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Olimpia Milano vs Treviso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 90-80
23-29 20-24 19-15 28-12
Position#5
Record13-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Position#11
Record8-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game87.9
ItalyLega ARound 21· Unipol Forum
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Treviso
11 Oct 2026
MIL106
TRV77
09 Nov 2025
MIL87
TRV63
09 Mar 2025
MIL90
TRV80
01 Oct 2023
MIL86
TRV80
23 Apr 2023
MIL92
TRV78
21 Nov 2021
MIL85
TRV55
18 Sep 2021
MIL108
TRV60
04 Oct 2020
MIL104
TRV64
12 Jan 2020
MIL91
TRV67
11 Jan 2012
MIL80
TRV81
24 Oct 2010
MIL80
TRV65
23 Jan 2010
MIL80
TRV73
19 Apr 2009
MIL83
TRV68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Treviso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
119-92
119
92
+27
122avg 80
H02/02
Lega A
Bayern
#7
L
70-87
70
87
-17
60avg 80
A04/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
89-87
89
87
+2
90avg 80
A06/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
W
78-72
78
72
+6
72avg 80
A08/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
91-77
91
77
+14
84avg 80
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#3
W
74-69
74
69
+5
64avg 80
A15/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
46avg 80
H16/02
Italian Cup
Monaco
#4
W
86-80
86
80
+6
85avg 80
H27/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 80
A02/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
L
76-100
76
100
-24
62avg 80
H06/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
35-27
32-18
24-25
16-17
20-20
19-31
15-19
24-16
26-26
17-24
22-21
21-22
21-18
19-11
17-21
20-18
27-15
24-20
20-24
16-16
18-17
17-19
23-17
14-15
17-23
17-21
15-20
18-19
31-23
19-19
18-19
25-20
9-18
25-25
21-23
19-24
18-29
19-23
20-24
165.5Avg total
82.6Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)89.084.8173.8+4.265%
Season at home (10)94.286.2180.4+8.080%
Season away (10)83.983.4167.3+0.550%
Last 10 (10)82.682.9165.5-0.360%
Last 5 (5)75.882.8158.6-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)78.689.0167.6-10.438%
vs Similar (14)83.881.4165.1+2.457%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)100.184.7184.9+15.486%
This opponent (Treviso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Cremona
#13
W
87-84
87
84
+3
73avg 76
H15/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
94-96
94
96
-2
89avg 76
A22/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
79-89
79
89
-10
60avg 76
H29/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
86-84
86
84
+2
78avg 76
H04/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
77avg 76
A12/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
86-101
86
101
-15
78avg 76
A18/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
78-90
78
90
-12
74avg 76
H25/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-84
90
84
+6
81avg 76
A02/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
79avg 76
H09/02
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
73-85
73
85
-12
58avg 76
A02/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
24-25
21-19
20-18
29-22
22-23
18-29
25-22
20-24
16-25
24-23
19-17
26-13
24-21
21-28
15-22
18-25
25-31
29-17
17-19
22-25
26-27
19-25
19-24
25-17
17-24
19-26
17-23
23-28
24-18
16-21
27-17
26-18
22-22
12-19
17-18
18-18
15-27
18-20
22-20
175.1Avg total
85.2Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.387.9173.2-2.640%
Season at home (10)85.787.4173.1-1.740%
Season away (10)85.088.4173.4-3.440%
Last 10 (10)85.289.9175.1-4.730%
Last 5 (5)83.490.8174.2-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)81.488.8170.2-7.421%
vs Similar (12)85.885.1170.8+0.767%
vs Weaker (4)93.584.8178.2+8.875%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.2-0.2
Olimpia MilanoTreviso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H02/02
Lega A
Bayern
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A04/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A06/02
Euroleague
Sassari
#10
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A08/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brescia
#3
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A15/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#1
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H16/02
Italian Cup
Monaco
#4
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H27/02
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A02/03
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H06/03
Euroleague
82.8Avg total
42.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.143.086.2+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.843.788.5+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)41.542.483.9-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)42.340.582.8+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.877.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.446.584.9-8.125%-
vs Similar (14)42.140.682.7+1.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)50.145.395.4+4.986%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#13
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H15/12
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A22/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H29/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H04/01
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A12/01
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A18/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A02/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H09/02
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A02/03
Lega A
89.9Avg total
44.4Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.943.085.9-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.541.783.1-0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)44.344.388.6+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)44.445.589.9-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.888.4-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)42.443.485.8-0.957%-
vs Similar (12)44.341.185.4+3.258%-
vs Weaker (4)40.247.287.5-7.025%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.1
52.0%
52.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.2
34.5%
35.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.819.0
83.3%
76.8%19.0
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.920.8
48.5%
52.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.7
36.0%
35.8%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.916.5
75.3%
76.8%16.5
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LLWLWWWWLW
Treviso
LLWLLLWLLW
#5
League position
#11
-0.4
Net rating
-6.2
114.0
Offensive rating
111.0
114.4
Defensive rating
117.2
51.9%
Effective FG%
50.4%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
15.1%
Turnover %
16.0%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.5%
3-point %
36.0%
49.1%
Assist %
44.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 111.0Defence114.4 · 117.2Shooting51.9% · 50.4%3-point %34.5% · 36.0%Ball care15.1% · 16.0%Off. rebounds29.4% · 33.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Treviso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Olimpia Milano wins
1
Treviso wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/25HFenerbahce76-100
02/03/25AVirtus Bologna80-86
27/02/25HMonaco86-80
16/02/25HTrento63-79
15/02/25ABrescia74-69
12/02/25AVirtus Bologna91-77
08/02/25ASassari78-72
06/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas89-87
04/02/25ABayern70-87
02/02/25HVarese119-92
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25ATrieste73-85
09/02/25HReggiana90-94 OT
02/02/25APistoia90-84
25/01/25HBasket Napoli78-90
18/01/25ATrento86-101
12/01/25AVarese89-92
04/01/25HBrescia86-84
29/12/24HOlimpia Milano79-89
22/12/24ASassari94-96
15/12/24HCremona87-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL65%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%80%50%
Points / game89.094.283.9
Allowed / game84.886.283.4
Point differential+4.2+8.0+0.5
Avg total173.8180.4167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Treviso
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL40%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayLLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game85.385.785.0
Allowed / game87.987.488.4
Point differential-2.5-1.7-3.4
Avg total173.2173.1173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia2116576%92.086.0+6.0
2 Virtus Bologna2015575%85.077.9+7.1
3 Trento2015575%88.382.7+5.7
4 Trapani2014670%92.783.3+9.3
5 Olimpia Milano2013765%89.084.8+4.2
6 Reggiana2013765%80.877.1+3.7
7 Trieste2012860%86.283.7+2.5
8 Tortona2112957%85.585.3+0.2
9 Venezia21111052%80.278.4+1.8
10 Treviso2081240%85.387.9-2.5
11 Sassari2171433%80.384.8-4.5
12 Scafati2061430%87.592.8-5.3
13 Cremona2161529%77.282.1-5.0
14 Varese2161529%88.598.7-10.2
15 Basket Napoli2151624%81.986.9-5.0
16 Pistoia2151624%82.288.9-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2320192890
Treviso2924151280
← all games of the day
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