg total
87.9Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.480.6170.0+8.888%
Season at home (4)93.081.0174.0+12.0100%
Season away (4)85.880.2166.0+5.575%
Last 10 (10)87.981.0168.9+6.980%
Last 5 (5)92.082.0174.0+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.091.0178.0-4.050%
vs Similar (18)82.882.7165.4+0.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)95.981.9177.8+14.0100%
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
89-65
89
65
+24
84avg 75
A04/05
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
94-99
94
99
-5
89avg 75
H11/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
75-82
75
82
-7
60avg 75
A05/10
Lega A
Sassari
#16
W
79-75
79
75
+4
69avg 75
H12/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
86-69
86
69
+17
81avg 75
A20/10
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
96-79
96
79
+17
87avg 75
H26/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
83-91
83
91
-8
66avg 75
A02/11
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
92-83
92
83
+9
88avg 75
H06/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
90-96
90
96
-6
83avg 75
A09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
113-94
113
94
+19
110avg 75
H15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
27-19
22-14
19-17
22-26
24-26
21-19
27-28
13-25
25-11
16-17
21-29
9-13
25-24
19-19
26-19
19-23
22-7
32-20
13-19
28-30
26-12
19-15
23-22
24-23
20-24
18-22
21-22
17-24
28-20
24-22
23-17
28-22
20-28
23-26
19-20
27-22
23-24
35-23
28-25
173.0Avg total
89.7Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.283.6172.9+5.662%
Season at home (4)95.082.8177.8+12.2100%
Season away (4)83.584.5168.0-1.025%
Last 10 (10)89.783.3173.0+6.460%
Last 5 (5)94.888.6183.4+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)79.188.2167.2-9.119%
vs Similar (13)87.882.6170.5+5.269%
vs Weaker (1)89.065.0154.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
BresciaCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#4
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#14
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A05/10
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H11/10
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A19/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H26/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A02/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H05/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H09/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A16/11
Lega A
87.5Avg total
45.6Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.041.986.9+3.170%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.341.687.9+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)43.942.186.0+1.869%-
Last 10 (10)45.641.987.5+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)49.241.290.4+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)50.044.094.0+6.050%-
vs Similar (18)43.142.385.4+0.861%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)49.140.289.3+8.9100%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A04/05
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H11/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A05/10
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H12/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A20/10
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H26/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A02/11
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H06/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H15/11
Lega A
86.6Avg total
44.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.041.082.0-0.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.342.987.2+1.464%-
Last 30 away (16)38.139.477.5-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)44.841.886.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)48.245.894.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.841.780.5-2.938%-
vs Similar (13)43.240.883.9+2.469%-
vs Weaker (1)48.034.082.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.8
52.7%
54.1%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.8
37.8%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.418.9
80.8%
76.1%18.9
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.2
55.2%
54.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.612.0
36.8%
34.6%36.0
🏀 Free throws16.112.1
75.2%
76.1%12.1
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WWWLWWWWLW
Cremona
WLWLWWWLLW
#4
League position
#12
+8.6
Net rating
+8.2
116.7
Offensive rating
116.4
108.1
Defensive rating
108.3
54.1%
Effective FG%
55.2%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.2%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.8%
3-point %
36.8%
56.8%
Assist %
54.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.7 · 116.4Defence108.1 · 108.3Shooting54.1% · 55.2%3-point %37.8% · 36.8%Ball care15.3% · 15.2%Off. rebounds29.5% · 31.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Brescia   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Brescia wins
3
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
02/03/25Brescia v Cremona99-87
10/11/24Cremona v Brescia89-100
20/04/24Cremona v Brescia84-77
12/11/23Brescia v Cremona84-75
24/04/22Cremona v Brescia76-88
19/12/21Brescia v Cremona86-73
25/04/21Cremona v Brescia89-94
03/01/21Brescia v Cremona85-89
26/12/19Brescia v Cremona91-76
14/04/19Brescia v Cremona86-89
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25ABasket Napoli85-72
09/11/25HTrieste98-75
05/11/25HOlimpia Milano98-92
02/11/25ATrapani75-77
26/10/25HCantu104-94
19/10/25AUdine81-72
11/10/25HTrento72-63
05/10/25ATreviso102-100 OT
28/09/25HOlimpia Milano76-90
27/09/25ATrento88-75
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HTrieste113-94
09/11/25ATrapani90-96
06/11/25HTrento92-83
02/11/25ACantu83-91
26/10/25HTreviso96-79
20/10/25AVirtus Bologna86-69
12/10/25HSassari79-75
05/10/25AVenezia75-82
11/05/25HTortona94-99
04/05/25APistoia89-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game89.493.085.8
Allowed / game80.681.080.2
Point differential+8.8+12.0+5.5
Avg total170.0174.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Cremona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game89.295.083.5
Allowed / game83.682.884.5
Point differential+5.6+12.2-1.0
Avg total172.9177.8168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia87188%89.480.6+8.8
2 Virtus Bologna87188%89.080.2+8.8
3 Trapani87188%92.186.9+5.2
4 Venezia86275%91.583.5+8.0
5 Tortona86275%89.587.4+2.1
6 Olimpia Milano85362%86.875.4+11.4
7 Cremona85362%89.283.6+5.6
8 Trieste84450%87.093.6-6.6
9 Trento83538%85.983.2+2.6
10 Basket Napoli83538%84.988.9-4.0
11 Cantu83538%82.091.4-9.4
12 Reggiana82625%81.284.9-3.6
13 Sassari82625%81.987.4-5.5
14 Varese82625%81.190.6-9.5
15 Udine81712%82.284.9-2.6
16 Treviso81712%85.596.8-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2314222483
Cremona2119141872
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