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Treviso vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-84
17-23 27-14 11-22 24-25
Position#13
Record6-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#10
Record7-8
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game79.1
ItalyLega ARound 17
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Treviso v Varese
14 Feb 2027
TRV v VAR
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
TRV86
VAR83
23 Mar 2025
TRV88
VAR86
06 Jan 2024
TRV96
VAR101
02 Apr 2023
TRV95
VAR97
31 Oct 2021
TRV96
VAR78
18 Apr 2021
TRV94
VAR103
05 Jan 2020
TRV79
VAR84
25 Apr 2012
TRV55
VAR71
06 Nov 2010
TRV67
VAR72
21 Nov 2009
TRV86
VAR94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
L
71-76
71
76
-5
no box
A26/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
85-75
85
75
+10
79avg 66
H03/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
no box
A10/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
72-68
72
68
+4
65avg 66
H17/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
81-69
81
69
+12
69avg 66
A24/11
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
61-69
61
69
-8
54avg 66
A01/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
91-83
91
83
+8
83avg 66
H08/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
74-77
74
77
-3
63avg 66
A15/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
79-101
79
101
-22
no box
H27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
74-81
74
81
-7
no box
A29/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
23-15
18-9
14-27
16-27
24-12
24-18
21-18
17-20
29-20
14-28
19-16
20-14
18-15
16-18
18-21
25-13
25-22
14-20
17-14
27-10
11-23
15-7
8-29
15-24
22-28
26-14
28-17
17-20
24-15
17-21
16-21
18-29
16-22
25-28
20-22
20-17
17-21
16-26
21-17
155.0Avg total
76.7Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.978.3155.2-1.540%
Season at home (7)79.679.0158.6+0.671%
Season away (8)74.577.8152.2-3.212%
Last 10 (10)76.778.3155.0-1.640%
Last 5 (5)75.882.2158.0-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.581.3155.8-6.833%
vs Similar (7)75.379.3154.6-4.014%
vs Weaker (17)82.964.4147.3+18.694%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
69-93
69
93
-24
no box
A03/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-91
74
91
-17
58avg 94
A10/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
no box
H17/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
74-81
74
81
-7
66avg 94
A23/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
99-69
99
69
+30
96avg 94
H01/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
58avg 94
A08/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
103-87
103
87
+16
99avg 94
H15/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
72-93
72
93
-21
no box
A21/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
91-60
91
60
+31
94avg 94
H26/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
69avg 94
H29/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
16-20
15-28
24-19
21-18
14-25
19-23
20-25
24-14
17-14
12-20
22-27
20-23
28-20
13-18
13-20
34-19
24-20
21-15
20-15
14-14
21-23
12-17
20-20
25-24
31-30
26-20
21-13
24-18
17-29
16-24
15-22
26-14
18-19
24-15
23-12
16-20
20-26
17-19
28-21
164.8Avg total
82.3Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.179.1161.2+3.147%
Season at home (8)88.075.6163.6+12.475%
Season away (7)75.483.0158.4-7.614%
Last 10 (10)82.382.5164.8-0.240%
Last 5 (5)82.880.0162.8+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.784.0152.7-15.30%
vs Similar (13)80.484.2164.5-3.831%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.772.0155.7+11.771%
This opponent (Treviso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
TrevisoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A26/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H03/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A10/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H17/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A24/11
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A01/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H08/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A15/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A29/12
Lega A
79.2Avg total
40.0Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.935.176.1+5.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.334.474.7+5.971%-
Last 30 away (16)41.535.877.2+5.862%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.279.2+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.879.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.238.075.2-0.833%-
vs Similar (7)39.941.381.1-1.443%-
vs Weaker (17)42.731.674.3+11.188%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A03/11
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A10/11
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H17/11
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/11
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H01/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A08/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H15/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A21/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H26/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H29/12
Lega A
84.0Avg total
42.4Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.079.4+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.836.679.4+6.181%-
Last 30 away (14)39.939.679.4+0.343%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.684.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.485.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.041.072.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (13)41.239.981.1+1.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.935.679.4+8.379%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.5
47.4%
52.0%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.6
36.6%
35.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws11.68.7
75.0%
73.6%8.7
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.815.3
53.1%
52.0%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.311.7
36.2%
35.1%35.1
🏀 Free throws20.116.5
82.1%
73.6%16.5
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviso
LLLWLWWLWL
Varese
LWLWLWLWLL
#13
League position
#10
-2.8
Net rating
+2.6
106.6
Offensive rating
120.3
109.4
Defensive rating
117.6
50.7%
Effective FG%
53.8%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
16.7%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.6%
3-point %
36.2%
52.7%
Assist %
54.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 120.3Defence109.4 · 117.6Shooting50.7% · 53.8%3-point %36.6% · 36.2%Ball care17.4% · 16.7%Off. rebounds29.4% · 32.2%Free throws0.18 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Treviso   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Treviso wins
6
Varese wins
DateGameScore
25/04/12Treviso v Varese55-71
03/01/12Varese v Treviso96-80
19/02/11Varese v Treviso74-68
06/11/10Treviso v Varese67-72
21/03/10Varese v Treviso90-82
21/11/09Treviso v Varese86-94
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/19ABrindisi74-81
27/12/19HSassari79-101
15/12/19ACantu74-77
08/12/19HReggiana91-83
01/12/19ATrieste61-69
24/11/19AVirtus Roma81-69
17/11/19HBrescia72-68
10/11/19AVirtus Bologna79-84
03/11/19HPesaro85-75
26/10/19ATrento71-76
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/19HTrento81-86
26/12/19HPistoia91-60
21/12/19ACremona72-93
15/12/19HPesaro103-87
08/12/19ACantu67-74
01/12/19HVirtus Roma99-69
23/11/19AReggiana74-81
17/11/19HVenezia93-91 OT
10/11/19ABrescia74-91
03/11/19AOlimpia Milano69-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviso
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL40%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%71%12%
Points / game76.979.674.5
Allowed / game78.379.077.8
Point differential-1.5+0.6-3.2
Avg total155.2158.6152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%43%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)100% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL47%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%75%14%
Points / game82.188.075.4
Allowed / game79.175.683.0
Point differential+3.1+12.4-7.6
Avg total161.2163.6158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%62%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1614288%83.975.8+8.2
2 Sassari1613381%83.472.8+10.6
3 Brescia1611569%83.073.6+9.4
4 Olimpia Milano1610662%80.374.7+5.6
5 Brindisi169756%83.280.4+2.8
6 Cremona169756%78.879.4-0.6
7 Fortitudo Bologna158753%76.779.7-2.9
8 Venezia168850%78.175.2+2.9
9 Cantu168850%76.077.9-1.9
10 Varese157847%82.179.1+3.1
11 Reggiana157847%82.183.7-1.6
12 Trento167944%78.079.8-1.8
13 Virtus Roma167944%76.682.7-6.1
14 Treviso156940%76.978.3-1.5
15 Trieste1651131%74.679.7-5.1
16 Pistoia1651131%74.182.9-8.8
17 Pesaro160160%78.491.0-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviso1727112479
Varese2314222584
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