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Trento vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 75-88
26-20 19-12 14-30 16-26
Position#4
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Brescia 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega A - Super CupLega A - Super Cup - Semi-finals· Unipol Forum
Other2025-26
Meetings · Trento v Brescia
22 Mar 2026
TRE77
BRE85
27 Sep 2025
TRE75
BRE88
30 Mar 2025
TRE75
BRE78
20 Jan 2024
TRE69
BRE93
05 Mar 2023
TRE83
BRE76
16 Feb 2022
TRE73
BRE78
06 Nov 2021
TRE78
BRE72
20 Mar 2021
TRE91
BRE67
02 Feb 2020
TRE63
BRE56
10 Nov 2018
TRE76
BRE75
14 Oct 2017
TRE56
BRE66
23 Apr 2017
TRE99
BRE59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
88-78
88
78
+10
84avg 77
H05/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
89-86
89
86
+3
82avg 77
A13/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
94-88
94
88
+6
82avg 77
A19/04
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
95-77
95
77
+18
90avg 77
H27/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
84-63
84
63
+21
78avg 77
H03/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
114-89
114
89
+25
122avg 77
A10/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
70-73
70
73
-3
59avg 77
H17/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
70-67
70
67
+3
67avg 77
H19/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
79-107
79
107
-28
65avg 77
A22/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
82-89
82
89
-7
74avg 77
A24/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
25-24
19-13
23-23
21-21
19-27
21-22
28-16
32-24
22-17
13-20
27-27
19-15
23-24
27-15
26-23
27-12
21-19
16-16
20-16
22-19
25-20
36-28
31-22
24-21
15-25
16-9
15-18
23-20
16-15
23-19
8-13
19-24
28-32
11-27
21-24
22-20
13-28
29-15
18-26
168.2Avg total
86.5Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.581.7168.2+4.870%
Last 5 (5)83.085.0168.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.584.2154.8-13.80%
vs Similar (13)80.981.6162.5-0.746%
vs Weaker (12)89.377.8167.1+11.683%
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
W
89-77
89
77
+12
79avg 83
H17/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
92-103
92
103
-11
87avg 83
H19/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
80-70
80
70
+10
65avg 83
A22/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
82avg 83
A24/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
93-92
93
92
+1
90avg 83
A30/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 83
A01/06
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
92-86
92
86
+6
83avg 83
H04/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
87-90
87
90
-3
82avg 83
A12/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
65-75
65
75
-10
56avg 83
A14/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
74-96
74
96
-22
60avg 83
H17/06
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
27-18
16-11
21-26
31-16
15-32
28-32
18-23
11-23
18-18
28-15
23-14
16-15
22-29
23-15
16-18
34-26
23-19
16-21
20-26
27-14
25-29
15-17
18-17
23-30
24-12
24-27
21-17
23-20
22-21
22-22
20-27
21-22
11-17
19-19
14-17
15-28
13-22
23-26
23-20
170.3Avg total
84.9Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.985.4170.3-0.560%
Last 5 (5)80.684.8165.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.093.0139.0-47.00%
vs Similar (19)83.683.6167.2-0.158%
vs Weaker (9)97.485.6183.0+11.967%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
TrentoBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H05/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A13/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A19/04
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H27/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H03/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A10/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H17/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H19/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A22/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A24/05
Lega A
86.2Avg total
43.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.383.2+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.438.680.0+2.869%-
Last 30 away (14)42.544.486.9-1.943%-
Last 10 (10)43.742.586.2+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.444.886.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.043.075.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (13)42.743.586.2-0.846%-
vs Weaker (12)44.338.182.4+6.292%-
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H17/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H19/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A22/05
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A24/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A30/05
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A01/06
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H04/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A14/06
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
28-50
28
50
-22
H17/06
Lega A
85.9Avg total
42.6Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.641.885.4+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.841.585.3+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)43.542.185.6+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)42.643.385.9-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.083.8-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)21.039.060.0-18.00%-
vs Similar (19)43.442.285.6+1.258%-
vs Weaker (9)46.842.289.0+4.667%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.3
53.6%
-38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.7
38.2%
-32.1
🏀 Free throws18.715.0
80.2%
-15.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.7
54.8%
-41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.1
34.6%
-24.3
🏀 Free throws22.318.0
80.7%
-18.0
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
LLWLWWWWWW
Brescia
LLLWWWWWLW
#4
League position
#2
+6.4
Net rating
-1.3
115.0
Offensive rating
116.5
108.6
Defensive rating
117.8
55.2%
Effective FG%
53.7%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
17.4%
Turnover %
14.5%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
38.2%
3-point %
34.6%
56.3%
Assist %
53.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Trento   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Trento wins
5
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
30/03/25Trento v Brescia75-78
11/01/25Brescia v Trento83-77
20/01/24Trento v Brescia69-93
28/10/23Brescia v Trento82-90
05/03/23Trento v Brescia83-76
07/01/23Brescia v Trento73-78
03/04/22Brescia v Trento86-62
16/02/22Trento v Brescia73-78
06/11/21Trento v Brescia78-72
20/03/21Trento v Brescia91-67
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/25AOlimpia Milano82-89
22/05/25AOlimpia Milano79-107
19/05/25HOlimpia Milano70-67
17/05/25HOlimpia Milano70-73
10/05/25ABasket Napoli114-89
03/05/25HReggiana84-63
27/04/25HSassari95-77
19/04/25ATrieste94-88
13/04/25ACremona89-86
05/04/25HScafati88-78
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/06/25HVirtus Bologna74-96
14/06/25AVirtus Bologna65-75
12/06/25AVirtus Bologna87-90
04/06/25HTrapani92-86
01/06/25ATrapani85-77
30/05/25ATrapani93-92
24/05/25ATrieste92-88 OT
22/05/25ATrieste80-70
19/05/25HTrieste92-103
17/05/25HTrieste89-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A - Super Cup 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Brescia
Lega A - Super Cup 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento2619141675
Brescia2012302688
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