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Brescia vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 74-96
15-28 13-22 23-26 23-20
Position#2
Record28-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game84.6
vs
Position#1
Record31-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game77.8
ItalyLega ALega A - Final· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Brescia v Virtus Bologna
09 Feb 2026
BRE79
VIR87
17 Jun 2025
BRE74
VIR96
01 Dec 2024
BRE98
VIR97
25 Mar 2024
BRE73
VIR87
18 Dec 2022
BRE77
VIR89
14 Nov 2021
BRE74
VIR103
04 Oct 2020
BRE80
VIR81
26 Oct 2019
BRE80
VIR82
24 Apr 2019
BRE77
VIR75
18 Mar 2018
BRE66
VIR70
16 Feb 2018
BRE97
VIR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
W
114-91
114
91
+23
102avg 84
H11/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
89-77
89
77
+12
79avg 84
H17/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
92-103
92
103
-11
87avg 84
H19/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
80-70
80
70
+10
65avg 84
A22/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
82avg 84
A24/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
93-92
93
92
+1
90avg 84
A30/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 84
A01/06
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
92-86
92
86
+6
83avg 84
H04/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
87-90
87
90
-3
82avg 84
A12/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
65-75
65
75
-10
56avg 84
A14/06
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-30
28-19
26-26
38-16
25-22
27-18
16-11
21-26
31-16
15-32
28-32
18-23
11-23
18-18
28-15
23-14
16-15
22-29
23-15
16-18
34-26
23-19
16-21
20-26
27-14
25-29
15-17
18-17
23-30
24-12
24-27
21-17
23-20
22-21
22-22
20-27
21-22
11-17
19-19
14-17
173.8Avg total
88.9Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)89.784.6174.3+5.172%
Season at home (18)92.686.8179.4+5.778%
Season away (21)87.282.7169.9+4.567%
Last 10 (10)88.984.9173.8+4.070%
Last 5 (5)84.484.0168.4+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.093.0139.0-47.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)84.182.9167.1+1.261%
vs Weaker (10)96.785.3182.0+11.470%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
W
77-75
77
75
+2
73avg 78
H20/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
82-89
82
89
-7
75avg 78
A23/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 78
A25/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
77avg 78
H27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
68-67
68
67
+1
62avg 78
H31/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
66-85
66
85
-19
57avg 78
H02/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
78-68
78
68
+10
76avg 78
A05/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
84-78
84
78
+6
84avg 78
A07/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
90-87
90
87
+3
89avg 78
H12/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
75-65
75
65
+10
70avg 78
H14/06
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
20-20
15-26
22-16
15-22
22-25
22-18
23-24
17-13
21-25
21-22
19-24
22-21
19-18
24-26
21-19
17-13
13-20
22-18
16-16
20-27
15-17
23-22
8-19
25-15
15-20
14-19
24-14
19-29
23-15
23-15
19-19
20-23
21-22
22-22
27-20
22-21
17-11
19-19
17-14
156.6Avg total
78.4Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)84.377.8162.0+6.576%
Season at home (22)85.076.5161.5+8.591%
Season away (19)83.479.3162.7+4.258%
Last 10 (10)78.478.2156.6+0.270%
Last 5 (5)78.676.6155.2+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.888.0156.8-19.20%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.377.2158.6+4.183%
vs Weaker (13)86.976.5163.4+10.569%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.1+1.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.1+1.1
BresciaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H11/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H17/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H19/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A22/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A24/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A30/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A01/06
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H04/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A14/06
Lega A
88.0Avg total
44.8Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.441.585.9+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.340.986.2+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)43.542.185.6+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.288.0+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.642.088.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)21.039.060.0-18.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)44.341.886.1+2.561%-
vs Weaker (10)47.242.189.3+5.170%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#8
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H20/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A23/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H31/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H02/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A05/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A07/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/06
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H14/06
Lega A
77.3Avg total
38.3Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.380.0+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.638.978.5+0.862%-
Last 30 away (14)41.839.981.6+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)38.339.077.3-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.079.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.847.881.6-14.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.239.179.3+1.250%-
vs Weaker (13)43.636.379.9+7.377%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.6
54.4%
52.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.19.0
37.3%
35.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws23.519.5
83.0%
76.8%19.5
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.0
54.3%
52.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.16.6
31.3%
35.8%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.917.8
85.2%
76.8%17.8
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLWWWWWLWW
Virtus Bologna
WWWWLWWLLW
#2
League position
#1
+4.9
Net rating
+0.6
120.5
Offensive rating
112.8
115.6
Defensive rating
112.3
55.0%
Effective FG%
51.6%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
14.5%
Turnover %
16.5%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.3%
3-point %
31.3%
57.8%
Assist %
62.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence120.5 · 112.8Defence115.6 · 112.3Shooting55.0% · 51.6%3-point %37.3% · 31.3%Ball care14.5% · 16.5%Off. rebounds31.1% · 30.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Brescia   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brescia wins
8
Virtus Bologna wins
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/25AVirtus Bologna65-75
12/06/25AVirtus Bologna87-90
04/06/25HTrapani92-86
01/06/25ATrapani85-77
30/05/25ATrapani93-92
24/05/25ATrieste92-88 OT
22/05/25ATrieste80-70
19/05/25HTrieste92-103
17/05/25HTrieste89-77
11/05/25HTreviso114-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/06/25HBrescia75-65
12/06/25HBrescia90-87
07/06/25AOlimpia Milano84-78
05/06/25AOlimpia Milano78-68
02/06/25HOlimpia Milano66-85
31/05/25HOlimpia Milano68-67
27/05/25HVenezia86-84
25/05/25AVenezia78-84
23/05/25AVenezia82-89
20/05/25HVenezia77-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL72%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391821
Win %72%78%67%
Points / game89.792.687.2
Allowed / game84.686.882.7
Point differential+5.1+5.7+4.5
Avg total174.3179.4169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%39%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)100% (2)60% (10)
Overtime %5%6%5%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW76%
HomeWWLWW91%
AwayWLLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412219
Win %76%91%58%
Points / game84.385.083.4
Allowed / game77.876.579.3
Point differential+6.5+8.5+4.2
Avg total162.0161.5162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%45%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (12)100% (8)50% (4)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna41311076%84.377.8+6.5
2 Brescia39281172%89.784.6+5.1
3 Trapani36251169%93.585.3+8.1
4 Trento34231168%86.981.8+5.1
5 Olimpia Milano38241463%87.381.8+5.5
6 Trieste34191556%86.985.3+1.6
7 Reggiana33181555%79.978.8+1.1
8 Venezia35181751%83.280.5+2.7
9 Tortona30151550%86.286.0+0.2
10 Sassari30121840%81.184.5-3.4
11 Treviso30121840%84.588.1-3.6
12 Varese30102033%86.394.9-8.6
13 Cremona3092130%79.884.6-4.8
14 Basket Napoli3092130%83.688.9-5.3
15 Scafati3062420%84.492.9-8.5
16 Pistoia3062420%78.789.0-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia1513232374
Virtus Bologna2822262096
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