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Trento vs Torino Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 95-87
22-19 23-24 20-27 30-17
Position#6
Record12-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game81.1
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#13
Record6-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game87.5
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Trento v Torino
30 Mar 2019
TRE95
TOR87
30 Dec 2017
TRE79
TOR67
14 Nov 2016
TRE70
TOR74
28 Nov 2015
TRE93
TOR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Torino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A06/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H13/01
Lega A
Cremona
#3
W
89-84
89
84
+5
A20/01
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
92-97
92
97
-5
H27/01
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H02/02
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
A10/02
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
97-79
97
79
+18
H03/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A10/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H17/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A24/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
22-21
11-25
27-22
27-25
21-18
11-15
17-21
20-21
24-19
16-22
29-22
25-21
16-25
23-29
28-22
16-9
21-17
15-24
22-21
22-13
22-10
15-23
14-27
29-20
28-21
18-22
22-16
16-22
21-20
24-10
23-27
26-25
14-14
21-27
21-9
16-21
14-21
15-20
25-26
163.8Avg total
82.3Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.981.1160.0-2.252%
Season at home (11)79.178.0157.1+1.164%
Season away (12)78.783.9162.6-5.242%
Last 10 (10)82.381.5163.8+0.860%
Last 5 (5)82.879.6162.4+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)76.883.7160.5-6.944%
vs Similar ◀ (12)78.881.6160.4-2.842%
vs Weaker (2)77.567.5145.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#8
L
96-106 OT
96
106
-10
H06/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
98-102 OT
98
102
-4
A13/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H20/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
110-115 OT
110
115
-5
A27/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H03/02
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
102-83
102
83
+19
H10/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
91-110
91
110
-19
A03/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
64-80
64
80
-16
H17/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H24/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
22-26
18-17
26-25
26-26
23-15
18-26
19-19
11-19
17-20
25-11
13-23
27-30
23-25
27-22
24-24
15-20
21-15
18-16
23-7
33-20
24-26
24-14
21-23
22-35
12-26
26-22
31-27
24-15
14-29
21-24
23-14
11-27
15-11
19-16
19-26
28-20
17-21
20-30
24-20
179.6Avg total
88.2Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.287.5170.7-4.326%
Season at home (12)80.782.5163.2-1.842%
Season away (11)85.992.9178.8-7.09%
Last 10 (10)88.291.4179.6-3.220%
Last 5 (5)87.092.0179.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)82.691.1173.7-8.611%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.283.8166.0-1.633%
vs Weaker (3)89.089.3178.3-0.333%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.5+1.5
TrentoTorino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H13/01
Lega A
Cremona
#3
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A20/01
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H27/01
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H02/02
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
44-23
44
23
+21
A10/02
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H03/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A10/03
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H17/03
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A24/03
Lega A
79.9Avg total
41.8Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.979.2-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.038.178.1+1.950%-
Last 30 away (16)38.841.480.2-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)41.838.179.9+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.479.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.139.576.6-2.444%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.541.183.6+1.442%-
vs Weaker (2)39.035.574.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#8
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H06/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A13/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H20/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A27/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H03/02
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H10/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-61
34
61
-27
A03/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H17/03
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H24/03
Lega A
85.9Avg total
41.0Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.744.684.3-4.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.642.682.2-3.044%-
Last 30 away (14)39.846.986.6-7.121%-
Last 10 (10)41.044.985.9-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.046.086.0-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.245.184.3-5.828%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.043.483.4-3.444%-
vs Weaker (3)41.745.387.0-3.733%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.021.8
49.5%
51.0%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.2
33.5%
35.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.615.3
70.8%
72.3%15.3
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.221.3
53.0%
51.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.78.4
37.0%
35.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.812.5
70.2%
72.3%12.5
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
LWWWWWLWLL
Torino
LLLLWWLLLL
#6
League position
#13
+1.6
Net rating
-5.7
107.3
Offensive rating
106.9
105.7
Defensive rating
112.6
49.8%
Effective FG%
53.9%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.4%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.5%
3-point %
37.0%
47.9%
Assist %
63.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 106.9Defence105.7 · 112.6Shooting49.8% · 53.9%3-point %33.5% · 37.0%Ball care16.2% · 17.4%Off. rebounds31.9% · 25.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Trento   ■ Torino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Trento wins
5
Torino wins
DateGameScore
08/12/18Torino v Trento86-84
29/09/18Torino v Trento81-72
29/04/18Torino v Trento88-92
30/12/17Trento v Torino79-67
13/03/17Torino v Trento76-67
14/11/16Trento v Torino70-74
20/03/16Torino v Trento71-69
28/11/15Trento v Torino93-85
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/19ASassari70-88
17/03/19HTrieste82-75
10/03/19ABrescia84-79
03/03/19HAvellino97-79
10/02/19AVenezia81-77 OT
02/02/19HVarese74-71
27/01/19HCantu92-97
20/01/19ACremona89-84
13/01/19HBrindisi76-79
06/01/19AOlimpia Milano78-86
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/19HBrescia89-91
17/03/19HVirtus Bologna64-80
10/03/19ABrindisi89-96 OT
03/03/19AOlimpia Milano91-110
10/02/19HSassari102-83
03/02/19HReggiana77-58
27/01/19ATrieste110-115 OT
20/01/19HVenezia66-73
13/01/19APesaro98-102 OT
06/01/19HCantu96-106 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL52%
HomeLLWWW64%
AwayLWWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %52%64%42%
Points / game78.979.178.7
Allowed / game81.178.083.9
Point differential-2.2+1.1-5.2
Avg total160.0157.1162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Torino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL26%
HomeLWWLL42%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %26%42%9%
Points / game83.280.785.9
Allowed / game87.582.592.9
Point differential-4.3-1.8-7.0
Avg total170.7163.2178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %22%8%36%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2318578%86.777.7+9.0
2 Venezia2317674%82.273.2+9.0
3 Cremona2315865%82.277.9+4.3
4 Brindisi2314961%82.479.5+3.0
5 Avellino2314961%80.179.8+0.3
6 Varese23131057%79.275.0+4.2
7 Trieste23121152%87.083.2+3.8
8 Virtus Bologna23121152%81.181.1-0.0
9 Trento23121152%78.981.1-2.2
10 Cantu23121152%83.886.6-2.7
11 Sassari23111248%84.782.0+2.7
12 Brescia23111248%79.780.5-0.8
13 Torino2361726%83.287.5-4.3
14 Reggiana2361726%77.383.0-5.7
15 Pesaro2361726%80.592.4-11.9
16 Pistoia2351822%75.183.7-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento2223203095
Torino1924271787
← all games of the day
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