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Trieste vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 107-81
27-15 23-17 24-21 33-28
Position#6
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game87.0
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#12
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game98.2
Allowed / game106.6
ItalyLega ARound 6· PalaTrieste
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Trieste v Varese
24 Jan 2027
TRI v VAR
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
TRI90
VAR89
03 Nov 2024
TRI107
VAR81
16 Apr 2023
TRI80
VAR83
14 Nov 2021
TRI70
VAR86
27 Jan 2021
TRI108
VAR83
29 Sep 2019
TRI62
VAR92
10 Feb 2019
TRI96
VAR104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Forli
#2
W
85-68
85
68
+17
80avg 77
H24/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
72-65
72
65
+7
62avg 77
A04/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
83-73
83
73
+10
78avg 77
A06/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
73-74
73
74
-1
68avg 77
H10/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
83-72
83
72
+11
77avg 77
H12/06
Serie A2
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
84-78
84
78
+6
71avg 77
H29/09
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
92-83
92
83
+9
94avg 77
A06/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
85-82
85
82
+3
83avg 77
A12/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
85-97
85
97
-12
83avg 77
H20/10
Lega A
Treviso
#11
W
100-95
100
95
+5
97avg 77
A26/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
23-23
22-19
21-15
25-15
21-17
9-20
17-13
24-12
15-23
19-21
25-17
20-20
16-16
9-23
28-15
20-14
20-14
23-19
20-25
21-22
26-18
17-12
20-26
20-24
22-22
29-21
21-16
23-22
20-15
22-23
20-22
25-19
25-30
21-28
14-20
27-29
25-28
22-12
26-26
162.9Avg total
84.2Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.287.0176.2+2.280%
Season at home (2)84.587.5172.0-3.050%
Season away (3)92.386.7179.0+5.7100%
Last 10 (10)84.278.7162.9+5.580%
Last 5 (5)89.287.0176.2+2.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.081.0154.0-8.00%
vs Similar (20)81.080.0161.1+1.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.678.0165.6+9.667%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#7
W
113-79
113
79
+34
114avg 83
H07/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
90-102
90
102
-12
84avg 83
A14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
112-88
112
88
+24
108avg 83
A21/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
95-100
95
100
-5
82avg 83
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
96-78
96
78
+18
89avg 83
A05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
94-118
94
118
-24
81avg 83
A29/09
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
95-105
95
105
-10
86avg 83
H06/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
L
100-106
100
106
-6
85avg 83
A13/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
100-109
100
109
-9
94avg 83
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
102-95
102
95
+7
93avg 83
H27/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
27-17
21-20
38-16
17-27
30-23
24-23
19-29
35-25
29-16
27-28
21-19
19-31
30-27
25-19
21-23
26-19
28-23
23-15
19-21
24-29
28-28
23-36
19-25
28-29
32-22
13-31
22-23
27-25
31-25
14-29
28-27
33-24
24-28
21-27
22-30
26-18
21-32
31-14
24-31
197.7Avg total
99.7Scored
98.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)98.2106.6204.8-8.420%
Season at home (3)99.0103.0202.0-4.033%
Season away (2)97.0112.0209.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)99.798.0197.7+1.740%
Last 5 (5)98.2106.6204.8-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)86.395.5181.7-9.218%
vs Similar (17)94.788.1182.8+6.671%
vs Weaker (2)84.080.5164.5+3.550%
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.1-1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.1-1.1
TriesteVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H24/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A04/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A06/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H10/06
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H12/06
Serie A2
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H29/09
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A06/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H20/10
Lega A
Treviso
#11
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A26/10
Lega A
83.1Avg total
43.7Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.582.4+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.337.182.4+8.269%-
Last 30 away (17)41.141.482.4-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)43.739.483.1+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)46.845.892.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.040.075.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (20)41.540.081.6+1.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.838.285.0+8.656%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#7
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H07/04
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#8
W
64-41
64
41
+23
A21/04
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A29/09
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H06/10
Lega A
Trento
#4
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A13/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H19/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H27/10
Lega A
103.6Avg total
54.2Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.345.893.1+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.645.595.1+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)45.146.191.1-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)54.249.4103.6+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)54.852.0106.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)47.649.597.1-1.855%-
vs Similar (17)47.643.591.1+4.153%-
vs Weaker (2)43.544.588.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.916.7
55.9%
52.9%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.512.0
39.3%
35.8%36.0
🏀 Free throws18.914.0
74.1%
76.8%14.0
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 98.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.319.7
59.2%
52.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.312.5
37.5%
35.8%37.5
🏀 Free throws25.821.9
84.9%
76.8%21.9
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WLWWWWLWWW
Varese
WLLLLWLWLW
#6
League position
#12
+7.9
Net rating
+2.2
115.3
Offensive rating
121.9
107.5
Defensive rating
119.6
57.5%
Effective FG%
57.7%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
19.7%
Turnover %
13.9%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.39
39.3%
3-point %
37.5%
60.6%
Assist %
56.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 121.9Defence107.5 · 119.6Shooting57.5% · 57.7%3-point %39.3% · 37.5%Ball care19.7% · 13.9%Off. rebounds32.6% · 23.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Trieste   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Trieste wins
7
Varese wins
DateGameScore
16/04/23Trieste v Varese80-83
18/12/22Varese v Trieste104-99 OT
13/04/22Varese v Trieste76-92
14/11/21Trieste v Varese70-86
25/04/21Varese v Trieste73-79
27/01/21Trieste v Varese108-83
19/01/20Varese v Trieste91-85
29/09/19Trieste v Varese62-92
10/02/19Trieste v Varese96-104
28/10/18Varese v Trieste78-66
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24ATreviso100-95
20/10/24HReggiana85-97
12/10/24ATortona85-82
06/10/24ABasket Napoli92-83
29/09/24HOlimpia Milano84-78
12/06/24HCantu83-72
10/06/24HCantu73-74
06/06/24ACantu83-73
04/06/24ACantu72-65
24/05/24HForli85-68
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24HPistoia102-95
19/10/24HTrapani100-109
13/10/24ATrento100-106
06/10/24HTortona95-105
29/09/24ABrescia94-118
05/05/24APistoia96-78
28/04/24HTreviso95-100
21/04/24ASassari112-88
14/04/24AScafati90-102
07/04/24HBasket Napoli113-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%50%100%
Points / game89.284.592.3
Allowed / game87.087.586.7
Point differential+2.2-3.0+5.7
Avg total176.2172.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game98.299.097.0
Allowed / game106.6103.0112.0
Point differential-8.4-4.0-15.0
Avg total204.8202.0209.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento550100%89.480.6+8.8
2 Virtus Bologna440100%80.873.2+7.5
3 Olimpia Milano54180%87.680.8+6.8
4 Trieste54180%89.287.0+2.2
5 Tortona43175%87.881.5+6.2
6 Trapani64267%93.084.2+8.8
7 Brescia64267%91.087.5+3.5
8 Reggiana53260%81.279.0+2.2
9 Venezia52340%73.073.8-0.8
10 Pistoia52340%76.282.0-5.8
11 Scafati62433%84.886.2-1.3
12 Sassari51420%84.690.2-5.6
13 Varese51420%98.2106.6-8.4
14 Treviso51420%76.886.6-9.8
15 Cremona61517%73.377.2-3.8
16 Basket Napoli5050%80.890.0-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste27232433107
Varese1517212881
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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