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Virtus Bologna vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 90-87
20-23 21-22 22-22 27-20
Position#1
Record29-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game77.8
Virtus Bologna 🏆
Italy
vs
Brescia
Italy
Position#2
Record28-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game84.7
ItalyLega ALega A - Final· Segafredo Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Brescia
22 Dec 2025
VIR86
BRE76
14 Jun 2025
VIR75
BRE65
12 Jun 2025
VIR90
BRE87
14 Apr 2025
VIR91
BRE79
20 Nov 2023
VIR88
BRE76
24 Sep 2023
VIR97
BRE60
19 Feb 2023
VIR76
BRE84
05 Feb 2023
VIR84
BRE78
08 May 2022
VIR79
BRE57
23 Jan 2021
VIR89
BRE90
01 Mar 2020
VIR v BRE
upcoming
06 Jan 2019
VIR88
BRE80
12 Nov 2017
VIR74
BRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
W
101-96 OT
101
96
+5
99avg 78
H11/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
90-85
90
85
+5
89avg 78
H18/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
77-75
77
75
+2
73avg 78
H20/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
82-89
82
89
-7
75avg 78
A23/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 78
A25/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
77avg 78
H27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
68-67
68
67
+1
62avg 78
H31/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
66-85
66
85
-19
57avg 78
H02/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
78-68
78
68
+10
76avg 78
A05/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
84-78
84
78
+6
84avg 78
A07/06
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
24-24
24-25
18-27
28-18
17-23
29-15
16-29
20-13
20-20
15-26
22-16
15-22
22-25
22-18
23-24
17-13
21-25
21-22
19-24
22-21
19-18
24-26
21-19
17-13
13-20
22-18
16-16
20-27
15-17
23-22
8-19
25-15
15-20
14-19
24-14
19-29
23-15
23-15
19-19
162.1Avg total
81.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)84.477.8162.2+6.574%
Season at home (20)85.276.5161.8+8.890%
Season away (19)83.479.3162.7+4.258%
Last 10 (10)81.081.1162.1-0.170%
Last 5 (5)76.476.4152.8+0.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.888.0156.8-19.20%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.177.5158.6+3.680%
vs Weaker (14)87.775.7163.4+12.071%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
W
79-66
79
66
+13
80avg 84
H27/04
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
96-77
96
77
+19
98avg 84
A04/05
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
114-91
114
91
+23
102avg 84
H11/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
89-77
89
77
+12
79avg 84
H17/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
92-103
92
103
-11
87avg 84
H19/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
80-70
80
70
+10
65avg 84
A22/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
82avg 84
A24/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
93-92
93
92
+1
90avg 84
A30/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 84
A01/06
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
92-86
92
86
+6
83avg 84
H04/06
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
18-20
19-18
23-16
20-28
28-14
24-19
24-16
22-30
28-19
26-26
38-16
25-22
27-18
16-11
21-26
31-16
15-32
28-32
18-23
11-23
18-18
28-15
23-14
16-15
22-29
23-15
16-18
34-26
23-19
16-21
20-26
27-14
25-29
15-17
18-17
23-30
24-12
24-27
21-17
173.9Avg total
91.2Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)90.484.7175.1+5.776%
Season at home (18)92.686.8179.4+5.778%
Season away (19)88.482.7171.1+5.774%
Last 10 (10)91.282.7173.9+8.590%
Last 5 (5)88.482.6171.0+5.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.093.0139.0-47.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)85.483.4168.8+2.171%
vs Weaker (11)96.785.2181.9+11.573%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
Virtus BolognaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H11/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H18/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H20/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A23/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/05
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H27/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H31/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H02/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A05/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A07/06
Lega A
78.6Avg total
39.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.680.5+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.139.578.6-0.360%-
Last 30 away (15)42.639.782.3+2.953%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.178.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.076.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.847.881.6-14.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.339.279.5+1.150%-
