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Trieste vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 96-79
31-21 21-14 23-15 21-29
Position#10
Record1-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game85.5
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Pistoia
Italy
Position#16
Record0-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game94.2
ItalyLega ARound 5
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Trieste v Pistoia
12 Jan 2025
TRI80
PIS75
07 Mar 2020
TRI97
PIS80
04 Nov 2018
TRI96
PIS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Treviso
#4
W
84-78
84
78
+6
no box
H27/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
W
69-65
69
65
+4
no box
H29/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
W
86-54
86
54
+32
no box
A01/06
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#2
W
83-79
83
79
+4
no box
H10/06
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#2
W
80-69
80
69
+11
no box
H12/06
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#2
W
72-63
72
63
+9
no box
A16/06
A2 - Play Offs
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
88-92
88
92
-4
116avg 107
H07/10
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
74-86
74
86
-12
103avg 107
A13/10
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
90-86
90
86
+4
118avg 107
H21/10
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
90avg 107
A28/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
17-20
24-18
24-20
19-18
19-12
20-20
11-15
17-14
25-12
20-9
24-19
19-22
18-21
19-14
27-22
19-12
16-16
28-18
17-23
16-15
21-16
16-12
19-20
19-27
20-24
26-14
23-27
22-24
15-22
24-15
13-25
24-19
18-25
27-20
21-22
17-21
23-25
15-21
11-11
154.2Avg total
79.2Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.585.5165.0-6.025%
Season at home (2)89.089.0178.0+0.050%
Season away (2)70.082.0152.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)79.275.0154.2+4.270%
Last 5 (5)78.081.0159.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.779.7145.3-14.00%
vs Similar (7)77.775.1152.9+2.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)80.671.1151.7+9.585%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
L
72-80 OT
72
80
-8
no box
A08/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
94avg 111
H15/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
70-85
70
85
-15
93avg 111
A22/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
61-74
61
74
-13
85avg 111
H29/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
74-101
74
101
-27
99avg 111
A06/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
124avg 111
H09/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A07/10
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
69-97
69
97
-28
no box
H14/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
83-107
83
107
-24
no box
A21/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
74-90
74
90
-16
95avg 111
H28/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
19-16
24-16
12-10
28-19
12-13
16-29
13-19
23-21
16-21
14-20
17-23
14-23
18-22
14-14
15-15
20-31
13-17
21-29
20-24
26-22
20-22
26-23
18-18
23-18
20-21
15-18
19-26
15-21
17-22
16-22
21-32
24-26
24-27
13-19
22-35
16-28
22-21
19-12
17-29
162.1Avg total
73.9Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.894.2170.0-18.50%
Season at home (2)71.593.5165.0-22.00%
Season away (2)80.095.0175.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)73.988.2162.1-14.310%
Last 5 (5)78.692.4171.0-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)74.085.6159.6-11.617%
vs Similar (6)78.879.3158.2-0.550%
vs Weaker (1)91.069.0160.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -5.7-5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -5.7-5.7
TriestePistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#4
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H27/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H29/05
A2 - Play Offs
Treviso
#4
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A01/06
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H10/06
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#2
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H12/06
A2 - Play Offs
Casale Monferrato
#2
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A16/06
A2 - Play Offs
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H07/10
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A13/10
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H21/10
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A28/10
Lega A
76.8Avg total
38.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.177.1+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.237.078.2+4.259%-
Last 30 away (13)38.437.375.7+1.146%-
Last 10 (10)38.338.576.8-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.682.6-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.044.380.3-8.30%-
vs Similar (7)40.338.078.3+2.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.535.876.2+4.865%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A08/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H15/04
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A22/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H29/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A06/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/05
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A07/10
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H14/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A21/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H28/10
Lega A
82.2Avg total
38.4Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.442.280.6-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.339.978.1-1.647%-
Last 30 away (15)38.544.583.0-6.120%-
Last 10 (10)38.443.882.2-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.445.687.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.443.480.9-6.022%-
vs Similar (6)40.738.879.5+1.867%-
vs Weaker (1)46.034.080.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.0
49.6%
51.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.811.5
40.0%
35.1%34.5
🏀 Free throws15.211.0
72.1%
72.3%11.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.420.2
47.6%
51.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.6
32.1%
35.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws15.910.9
68.6%
72.3%10.9
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LWLLWWWWWW
Pistoia
LLLLWLLLLL
#10
League position
#16
-8.0
Net rating
-17.1
106.0
Offensive rating
99.1
114.0
Defensive rating
116.2
54.4%
Effective FG%
47.8%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
21.0%
Turnover %
17.4%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.24
40.0%
3-point %
32.1%
58.8%
Assist %
47.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 99.1Defence114.0 · 116.2Shooting54.4% · 47.8%3-point %40.0% · 32.1%Ball care21.0% · 17.4%Off. rebounds27.1% · 29.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Trieste   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trieste wins
0
Pistoia wins
No previous meetings.
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/18AVarese66-78
21/10/18HBrescia90-86
13/10/18ATorino74-86
07/10/18HVirtus Bologna88-92
16/06/18ACasale Monferrato72-63
12/06/18HCasale Monferrato80-69
10/06/18HCasale Monferrato83-79
01/06/18ATreviso86-54
29/05/18HTreviso69-65
27/05/18HTreviso84-78
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/18HBrindisi74-90
21/10/18AOlimpia Milano83-107
14/10/18HVenezia69-97
07/10/18APesaro77-83
09/05/18HBrescia90-85
06/05/18AOlimpia Milano74-101
29/04/18HVirtus Bologna61-74
22/04/18ATrento70-85
15/04/18HSassari69-80
08/04/18APesaro72-80 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game79.589.070.0
Allowed / game85.589.082.0
Point differential-6.0+0.0-12.0
Avg total165.0178.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game75.871.580.0
Allowed / game94.293.595.0
Point differential-18.5-22.0-15.0
Avg total170.0165.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia550100%90.269.0+21.2
2 Olimpia Milano440100%98.884.0+14.8
3 Cremona54180%88.284.4+3.8
4 Cantu43175%90.586.0+4.5
5 Avellino53260%92.683.4+9.2
6 Sassari53260%81.478.2+3.2
7 Varese53260%76.075.2+0.8
8 Brindisi42250%88.585.0+3.5
9 Torino42250%85.282.8+2.5
10 Brescia52340%81.481.6-0.2
11 Reggiana52340%83.685.4-1.8
12 Virtus Bologna52340%81.688.8-7.2
13 Trieste41325%79.585.5-6.0
14 Pesaro51420%76.288.6-12.4
15 Trento5050%78.495.6-17.2
16 Pistoia4040%75.894.2-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste3121232196
Pistoia2114152979
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