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Treviso vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 100-102 (OT)
30-28 18-23 24-10 12-23 16-18
Position#14
Record-
FormLWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Treviso
Italy
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#4
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega ARound 1· PalaVerde
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Treviso v Brescia
05 Oct 2025
TRV100
BRE102
04 Jan 2025
TRV86
BRE84
07 Oct 2023
TRV71
BRE99
05 Nov 2022
TRV99
BRE92
27 Dec 2021
TRV69
BRE94
07 Sep 2021
TRV90
BRE86
11 Oct 2020
TRV87
BRE94
17 Nov 2019
TRV72
BRE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
78avg 75
A09/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 75
H16/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
88-86
88
86
+2
81avg 75
H23/03
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
77-94
77
94
-17
59avg 75
A30/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
60avg 75
H07/04
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
82-95
82
95
-13
79avg 75
A13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
92-91
92
91
+1
87avg 75
H19/04
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
92-87
92
87
+5
90avg 75
A27/04
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
83-72
83
72
+11
74avg 75
H04/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
91-114
91
114
-23
83avg 75
A11/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
24-20
15-19
12-28
23-17
13-23
12-17
22-19
19-19
26-23
22-23
21-21
19-29
22-26
15-22
21-17
17-17
17-19
17-24
23-20
17-14
25-29
13-28
27-24
25-20
33-22
19-17
15-32
19-24
23-26
22-16
28-21
12-22
26-16
13-16
32-18
30-22
19-28
26-26
16-38
171.4Avg total
82.9Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.988.5171.4-5.640%
Last 5 (5)88.091.8179.8-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)81.690.1171.6-8.519%
vs Similar (8)84.686.2170.9-1.650%
vs Weaker (6)92.385.3177.7+7.083%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
W
80-70
80
70
+10
65avg 82
A22/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
82avg 82
A24/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
93-92
93
92
+1
90avg 82
A30/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 82
A01/06
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
92-86
92
86
+6
83avg 82
H04/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
87-90
87
90
-3
82avg 82
A12/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
65-75
65
75
-10
56avg 82
A14/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
74-96
74
96
-22
60avg 82
H17/06
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
88-75
88
75
+13
77avg 82
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
76-90
76
90
-14
66avg 82
H28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-23
18-18
28-15
23-14
16-15
22-29
23-15
16-18
34-26
23-19
16-21
20-26
27-14
25-29
15-17
18-17
23-30
24-12
24-27
21-17
23-20
22-21
22-22
20-27
21-22
11-17
19-19
14-17
15-28
13-22
23-26
23-20
20-26
12-19
30-14
26-16
24-28
20-19
11-22
21-21
167.1Avg total
83.2Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.283.9167.1-0.760%
Last 5 (5)78.085.2163.2-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.090.0166.0-14.00%
vs Similar (19)83.683.6167.2-0.158%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)99.185.5184.6+13.675%
This opponent (Treviso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +0.9+0.9
TrevisoBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A09/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H16/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H23/03
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A30/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H07/04
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A13/04
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H19/04
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A27/04
Lega A
Venezia
#8
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A11/05
Lega A
87.7Avg total
43.8Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.444.187.5-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.342.384.6-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)44.645.890.4-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)43.843.987.7-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)45.844.690.4+1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)43.643.086.6+0.650%-
vs Similar (8)44.644.188.8+0.538%-
vs Weaker (6)41.346.888.2-5.533%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A22/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A24/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A30/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A01/06
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H04/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A14/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H17/06
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H28/09
Lega A - Super Cup
84.1Avg total
40.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.341.986.2+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.841.885.6+2.056%-
Last 30 away (14)44.942.086.9+2.964%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.784.1-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)36.244.480.6-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.047.091.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (19)43.442.285.6+1.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)48.441.289.6+7.175%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.5
49.2%
54.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.1
35.8%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws21.215.6
73.6%
76.1%15.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.1
50.3%
54.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.8
36.1%
34.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.719.2
81.0%
76.1%19.2
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviso
LWWWLLLWLL
Brescia
LWLLLWWWWW
#14
League position
#4
-7.6
Net rating
-2.8
106.6
Offensive rating
114.5
114.2
Defensive rating
117.3
51.0%
Effective FG%
51.8%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
17.6%
Turnover %
14.4%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.8%
3-point %
36.1%
59.4%
Assist %
57.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 114.5Defence114.2 · 117.3Shooting51.0% · 51.8%3-point %35.8% · 36.1%Ball care17.6% · 14.4%Off. rebounds30.2% · 28.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Treviso   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Treviso wins
5
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
11/05/25Brescia v Treviso114-91
04/01/25Treviso v Brescia86-84
14/01/24Brescia v Treviso88-67
07/10/23Treviso v Brescia71-99
22/01/23Brescia v Treviso80-81
05/11/22Treviso v Brescia99-92
13/03/22Brescia v Treviso101-78
27/12/21Treviso v Brescia69-94
07/09/21Treviso v Brescia90-86
05/09/21Brescia v Treviso78-84
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25ABrescia91-114
04/05/25HVenezia83-72
27/04/25AScafati92-87
19/04/25HTortona92-91
13/04/25ATrapani82-95
07/04/25HVirtus Bologna74-80
30/03/25ACremona77-94
23/03/25HVarese88-86
16/03/25HSassari70-76
09/03/25AOlimpia Milano80-90
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25HOlimpia Milano76-90
27/09/25ATrento88-75
17/06/25HVirtus Bologna74-96
14/06/25AVirtus Bologna65-75
12/06/25AVirtus Bologna87-90
04/06/25HTrapani92-86
01/06/25ATrapani85-77
30/05/25ATrapani93-92
24/05/25ATrieste92-88 OT
22/05/25ATrieste80-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviso
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Brescia
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Reggiana110100%76.071.0+5.0
2 Trapani110100%91.087.0+4.0
3 Tortona110100%74.071.0+3.0
4 Olimpia Milano1010%71.074.0-3.0
5 Trieste1010%87.091.0-4.0
6 Udine1010%71.076.0-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Treviso3018241216100
Brescia2823102318102
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