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Trieste vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-75
22-21 25-15 17-18 16-21
Position#6
Record8-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game85.2
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record3-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game88.5
ItalyLega ARound 15· PalaTrieste
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Trieste v Pistoia
12 Jan 2025
TRI80
PIS75
07 Mar 2020
TRI97
PIS80
04 Nov 2018
TRI96
PIS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
W
100-95
100
95
+5
97avg 77
A26/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
107-81
107
81
+26
105avg 77
H03/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
68-76
68
76
-8
57avg 77
A09/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
93-98
93
98
-5
90avg 77
H17/11
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
86-98
86
98
-12
83avg 77
A01/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
65-69
65
69
-4
52avg 77
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
78-70
78
70
+8
70avg 77
A15/12
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
91-83
91
83
+8
86avg 77
H21/12
Lega A
Venezia
#8
L
70-76
70
76
-6
60avg 77
H29/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
110-107 OT
110
107
+3
96avg 77
A05/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
25-28
22-12
26-26
27-15
23-17
24-21
33-28
19-23
6-23
25-14
18-16
20-23
25-27
20-22
28-26
27-27
21-22
22-24
16-25
17-14
9-21
8-18
31-16
14-17
26-15
14-23
24-15
23-17
16-19
27-22
25-25
17-15
18-20
22-23
13-18
17-31
30-23
23-22
24-18
172.1Avg total
86.8Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.785.2171.9+1.557%
Season at home (7)85.083.1168.1+1.943%
Season away (7)88.487.3175.7+1.171%
Last 10 (10)86.885.3172.1+1.550%
Last 5 (5)82.881.0163.8+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.383.0164.3-1.733%
vs Similar (18)80.276.4156.6+3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)95.485.1180.6+10.378%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
L
95-102
95
102
-7
95avg 71
A27/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
73-70
73
70
+3
66avg 71
H03/11
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
75-77
75
77
-2
70avg 71
A10/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
88-92
88
92
-4
78avg 71
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
88-91
88
91
-3
70avg 71
A30/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
88-94
88
94
-6
79avg 71
H07/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
96avg 71
A14/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 71
H22/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
83-90
83
90
-7
77avg 71
A29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
82-115
82
115
-33
69avg 71
H05/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
32-21
14-31
31-24
16-24
15-16
23-14
19-16
21-15
16-14
18-32
20-16
21-22
27-23
24-27
16-20
25-18
17-18
18-21
28-34
22-21
13-29
25-19
28-25
22-22
23-16
24-28
14-17
26-28
19-23
25-23
19-19
14-29
27-22
24-24
18-15
19-27
25-25
21-35
17-28
179.4Avg total
86.3Scored
93.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.188.5170.6-6.421%
Season at home (7)81.789.0170.7-7.329%
Season away (7)82.488.0170.4-5.614%
Last 10 (10)86.393.1179.4-6.810%
Last 5 (5)88.899.8188.6-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.785.5164.1-6.830%
vs Similar (9)90.392.1182.4-1.833%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
TriestePistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#11
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A26/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H03/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A09/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H17/11
Lega A
Sassari
#10
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A01/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A15/12
Lega A
Cremona
#13
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H21/12
Lega A
Venezia
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H29/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A05/01
Lega A
83.3Avg total
40.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.482.5+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.836.980.6+6.964%-
Last 30 away (16)42.641.684.2+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)40.742.683.3-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.475.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.040.780.7-0.733%-
vs Similar (18)41.138.279.3+2.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)48.241.389.6+6.944%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A27/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H03/11
Lega A
Sassari
#10
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A10/11
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A30/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H07/12
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/12
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H22/12
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A29/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H05/01
Lega A
85.7Avg total
41.8Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.543.783.2-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.645.586.1-4.921%-
Last 30 away (16)38.642.180.8-3.544%-
Last 10 (10)41.843.985.7-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.048.490.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.843.281.0-5.535%-
vs Similar (9)44.145.689.7-1.433%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.117.9
54.1%
52.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.9
36.5%
35.8%35.7
🏀 Free throws20.414.6
71.6%
76.8%14.6
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.821.4
50.0%
52.9%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.8
36.5%
35.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.516.3
75.8%
76.8%16.3
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WLWWLLLLWW
Pistoia
LLLLLLLLWL
#6
League position
#16
+2.4
Net rating
-8.2
114.4
Offensive rating
105.8
112.0
Defensive rating
114.0
54.4%
Effective FG%
51.7%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
19.2%
Turnover %
16.2%
38.4%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.5%
3-point %
36.5%
53.4%
Assist %
55.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 105.8Defence112.0 · 114.0Shooting54.4% · 51.7%3-point %36.5% · 36.5%Ball care19.2% · 16.2%Off. rebounds38.4% · 24.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Trieste   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Trieste wins
1
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
07/03/20Trieste v Pistoia97-80
03/11/19Pistoia v Trieste76-72
03/03/19Pistoia v Trieste77-90
04/11/18Trieste v Pistoia96-79
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25AScafati110-107 OT
29/12/24HVenezia70-76
21/12/24HCremona91-83
15/12/24AVirtus Bologna78-70
08/12/24HBrescia65-69
01/12/24ASassari86-98
17/11/24HTrapani93-98
09/11/24ATrento68-76
03/11/24HVarese107-81
26/10/24ATreviso100-95
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25HOlimpia Milano82-115
29/12/24ABrescia83-90
22/12/24HTortona89-93
14/12/24AScafati102-107 OT
07/12/24HTrapani88-94
30/11/24ATreviso88-91
17/11/24HTrento88-92
10/11/24ASassari75-77
03/11/24HReggiana73-70
27/10/24AVarese95-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeWLLWL43%
AwayWLLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%43%71%
Points / game86.785.088.4
Allowed / game85.283.187.3
Point differential+1.5+1.9+1.1
Avg total171.9168.1175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Pistoia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWLLLL29%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %21%29%14%
Points / game82.181.782.4
Allowed / game88.589.088.0
Point differential-6.4-7.3-5.6
Avg total170.6170.7170.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1512380%89.584.9+4.6
2 Trapani1511473%93.385.3+8.0
3 Trento1511473%88.783.3+5.5
4 Virtus Bologna1410471%85.480.3+5.1
5 Olimpia Milano1510567%89.785.8+3.9
6 Tortona159660%87.184.9+2.2
7 Reggiana159660%80.778.7+2.0
8 Trieste148657%86.785.2+1.5
9 Venezia157847%78.177.3+0.7
10 Treviso157847%86.086.9-0.9
11 Sassari156940%82.184.5-2.4
12 Varese156940%89.395.9-6.6
13 Scafati1541127%87.994.6-6.7
14 Pistoia1431121%82.188.5-6.4
15 Cremona1531220%76.981.1-4.3
16 Basket Napoli1421214%82.589.1-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste2225171680
Pistoia2115182175
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