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Pesaro vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 103-77
22-21 24-16 25-16 32-24
Position#15
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game88.6
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#10
Record2-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game84.2
ItalyLega ARound 6
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Pesaro v Trieste
23 Apr 2023
PES94
TRI83
06 Oct 2021
PES74
TRI61
27 Dec 2020
PES84
TRI74
05 Jan 2020
PES76
TRI82
12 Nov 2018
PES103
TRI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Avellino
#4
L
81-103
81
103
-22
106avg 109
A15/04
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
82-91
82
91
-9
109avg 109
H22/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
75-70
75
70
+5
101avg 109
A29/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
77-74
77
74
+3
104avg 109
H06/05
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
81-112
81
112
-31
107avg 109
A09/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H07/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
103avg 109
A14/10
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
62-97
62
97
-35
no box
A21/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
82-97
82
97
-15
105avg 109
H28/10
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
81-84
81
84
-3
178avg 109
A04/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-31
23-28
13-25
20-19
18-23
16-28
18-16
30-24
18-16
13-19
24-13
20-22
20-21
18-16
22-16
17-21
14-28
22-29
24-30
21-25
18-23
21-20
18-15
26-19
22-20
10-22
18-22
23-24
9-27
19-25
14-28
20-17
20-31
14-19
27-24
21-23
27-17
17-33
19-15
18-19
167.0Avg total
77.7Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.288.6164.8-12.420%
Season at home (2)82.587.0169.5-4.550%
Season away (3)72.089.7161.7-17.70%
Last 10 (10)77.789.3167.0-11.630%
Last 5 (5)76.288.6164.8-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)76.087.7163.7-11.717%
vs Similar (5)81.880.6162.4+1.260%
vs Weaker (2)70.077.0147.0-7.050%
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Treviso
#4
W
69-65
69
65
+4
no box
H29/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
W
86-54
86
54
+32
no box
A01/06
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#2
W
83-79
83
79
+4
no box
H10/06
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#2
W
80-69
80
69
+11
no box
H12/06
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#2
W
72-63
72
63
+9
no box
A16/06
A2 - Play Offs
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
88-92
88
92
-4
116avg 111
H07/10
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
74-86
74
86
-12
103avg 111
A13/10
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
90-86
90
86
+4
118avg 111
H21/10
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
90avg 111
A28/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
96-79
96
79
+17
128avg 111
H04/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
19-12
20-20
11-15
17-14
25-12
20-9
24-19
19-22
18-21
19-14
27-22
19-12
16-16
28-18
17-23
16-15
21-16
16-12
19-20
19-27
20-24
26-14
23-27
22-24
15-22
24-15
13-25
24-19
18-25
27-20
21-22
17-21
23-25
15-21
11-11
31-21
21-14
23-15
21-29
155.5Avg total
80.4Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.884.2167.0-1.440%
Season at home (3)91.385.7177.0+5.767%
Season away (2)70.082.0152.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)80.475.1155.5+5.370%
Last 5 (5)82.884.2167.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.779.7145.3-14.00%
vs Similar (7)77.775.1152.9+2.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)81.271.5152.7+9.885%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.6-2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.6-2.6
PesaroTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#4
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A15/04
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H22/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A29/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/05
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A09/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H07/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A14/10
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A21/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H28/10
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/11
Lega A
84.0Avg total
36.4Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.744.581.1-7.820%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.342.279.5-4.929%-
Last 30 away (16)36.146.482.6-10.312%-
Last 10 (10)36.447.684.0-11.210%-
Last 5 (5)35.447.482.8-12.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.345.081.3-8.817%-
vs Similar (5)41.243.484.6-2.240%-
vs Weaker (2)30.040.570.5-10.50%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#4
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H29/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A01/06
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H10/06
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#2
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H12/06
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#2
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A16/06
A2 - Play Offs
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H07/10
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A13/10
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H21/10
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A28/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H04/11
Lega A
77.9Avg total
39.9Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.077.4+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.936.878.7+5.159%-
Last 30 away (13)38.437.375.7+1.146%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.077.9+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.486.4-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.044.380.3-8.30%-
vs Similar (7)40.338.078.3+2.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)41.035.676.7+5.465%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.1
49.8%
51.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.4
29.6%
35.1%19.2
🏀 Free throws21.015.3
72.9%
72.3%15.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.2
52.5%
51.0%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.8
38.6%
35.1%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.412.0
73.2%
72.3%12.0
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLLWLWWLL
Trieste
WLWLLWWWWW
#15
League position
#10
-15.8
Net rating
-1.3
99.6
Offensive rating
108.0
115.4
Defensive rating
109.3
48.0%
Effective FG%
54.8%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
17.9%
Turnover %
20.0%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.6%
3-point %
38.6%
47.6%
Assist %
54.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 108.0Defence115.4 · 109.3Shooting48.0% · 54.8%3-point %29.6% · 38.6%Ball care17.9% · 20.0%Off. rebounds26.4% · 28.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Pesaro   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pesaro wins
0
Trieste wins
No previous meetings.
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/18ABrescia81-84
28/10/18HOlimpia Milano82-97
21/10/18AVenezia62-97
14/10/18ABrindisi73-88
07/10/18HPistoia83-77
09/05/18ASassari81-112
06/05/18HVenezia77-74
29/04/18AOlimpia Milano75-70
22/04/18HCantu82-91
15/04/18AAvellino81-103
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/18HPistoia96-79
28/10/18AVarese66-78
21/10/18HBrescia90-86
13/10/18ATorino74-86
07/10/18HVirtus Bologna88-92
16/06/18ACasale Monferrato72-63
12/06/18HCasale Monferrato80-69
10/06/18HCasale Monferrato83-79
01/06/18ATreviso86-54
29/05/18HTreviso69-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game76.282.572.0
Allowed / game88.687.089.7
Point differential-12.4-4.5-17.7
Avg total164.8169.5161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trieste
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game82.891.370.0
Allowed / game84.285.782.0
Point differential-1.4+5.7-12.0
Avg total167.0177.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia660100%89.571.3+18.2
2 Olimpia Milano660100%98.080.3+17.7
3 Cremona65183%88.582.5+6.0
4 Avellino64267%91.082.7+8.3
5 Brindisi64267%83.777.5+6.2
6 Sassari63350%81.779.5+2.2
7 Varese63350%76.576.5+0.0
8 Cantu63350%83.785.0-1.3
9 Virtus Bologna63350%83.087.5-4.5
10 Trieste52340%82.884.2-1.4
11 Brescia62433%80.380.7-0.3
12 Torino62433%79.782.7-3.0
13 Reggiana62433%82.287.8-5.7
14 Pesaro51420%76.288.6-12.4
15 Trento61517%78.092.2-14.2
16 Pistoia6060%75.893.8-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro22242532103
Trieste2116162477
← all games of the day
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