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Trieste vs Treviso Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 13 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game88.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.8/10
Above normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#5
Record5-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game88.6
ItalyLega ARound 11· PalaTrieste
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Trieste v Treviso
13 Dec 2026
TRI v TRV
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
TRI84
TRV76
02 Mar 2025
TRI85
TRV73
05 Mar 2023
TRI97
TRV86
08 May 2022
TRI84
TRV83
30 Dec 2020
TRI84
TRV79
14 Sep 2020
TRI62
TRV80
01 Dec 2019
TRI69
TRV61
29 May 2018
TRI69
TRV65
27 May 2018
TRI84
TRV78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Treviso win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
73avg 75
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 75
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 75
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
79-83
79
83
-4
64avg 75
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
82-87
82
87
-5
57avg 75
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
75avg 75
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
92-72
92
72
+20
88avg 75
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
W
108-99
108
99
+9
101avg 75
H25/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
100-93
100
93
+7
no box
A02/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
116-100
116
100
+16
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
21-22
15-17
26-23
17-16
18-22
28-18
20-21
16-27
23-20
12-20
24-23
19-17
22-21
23-19
15-26
15-21
27-18
20-20
20-28
15-19
23-21
20-21
26-24
20-18
24-20
23-15
25-19
23-27
28-26
28-24
29-22
25-24
21-31
31-17
23-21
28-32
30-24
34-26
24-18
176.9Avg total
89.9Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.488.4182.9+6.057%
Season at home (4)99.589.5189.0+10.075%
Season away (3)87.787.0174.7+0.733%
Last 10 (10)89.987.0176.9+2.950%
Last 5 (5)100.089.8189.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.788.7170.3-7.027%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.084.5170.5+1.545%
vs Weaker (4)99.589.5189.0+10.075%
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
W
99-90
99
90
+9
96avg 78
A26/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
80-72
80
72
+8
74avg 78
A03/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
78-77
78
77
+1
73avg 78
H10/05
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
109-94
109
94
+15
101avg 78
H26/09
Lega A
Trento
#11
W
93-90
93
90
+3
79avg 78
A03/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
77-106
77
106
-29
62avg 78
A11/10
Lega A
Udine
#8
W
102-86
102
86
+16
95avg 78
H18/10
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
97-89 OT
97
89
+8
85avg 78
A25/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
81-68
81
68
+13
70avg 78
H31/10
Lega A
Tortona
#12
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
30-20
25-27
26-12
21-15
17-22
13-19
29-16
21-11
17-17
22-21
18-28
29-26
28-19
27-22
25-27
22-16
28-20
20-28
23-26
28-27
11-33
21-20
17-26
24-27
24-20
26-18
28-21
31-21
13-22
21-17
15-20
29-15
18-24
20-22
14-7
20-22
19-22
21-27
16-16
175.1Avg total
89.2Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.788.6179.3+2.171%
Season at home (3)97.382.7180.0+14.7100%
Season away (4)85.893.0178.8-7.250%
Last 10 (10)89.285.9175.1+3.380%
Last 5 (5)86.687.2173.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.588.2165.8-10.723%
vs Similar ◀ (14)89.987.5177.4+2.464%
vs Weaker (3)83.381.7165.0+1.767%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
TriesteTreviso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#10
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H25/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A02/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H08/11
Lega A
88.1Avg total
43.3Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.045.389.3-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.645.089.6-0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)43.445.689.0-2.143%-
Last 10 (10)43.344.888.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)47.448.495.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)41.945.987.8-4.127%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)45.343.989.2+1.455%-
vs Weaker (4)48.846.595.2+2.275%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A26/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H10/05
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H26/09
Lega A
Trento
#11
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A11/10
Lega A
Udine
#8
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H18/10
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A25/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H31/10
Lega A
Tortona
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A08/11
Lega A
87.8Avg total
44.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.243.684.8-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.941.984.8+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)39.545.384.9-5.820%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.087.8+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.446.690.0-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.245.283.4-7.18%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.143.086.1+0.157%-
vs Weaker (3)45.339.785.0+5.767%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.3
54.8%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
34.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.816.4
75.2%
74.6%16.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.524.3
54.6%
54.3%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.2
32.4%
34.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws28.620.6
72.0%
74.6%20.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WWWWLLLLWL
Treviso
LWWWLWWWWW
#7
League position
#5
+0.2
Net rating
+5.8
100.8
Offensive rating
98.2
100.6
Defensive rating
92.4
53.6%
Effective FG%
52.6%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
12.9%
Turnover %
12.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.43
34.9%
3-point %
32.4%
56.5%
Assist %
55.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 98.2Defence100.6 · 92.4Shooting53.6% · 52.6%3-point %34.9% · 32.4%Ball care12.9% · 12.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Trieste   ■ Treviso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Trieste wins
1
Treviso wins
DateGameScore
01/02/26Trieste v Treviso84-76
01/11/25Treviso v Trieste100-107
02/03/25Trieste v Treviso85-73
26/10/24Treviso v Trieste95-100
05/03/23Trieste v Treviso97-86
14/01/23Treviso v Trieste69-88
08/05/22Trieste v Treviso84-83
03/02/22Treviso v Trieste88-94
28/03/21Treviso v Trieste95-76
30/12/20Trieste v Treviso84-79
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBC Roma116-100
02/11/26AVirtus Bologna100-93
25/10/26HVerona108-99
18/10/26HCantu92-72
10/10/26AVarese84-85
04/10/26HVenezia82-87
27/09/26AOlimpia Milano79-83
25/05/26ABrescia75-90
23/05/26HBrescia83-77
21/05/26HBrescia80-84
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ATortona76-87
31/10/26HReggiana81-68
25/10/26AVenezia97-89 OT
18/10/26HUdine102-86
11/10/26AOlimpia Milano77-106
03/10/26ATrento93-90
26/09/26HBC Roma109-94
10/05/26HReggiana78-77
03/05/26ACantu80-72
26/04/26ABrescia99-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game94.499.587.7
Allowed / game88.489.587.0
Point differential+6.0+10.0+0.7
Avg total182.9189.0174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Treviso
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game90.797.385.8
Allowed / game88.682.793.0
Point differential+2.1+14.7-7.2
Avg total179.3180.0178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%96.486.0+10.4
2 Basket Napoli76186%93.786.6+7.1
3 Olimpia Milano75271%90.982.7+8.1
4 Maxima Roma75271%88.183.7+4.4
5 Treviso75271%90.788.6+2.1
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Trieste74357%94.488.4+6.0
8 Udine74357%81.380.3+1.0
9 Venezia74357%87.988.6-0.7
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-3.1
12 Tortona72529%83.791.0-7.3
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati71614%81.692.0-10.4
16 Cantu7070%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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