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Treviso vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 88-86
19-19 26-23 22-23 21-21
Position#11
Record8-14
FormWLLLL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game87.5
Treviso 🏆
Italy
vs
Varese
Italy
Position#12
Record6-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game97.8
ItalyLega ARound 23· PalaVerde
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Treviso v Varese
14 Feb 2027
TRV v VAR
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
TRV86
VAR83
23 Mar 2025
TRV88
VAR86
06 Jan 2024
TRV96
VAR101
02 Apr 2023
TRV95
VAR97
31 Oct 2021
TRV96
VAR78
18 Apr 2021
TRV94
VAR103
05 Jan 2020
TRV79
VAR84
25 Apr 2012
TRV55
VAR71
06 Nov 2010
TRV67
VAR72
21 Nov 2009
TRV86
VAR94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
79-89
79
89
-10
60avg 76
H29/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
86-84
86
84
+2
78avg 76
H04/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
77avg 76
A12/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
86-101
86
101
-15
78avg 76
A18/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
78-90
78
90
-12
74avg 76
H25/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-84
90
84
+6
81avg 76
A02/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
79avg 76
H09/02
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
73-85
73
85
-12
58avg 76
A02/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
78avg 76
A09/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 76
H16/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
16-25
24-23
19-17
26-13
24-21
21-28
15-22
18-25
25-31
29-17
17-19
22-25
26-27
19-25
19-24
25-17
17-24
19-26
17-23
23-28
24-18
16-21
27-17
26-18
22-22
12-19
17-18
18-18
15-27
18-20
22-20
29-23
24-20
15-19
12-28
23-17
13-23
12-17
22-19
170.6Avg total
82.1Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.487.5171.9-3.036%
Season at home (11)84.386.4170.6-2.136%
Season away (11)84.588.5173.1-4.036%
Last 10 (10)82.188.5170.6-6.420%
Last 5 (5)80.685.8166.4-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.388.9170.2-7.520%
vs Similar (11)86.185.4171.5+0.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)93.584.8178.2+8.875%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#14
W
89-86
89
86
+3
86avg 81
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
84avg 81
A05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
88avg 81
H12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
96-111
96
111
-15
88avg 81
A19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
77-118
77
118
-41
64avg 81
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
92-119
92
119
-27
84avg 81
A02/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
79-92
79
92
-13
71avg 81
H09/02
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
93-106 OT
93
106
-13
88avg 81
A02/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
82-89 OT
82
89
-7
64avg 81
A09/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
63-78
63
78
-15
49avg 81
H16/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
27-27
19-29
21-18
26-30
20-13
18-12
22-26
25-18
31-25
17-29
19-17
28-28
31-17
14-36
23-30
19-30
21-28
18-35
19-25
22-28
27-35
18-32
25-24
25-25
13-27
19-22
22-18
32-23
23-26
14-18
20-22
14-18
19-23
20-13
22-21
14-20
15-13
16-20
18-25
181.8Avg total
84.9Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)87.397.8185.1-10.527%
Season at home (11)88.495.0183.4-6.645%
Season away (11)86.3100.5186.8-14.39%
Last 10 (10)84.996.9181.8-12.030%
Last 5 (5)81.896.8178.6-15.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)86.897.2183.9-10.425%
vs Similar (10)93.891.1184.9+2.750%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -7.3-7.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -7.3-7.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
TrevisoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H29/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H04/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A12/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A18/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A02/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H09/02
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A02/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A09/03
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H16/03
Lega A
88.2Avg total
43.6Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.643.587.1+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.242.384.5-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)44.944.789.6+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)43.644.688.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.442.886.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)43.143.386.5-0.260%-
vs Similar (11)45.442.487.7+3.055%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)40.247.287.5-7.025%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#14
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H28/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A05/01
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A19/01
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H25/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A02/02
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H09/02
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A02/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A09/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H16/03
Lega A
92.0Avg total
45.4Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.747.194.8+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.946.994.8+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)47.447.394.7+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)45.446.692.0-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.847.688.4-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)46.248.094.3-1.850%-
vs Similar (10)50.545.295.7+5.360%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.619.7
48.5%
52.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.7
34.7%
35.8%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.615.6
75.7%
76.8%15.6
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.517.7
52.8%
52.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.511.5
35.4%
35.8%34.5
🏀 Free throws18.314.0
76.5%
76.8%14.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviso
LLLLWLLLWL
Varese
LLLLLLLWWW
#11
League position
#12
-8.6
Net rating
-15.4
106.3
Offensive rating
106.2
114.9
Defensive rating
121.6
49.8%
Effective FG%
53.0%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.8%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.7%
3-point %
35.4%
48.2%
Assist %
63.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 106.2Defence114.9 · 121.6Shooting49.8% · 53.0%3-point %34.7% · 35.4%Ball care16.7% · 16.8%Off. rebounds28.8% · 21.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Treviso   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Treviso wins
6
Varese wins
DateGameScore
12/01/25Varese v Treviso92-89
28/04/24Varese v Treviso95-100
06/01/24Treviso v Varese96-101
02/04/23Treviso v Varese95-97
30/10/22Varese v Treviso87-85
10/04/22Varese v Treviso80-89
31/10/21Treviso v Varese96-78
18/04/21Treviso v Varese94-103
27/12/20Varese v Treviso79-80
05/01/20Treviso v Varese79-84
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25HSassari70-76
09/03/25AOlimpia Milano80-90
02/03/25ATrieste73-85
09/02/25HReggiana90-94 OT
02/02/25APistoia90-84
25/01/25HBasket Napoli78-90
18/01/25ATrento86-101
12/01/25AVarese89-92
04/01/25HBrescia86-84
29/12/24HOlimpia Milano79-89
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25HReggiana63-78
09/03/25ATortona82-89 OT
02/03/25ATrapani93-106 OT
09/02/25HTrento79-92
02/02/25AOlimpia Milano92-119
25/01/25HBrescia77-118
19/01/25APistoia96-111
12/01/25HTreviso92-89
05/01/25ASassari86-81
28/12/24HBasket Napoli89-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviso
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeLWLLL36%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %36%36%36%
Points / game84.484.384.5
Allowed / game87.586.488.5
Point differential-3.0-2.1-4.0
Avg total171.9170.6173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Varese
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWWLLL45%
AwayWLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %27%45%9%
Points / game87.388.486.3
Allowed / game97.895.0100.5
Point differential-10.5-6.6-14.3
Avg total185.1183.4186.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2317674%94.484.0+10.4
2 Virtus Bologna2316770%84.678.7+5.9
3 Trento2316770%87.682.0+5.6
4 Brescia2316770%91.086.1+4.9
5 Olimpia Milano2316770%88.784.2+4.5
6 Reggiana2314961%81.377.9+3.4
7 Tortona2314961%86.684.3+2.3
8 Trieste2314961%86.385.1+1.2
9 Venezia23131057%81.078.4+2.6
10 Sassari2391439%80.784.3-3.7
11 Treviso2281436%84.487.5-3.0
12 Basket Napoli2371630%82.886.7-3.9
13 Varese2261627%87.397.8-10.5
14 Cremona2361726%77.482.8-5.4
15 Scafati2361726%86.393.0-6.7
16 Pistoia2351822%80.889.0-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviso1926222188
Varese1923232186
← all games of the day
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