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Treviso vs Virtus Bologna Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 19:30
Postponed
Position#13
Record8-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#1
Record18-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game75.0
ItalyLega ARound 25
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Treviso v Virtus Bologna
07 Dec 2026
TRV v VIR
upcoming
17 Nov 2025
TRV79
VIR101
07 Apr 2025
TRV74
VIR80
05 Feb 2024
TRV61
VIR100
30 Apr 2023
TRV89
VIR88
29 Apr 2022
TRV76
VIR113
17 May 2021
TRV100
VIR105
20 Dec 2020
TRV72
VIR98
11 Mar 2020
TRV v VIR
upcoming
15 Apr 2012
TRV63
VIR59
26 Mar 2011
TRV79
VIR71
17 Apr 2010
TRV50
VIR61
27 May 2009
TRV78
VIR72
23 May 2009
TRV91
VIR73
19 May 2009
TRV85
VIR77
17 Jan 2009
TRV81
VIR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviso win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H08/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A15/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
79-101
79
101
-22
H27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A29/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H05/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
67-91
67
91
-24
A12/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
84-94
84
94
-10
H18/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A26/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H02/02
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
22-28
26-14
28-17
17-20
24-15
17-21
16-21
18-29
16-22
25-28
20-22
20-17
17-21
16-26
21-17
17-23
27-14
11-22
24-25
22-19
19-22
15-20
11-30
19-29
27-18
18-19
20-28
29-13
20-20
9-24
28-18
18-15
21-14
21-22
18-15
23-25
14-13
14-15
22-26
161.6Avg total
78.5Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.179.2156.4-2.138%
Season at home (10)79.879.7159.5+0.160%
Season away (11)74.778.8153.5-4.118%
Last 10 (10)78.583.1161.6-4.630%
Last 5 (5)77.681.0158.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.082.4156.4-8.422%
vs Similar (8)76.978.9155.8-2.025%
vs Weaker (13)80.565.4145.8+15.1100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A08/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
99-87
99
87
+12
H14/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A22/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
94-62
94
62
+32
H25/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H29/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A05/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
97-68
97
68
+29
A12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A25/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
106-89
106
89
+17
H01/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
20-20
18-14
14-18
22-20
32-23
23-22
22-22
17-22
21-21
19-27
20-21
22-11
23-14
20-21
29-16
24-20
22-20
17-16
20-14
21-17
21-8
13-25
28-27
22-14
28-15
21-21
26-18
19-8
27-20
16-20
28-12
21-21
23-18
19-16
20-16
25-25
27-22
29-11
25-31
163.1Avg total
87.8Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.075.0160.9+11.090%
Season at home (10)88.173.4161.5+14.7100%
Season away (10)83.876.6160.4+7.280%
Last 10 (10)87.875.3163.1+12.580%
Last 5 (5)91.873.0164.8+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.374.3150.7+2.067%
vs Similar (7)75.976.1152.0-0.357%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)84.772.8157.6+11.990%
This opponent (Treviso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +6.3+6.3Q3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.7+3.7
TrevisoVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H08/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A15/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A29/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H05/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H18/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A26/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H02/02
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/02
Lega A
80.6Avg total
40.5Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.535.576.0+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.635.373.9+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)42.135.677.8+6.562%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.180.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.680.0+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.338.276.6+0.133%-
vs Similar (8)41.640.482.0+1.250%-
vs Weaker (13)41.330.571.8+10.892%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A08/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H14/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H25/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H29/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A05/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H01/02
Lega A
81.6Avg total
45.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.077.1+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.335.476.7+5.971%-
Last 30 away (13)40.836.877.6+3.954%-
Last 10 (10)45.136.581.6+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)46.833.680.4+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.333.073.3+7.367%-
vs Similar (7)36.637.073.6-0.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.836.178.9+6.675%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.3
49.1%
52.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.5
36.0%
35.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws14.911.4
76.5%
73.6%11.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.622.3
59.3%
52.0%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.7
37.0%
35.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.413.3
68.6%
73.6%13.3
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviso
LWWLLLLLLW
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWWWLWL
#13
League position
#1
-6.6
Net rating
+17.2
110.6
Offensive rating
117.8
117.2
Defensive rating
100.6
51.3%
Effective FG%
57.8%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
15.8%
Turnover %
18.2%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.0%
3-point %
37.0%
54.0%
Assist %
67.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 117.8Defence117.2 · 100.6Shooting51.3% · 57.8%3-point %36.0% · 37.0%Ball care15.8% · 18.2%Off. rebounds30.6% · 32.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Treviso   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Treviso wins
4
Virtus Bologna wins
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20AVenezia73-79
02/02/20HFortitudo Bologna78-66
26/01/20APistoia86-75
18/01/20HCremona84-94
12/01/20AOlimpia Milano67-91
05/01/20HVarese79-84
29/12/19ABrindisi74-81
27/12/19HSassari79-101
15/12/19ACantu74-77
08/12/19HReggiana91-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/20HPesaro106-89
25/01/20AVenezia83-71
18/01/20HPistoia90-60
12/01/20AVirtus Roma97-68
05/01/20ATrento83-77
29/12/19HOlimpia Milano83-70
25/12/19HFortitudo Bologna94-62
22/12/19ASassari77-91
14/12/19HBrindisi99-87
08/12/19ACremona66-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviso
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeWLLLW60%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%60%18%
Points / game77.179.874.7
Allowed / game79.279.778.8
Point differential-2.1+0.1-4.1
Avg total156.4159.5153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game86.088.183.8
Allowed / game75.073.476.6
Point differential+10.9+14.7+7.2
Avg total160.9161.5160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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