vs Weaker (14)44.436.480.8+7.979%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#7
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H27/04
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A04/05
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H11/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H17/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H19/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A22/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A24/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A30/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A01/06
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H04/06
Lega A
88.2Avg total
45.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.941.886.7+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.641.186.7+4.669%-
Last 30 away (14)44.142.686.8+1.557%-
Last 10 (10)45.642.688.2+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.643.087.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)21.039.060.0-18.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)44.942.287.1+2.759%-
vs Weaker (11)47.542.389.7+5.273%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.7
54.1%
52.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.4
33.2%
35.8%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.218.6
83.8%
76.8%18.6
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 90.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.8
54.0%
52.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.2
37.9%
35.8%27.6
🏀 Free throws24.721.2
85.8%
76.8%21.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWLWWLLWWW
Brescia
WWWWWLWWWW
#1
League position
#2
+0.1
Net rating
+11.7
112.2
Offensive rating
121.1
112.0
Defensive rating
109.4
52.5%
Effective FG%
55.1%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
14.5%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.39
33.2%
3-point %
37.9%
63.8%
Assist %
59.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 121.1Defence112.0 · 109.4Shooting52.5% · 55.1%3-point %33.2% · 37.9%Ball care17.3% · 14.5%Off. rebounds29.2% · 29.4%Free throws0.38 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Virtus Bologna wins
2
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
14/04/25Virtus Bologna v Brescia91-79
01/12/24Brescia v Virtus Bologna98-97
25/03/24Brescia v Virtus Bologna73-87
20/11/23Virtus Bologna v Brescia88-76
24/09/23Virtus Bologna v Brescia97-60
19/02/23Virtus Bologna v Brescia76-84
05/02/23Virtus Bologna v Brescia84-78
18/12/22Brescia v Virtus Bologna77-89
08/05/22Virtus Bologna v Brescia79-57
14/11/21Brescia v Virtus Bologna74-103
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/06/25AOlimpia Milano84-78
05/06/25AOlimpia Milano78-68
02/06/25HOlimpia Milano66-85
31/05/25HOlimpia Milano68-67
27/05/25HVenezia86-84
25/05/25AVenezia78-84
23/05/25AVenezia82-89
20/05/25HVenezia77-75
18/05/25HVenezia90-85
11/05/25HTrapani101-96 OT
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/06/25HTrapani92-86
01/06/25ATrapani85-77
30/05/25ATrapani93-92
24/05/25ATrieste92-88 OT
22/05/25ATrieste80-70
19/05/25HTrieste92-103
17/05/25HTrieste89-77
11/05/25HTreviso114-91
04/05/25ASassari96-77
27/04/25HReggiana79-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW74%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayWLLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %74%90%58%
Points / game84.485.283.4
Allowed / game77.876.579.3
Point differential+6.5+8.8+4.2
Avg total162.2161.8162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%45%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (11)100% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %3%5%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayWWWWW74%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %76%78%74%
Points / game90.492.688.4
Allowed / game84.786.882.7
Point differential+5.7+5.7+5.7
Avg total175.1179.4171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%39%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)100% (2)67% (9)
Overtime %5%6%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia3728976%90.484.7+5.7
2 Virtus Bologna39291074%84.477.8+6.5
3 Trapani36251169%93.585.3+8.1
4 Trento34231168%86.981.8+5.1
5 Olimpia Milano38241463%87.381.8+5.5
6 Trieste34191556%86.985.3+1.6
7 Reggiana33181555%79.978.8+1.1
8 Venezia35181751%83.280.5+2.7
9 Tortona30151550%86.286.0+0.2
10 Sassari30121840%81.184.5-3.4
11 Treviso30121840%84.588.1-3.6
12 Varese30102033%86.394.9-8.6
13 Cremona3092130%79.884.6-4.8
14 Basket Napoli3092130%83.688.9-5.3
15 Scafati3062420%84.492.9-8.5
16 Pistoia3062420%78.789.0-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2021222790
Brescia2322222087
← all games of the day
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