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Trieste vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 97-80
25-20 25-19 22-22 25-19
Position#14
Record6-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game80.5
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record7-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game82.6
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Trieste v Pistoia
12 Jan 2025
TRI80
PIS75
07 Mar 2020
TRI97
PIS80
04 Nov 2018
TRI96
PIS79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
L
86-87
86
87
-1
A15/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
86-96
86
96
-10
H22/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
53-80
53
80
-27
A26/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
89-69
89
69
+20
H29/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A05/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A19/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
67-85
67
85
-18
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H02/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
19-10
32-24
19-29
27-20
23-33
17-20
19-23
3-19
22-21
11-18
17-22
16-16
19-23
32-18
22-12
25-27
23-20
16-17
18-12
23-17
8-23
17-21
24-20
20-20
18-22
21-33
26-16
15-23
19-18
12-25
21-19
20-24
14-20
19-20
30-18
17-16
20-18
25-14
12-28
160.0Avg total
77.7Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.080.5155.4-5.529%
Season at home (10)76.180.9157.0-4.840%
Season away (11)73.980.1154.0-6.218%
Last 10 (10)77.782.3160.0-4.630%
Last 5 (5)76.283.0159.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.281.8156.0-7.523%
vs Similar (13)81.483.2164.6-1.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)86.576.5163.0+10.075%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A08/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
84-71
84
71
+13
H15/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
60-91
60
91
-31
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
H04/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
60-90
60
90
-30
A18/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H26/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A02/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
20-20
14-14
21-24
29-15
11-20
15-23
29-13
27-26
14-20
27-20
23-13
14-26
19-18
15-24
12-23
15-20
24-12
13-23
18-23
22-24
9-18
17-15
23-17
8-19
20-27
20-16
12-28
13-29
20-20
24-9
18-28
21-21
15-27
25-14
20-18
22-20
15-21
26-11
23-27
156.6Avg total
75.2Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)74.282.6156.9-8.433%
Season at home (11)78.578.5157.1+0.055%
Season away (10)69.587.1156.6-17.610%
Last 10 (10)75.281.4156.6-6.240%
Last 5 (5)74.681.8156.4-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)74.283.4157.6-9.222%
vs Similar (2)74.080.5154.5-6.550%
vs Weaker (1)91.079.0170.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.5-1.5
TriestePistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A15/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H22/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A26/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H29/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A05/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H12/01
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A19/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H02/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A09/02
Lega A
78.1Avg total
36.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.541.380.9-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.542.685.1-0.136%-
Last 30 away (16)36.940.277.1-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)36.741.478.1-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)34.840.275.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.139.574.5-4.431%-
vs Similar (13)41.444.285.5-2.823%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)48.038.286.2+9.8100%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A08/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H15/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H22/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A26/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H04/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H12/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A18/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H26/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A02/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/02
Lega A
78.8Avg total
35.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.441.477.9-5.020%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.440.778.1-3.219%-
Last 30 away (14)35.342.377.6-7.021%-
Last 10 (10)35.743.178.8-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.045.278.2-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)36.341.077.4-4.722%-
vs Similar (2)35.544.580.0-9.00%-
vs Weaker (1)41.046.087.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.620.8
50.0%
52.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.7
32.1%
35.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.212.0
74.1%
73.6%12.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.417.8
46.4%
52.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.6
28.9%
35.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
73.6%16.0
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LWLLLWWLLL
Pistoia
WWLLLLLWWL
#14
League position
#16
-6.4
Net rating
-8.6
106.6
Offensive rating
106.5
113.0
Defensive rating
115.1
49.3%
Effective FG%
45.1%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
17.7%
Turnover %
15.1%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.1%
3-point %
28.9%
53.0%
Assist %
48.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 106.5Defence113.0 · 115.1Shooting49.3% · 45.1%3-point %32.1% · 28.9%Ball care17.7% · 15.1%Off. rebounds33.4% · 33.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Trieste   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Trieste wins
1
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
03/11/19Pistoia v Trieste76-72
03/03/19Pistoia v Trieste77-90
04/11/18Trieste v Pistoia96-79
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20ABrescia74-76
02/02/20HSassari83-82
26/01/20HOlimpia Milano67-85
19/01/20AVarese85-91
12/01/20HVenezia72-81
05/01/20APesaro82-76
29/12/19HFortitudo Bologna89-69
26/12/19ATrento53-80
22/12/19HCantu86-96
15/12/19AReggiana86-87
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HReggiana86-79
02/02/20AVirtus Roma81-80
26/01/20HTreviso75-86
18/01/20AVirtus Bologna60-90
12/01/20HTrento71-74
04/01/20HSassari70-78
26/12/19AVarese60-91
22/12/19HPesaro91-79
15/12/19HCremona84-71
08/12/19ABrescia74-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %29%40%18%
Points / game75.076.173.9
Allowed / game80.580.980.1
Point differential-5.5-4.8-6.2
Avg total155.4157.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeWLLLW55%
AwayLLLLW10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %33%55%10%
Points / game74.278.569.5
Allowed / game82.678.587.1
Point differential-8.4+0.0-17.6
Avg total156.9157.1156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2015575%85.275.3+9.8
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Virtus Roma2171433%78.085.1-7.0
15 Pistoia2171433%74.282.6-8.4
16 Trieste2161529%75.080.5-5.5
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste2525222597
Pistoia2019221980
← all games of the day
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