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Torino vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-91
28-20 17-21 20-30 24-20
Position#13
Record6-16
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game87.3
Torino
Italy
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#12
Record10-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game80.1
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Torino v Brescia
24 Mar 2019
TOR89
BRE91
18 Feb 2018
TOR69
BRE67
07 Jan 2018
TOR95
BRE86
02 Jan 2017
TOR86
BRE91
24 May 2015
TOR91
BRE86
22 May 2015
TOR89
BRE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TorinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorino
Date
Competition
Cremona
#3
L
87-100
87
100
-13
112avg 107
A30/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
96-106 OT
96
106
-10
no box
H06/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
98-102 OT
98
102
-4
no box
A13/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
66-73
66
73
-7
93avg 107
H20/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
110-115 OT
110
115
-5
no box
A27/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
77-58
77
58
+19
109avg 107
H03/02
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
102-83
102
83
+19
134avg 107
H10/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
91-110
91
110
-19
123avg 107
A03/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
no box
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
64-80
64
80
-16
92avg 107
H17/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
24-28
23-26
24-23
25-23
22-26
18-17
26-25
26-26
23-15
18-26
19-19
11-19
17-20
25-11
13-23
27-30
23-25
27-22
24-24
15-20
21-15
18-16
23-7
33-20
24-26
24-14
21-23
22-35
12-26
26-22
31-27
24-15
14-29
21-24
23-14
11-27
15-11
19-16
19-26
180.3Avg total
88.0Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.987.3170.2-4.427%
Season at home (11)79.981.7161.6-1.845%
Season away (11)85.992.9178.8-7.09%
Last 10 (10)88.092.3180.3-4.320%
Last 5 (5)84.685.4170.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)82.691.1173.7-8.611%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.482.9164.2-1.538%
vs Weaker (4)86.888.0174.8-1.225%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
71-95
71
95
-24
97avg 109
H30/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
80-88
80
88
-8
107avg 109
A06/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
72-70
72
70
+2
100avg 109
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
78-73
78
73
+5
105avg 109
H20/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
82-79
82
79
+3
94avg 109
A27/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
77-85
77
85
-8
120avg 109
H03/02
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
67-79
67
79
-12
93avg 109
A10/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
92-86
92
86
+6
124avg 109
A03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
98avg 109
H10/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
97-80 OT
97
80
+17
no box
H17/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-31
20-25
22-26
16-13
16-24
18-18
29-21
17-25
22-17
12-25
22-13
16-15
16-17
25-11
22-25
15-20
24-29
22-15
20-14
16-21
15-32
22-20
16-19
24-14
26-18
15-22
8-21
18-18
17-26
26-25
26-17
23-18
22-16
20-21
10-24
27-23
22-29
24-10
19-27
12-11
161.4Avg total
79.5Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.280.1159.3-0.945%
Season at home (11)79.978.5158.4+1.564%
Season away (11)78.581.7160.2-3.327%
Last 10 (10)79.581.9161.4-2.450%
Last 5 (5)82.482.8165.2-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.485.8164.2-7.436%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.277.1156.3+2.246%
vs Weaker (3)82.080.0162.0+2.067%
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
TorinoBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TorinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A30/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H06/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A13/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H20/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A27/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H03/02
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H10/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-61
34
61
-27
A03/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A10/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H17/03
Lega A
86.4Avg total
40.5Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.545.184.6-5.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.343.582.8-4.238%-
Last 30 away (14)39.846.986.6-7.121%-
Last 10 (10)40.545.986.4-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.244.883.0-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.245.184.3-5.828%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.443.883.1-4.438%-
vs Weaker (4)41.247.889.0-6.525%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H30/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A06/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H20/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A27/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H03/02
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/02
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A03/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H17/03
Lega A
82.8Avg total
39.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.182.5-1.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.381.4+0.967%-
Last 30 away (15)39.544.083.5-4.547%-
Last 10 (10)39.743.182.8-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.885.6-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.345.984.1-7.636%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.037.879.8+4.285%-
vs Weaker (3)42.743.386.0-0.733%-
This opponent (Torino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Torinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torino: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.2
51.7%
51.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.3
35.8%
35.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.911.9
70.4%
72.3%11.9
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.6
49.2%
51.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.96.2
29.7%
35.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws25.918.7
72.2%
72.3%18.7
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Torino
LLLWWLLLLL
Brescia
WLWLLWWWLL
#13
League position
#12
-8.4
Net rating
-7.5
104.5
Offensive rating
104.3
112.9
Defensive rating
111.8
52.4%
Effective FG%
47.6%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.6%
Turnover %
18.9%
23.0%
Off. rebound %
33.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.43
35.8%
3-point %
29.7%
64.2%
Assist %
58.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 104.3Defence112.9 · 111.8Shooting52.4% · 47.6%3-point %35.8% · 29.7%Ball care16.6% · 18.9%Off. rebounds23.0% · 33.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Torino   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Torino wins
5
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
25/11/18Brescia v Torino83-76
06/05/18Brescia v Torino98-95 OT
18/02/18Torino v Brescia69-67
07/01/18Torino v Brescia95-86
30/04/17Brescia v Torino96-89
02/01/17Torino v Brescia86-91
24/05/15Torino v Brescia91-86 OT
22/05/15Torino v Brescia89-68
19/05/15Brescia v Torino74-85
17/05/15Brescia v Torino78-73
Torinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/19HVirtus Bologna64-80
10/03/19ABrindisi89-96 OT
03/03/19AOlimpia Milano91-110
10/02/19HSassari102-83
03/02/19HReggiana77-58
27/01/19ATrieste110-115 OT
20/01/19HVenezia66-73
13/01/19APesaro98-102 OT
06/01/19HCantu96-106 OT
30/12/18ACremona87-100
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/19HBrindisi97-80 OT
10/03/19HTrento79-84
03/03/19APesaro92-86
10/02/19AAvellino67-79
03/02/19HTrieste77-85
27/01/19AReggiana82-79
20/01/19HVarese78-73
12/01/19HVenezia72-70
06/01/19AVirtus Bologna80-88
30/12/18HSassari71-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL27%
HomeLLWWL45%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %27%45%9%
Points / game82.979.985.9
Allowed / game87.381.792.9
Point differential-4.4-1.8-7.0
Avg total170.2161.6178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)100% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %23%9%36%
Brescia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW45%
HomeWWLLW64%
AwayLLWLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%64%27%
Points / game79.279.978.5
Allowed / game80.178.581.7
Point differential-0.9+1.5-3.3
Avg total159.3158.4160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)67% (6)33% (6)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2218482%87.477.8+9.6
2 Venezia2317674%82.273.2+9.0
3 Cremona2214864%82.578.2+4.3
4 Avellino2314961%80.179.8+0.3
5 Varese2213959%79.374.8+4.5
6 Brindisi2213959%82.579.6+2.9
7 Trento22121055%79.380.8-1.5
8 Trieste23121152%87.083.2+3.8
9 Virtus Bologna23121152%81.181.1-0.0
10 Cantu23121152%83.886.6-2.7
11 Sassari22101245%84.682.6+2.0
12 Brescia22101245%79.280.1-0.9
13 Torino2261627%82.987.3-4.4
14 Pesaro2361726%80.592.4-11.9
15 Reggiana2251723%77.283.4-6.1
16 Pistoia2251723%75.183.8-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Torino2817202489
Brescia2021302091
← all games of the day
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