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Treviso vs Trento Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 19:45
Postponed
Position#13
Record8-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game79.2
Treviso
Italy
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Trento
Italy
Position#8
Record11-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game79.3
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Treviso v Trento
31 Jan 2027
TRV v TRE
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
TRV67
TRE88
20 Oct 2024
TRV76
TRE83
17 Dec 2023
TRV86
TRE78
12 Mar 2023
TRV85
TRE76
19 Mar 2022
TRV78
TRE73
26 Sep 2020
TRV84
TRE80
08 Sep 2020
TRV91
TRE67
01 Mar 2020
TRV v TRE
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviso win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trento win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
W
91-83
91
83
+8
83avg 66
H08/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
74-77
74
77
-3
63avg 66
A15/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
79-101
79
101
-22
no box
H27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
74-81
74
81
-7
no box
A29/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 66
H05/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
67-91
67
91
-24
48avg 66
A12/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
84-94
84
94
-10
72avg 66
H18/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
86-75
86
75
+11
no box
A26/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
78-66
78
66
+12
70avg 66
H02/02
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
73-79
73
79
-6
63avg 66
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
22-28
26-14
28-17
17-20
24-15
17-21
16-21
18-29
16-22
25-28
20-22
20-17
17-21
16-26
21-17
17-23
27-14
11-22
24-25
22-19
19-22
15-20
11-30
19-29
27-18
18-19
20-28
29-13
20-20
9-24
28-18
18-15
21-14
21-22
18-15
23-25
14-13
14-15
22-26
161.6Avg total
78.5Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.179.2156.4-2.138%
Season at home (10)79.879.7159.5+0.160%
Season away (11)74.778.8153.5-4.118%
Last 10 (10)78.583.1161.6-4.630%
Last 5 (5)77.681.0158.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.082.4156.4-8.422%
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.978.9155.8-2.025%
vs Weaker (13)80.565.4145.8+15.1100%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
57avg 83
H14/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
69-81
69
81
-12
55avg 83
A22/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
80-53
80
53
+27
73avg 83
H26/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
89avg 83
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
58avg 83
H05/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 83
A12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
81-103
81
103
-22
71avg 83
H18/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
90-87
90
87
+3
89avg 83
A25/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
63-56
63
56
+7
57avg 83
H02/02
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
79-71
79
71
+8
no box
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-30
22-17
15-13
15-28
21-28
17-15
9-19
22-19
19-3
21-22
18-11
22-17
20-16
26-20
19-17
21-28
17-21
8-21
25-13
27-28
24-22
18-9
15-17
17-23
15-32
18-23
22-25
26-23
26-19
19-18
27-26
18-24
19-15
14-18
15-12
15-11
17-16
21-20
15-19
26-16
155.5Avg total
78.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.979.3157.1-1.452%
Season at home (11)77.875.6153.5+2.255%
Season away (10)77.983.3161.2-5.450%
Last 10 (10)78.177.4155.5+0.760%
Last 5 (5)77.477.6155.0-0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.777.7149.5-6.027%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.579.4158.9+0.262%
vs Weaker (6)84.779.7164.3+5.083%
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -0.8-0.8
TrevisoTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H08/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A15/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A29/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H05/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H18/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A26/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H02/02
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/02
Lega A
80.6Avg total
40.5Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.535.576.0+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.635.373.9+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)42.135.677.8+6.562%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.180.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.680.0+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.338.276.6+0.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.640.482.0+1.250%-
vs Weaker (13)41.330.571.8+10.892%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H14/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H26/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H05/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A12/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
33-55
33
55
-22
H18/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A25/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H02/02
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H09/02
Lega A
77.7Avg total
39.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.739.076.8-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.940.177.9-2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)37.638.075.6-0.440%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.577.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.476.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.938.572.4-4.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.840.279.0-1.546%-
vs Weaker (6)42.537.580.0+5.083%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.3
49.1%
52.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.5
36.0%
35.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws14.911.4
76.5%
73.6%11.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.721.5
48.1%
52.0%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.78.3
40.1%
35.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws13.69.4
69.1%
73.6%9.4
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviso
LWWLLLLLLW
Trento
WWWLWLWWLL
#13
League position
#8
-6.6
Net rating
+1.6
110.6
Offensive rating
111.2
117.2
Defensive rating
109.7
51.3%
Effective FG%
51.9%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
16.1%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
33.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.21
36.0%
3-point %
40.1%
54.0%
Assist %
50.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 111.2Defence117.2 · 109.7Shooting51.3% · 51.9%3-point %36.0% · 40.1%Ball care15.8% · 16.1%Off. rebounds30.6% · 33.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Treviso   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Treviso wins
1
Trento wins
DateGameScore
26/10/19Trento v Treviso76-71
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20AVenezia73-79
02/02/20HFortitudo Bologna78-66
26/01/20APistoia86-75
18/01/20HCremona84-94
12/01/20AOlimpia Milano67-91
05/01/20HVarese79-84
29/12/19ABrindisi74-81
27/12/19HSassari79-101
15/12/19ACantu74-77
08/12/19HReggiana91-83
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HCantu79-71
02/02/20HBrescia63-56
25/01/20ASassari90-87
18/01/20HReggiana81-103
12/01/20APistoia74-71
05/01/20HVirtus Bologna77-83
29/12/19AVarese86-81
26/12/19HTrieste80-53
22/12/19AOlimpia Milano69-81
14/12/19HVirtus Roma82-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviso
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeWLLLW60%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%60%18%
Points / game77.179.874.7
Allowed / game79.279.778.8
Point differential-2.1+0.1-4.1
Avg total156.4159.5153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW52%
HomeWLLWW55%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%55%50%
Points / game77.977.877.9
Allowed / game79.375.683.3
Point differential-1.4+2.2-5.4
Avg total157.1153.5161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2015575%85.275.3+9.8
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Virtus Roma2171433%78.085.1-7.0
15 Pistoia2171433%74.282.6-8.4
16 Trieste2161529%75.080.5-5.5
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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