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Troy vs Georgia State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-57
39-25 38-32
Position#68
Record7-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game67.3
Troy 🏆
USA
vs
Position#274
Record4-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game80.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Troy v Georgia State
06 Jan 2027
TROY v GEOR
upcoming
21 Dec 2024
TROY77
GEOR57
09 Jan 2021
TROY v GEOR
upcoming
08 Jan 2021
TROY v GEOR
upcoming
18 Jan 2020
TROY75
GEOR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#365
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A09/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A14/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
61-82
61
82
-21
A17/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
84-65
84
65
+19
A20/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H26/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H29/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H01/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
42-62
42
62
-20
A11/12
NCAA
Middle Georgia State
#501
W
87-53
87
53
+34
H14/12
NCAA
La Grange
#640
W
105-60
105
60
+45
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-20
35-41
27-26
22-39
23-38
38-44
47-28
37-37
42-29
44-43
32-43
36-29
41-36
43-38
11-33
31-29
48-20
39-33
55-34
50-26
141.0Avg total
74.4Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.367.3142.5+8.064%
Season at home (6)85.767.5153.2+18.283%
Season away (5)62.867.0129.8-4.240%
Last 10 (10)74.466.6141.0+7.860%
Last 5 (5)77.264.2141.4+13.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.062.0104.0-20.00%
vs Similar (3)58.769.7128.3-11.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)79.970.3150.2+9.672%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#116
L
66-101
66
101
-35
A09/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A14/11
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#565
W
106-66
106
66
+40
H19/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#262
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H23/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
L
50-62
50
62
-12
H26/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
76-105
76
105
-29
A30/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H07/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
L
63-77
63
77
-14
H14/12
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
59-100
59
100
-41
A18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-47
41-54
41-31
26-41
48-32
58-34
43-38
50-41
26-32
24-30
35-34
39-37
33-48
43-57
39-36
38-45
25-32
38-45
31-43
28-57
154.5Avg total
73.1Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.980.0152.9-7.136%
Season at home (7)76.371.7148.0+4.657%
Season away (4)67.094.5161.5-27.50%
Last 10 (10)73.181.4154.5-8.330%
Last 5 (5)69.886.8156.6-17.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)71.983.8155.8-11.917%
vs Similar (8)70.069.4139.4+0.650%
vs Weaker (10)79.074.7153.7+4.360%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -5.6-5.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +1.6+1.62nd half: -5.6-5.6
TroyGeorgia State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans
#365
W
43-20
43
20
+23
A09/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A14/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A17/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A20/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#292
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H26/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H29/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#155
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/12
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
11-33
11
33
-22
A11/12
NCAA
Middle Georgia State
#501
W
48-20
48
20
+28
H14/12
NCAA
La Grange
#640
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H18/12
NCAA
67.6Avg total
36.9Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.530.868.3+6.777%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.030.270.2+9.881%-
Last 30 away (14)34.731.466.1+3.371%-
Last 10 (10)36.930.767.6+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.433.270.6+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)11.033.044.0-22.00%-
vs Similar (3)24.330.054.3-5.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)39.831.271.0+8.584%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#116
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A09/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A14/11
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#565
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H19/11
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#262
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H23/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#275
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H26/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#71
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A30/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H07/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#323
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H14/12
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A18/12
NCAA
71.9Avg total
34.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.536.871.3-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.734.670.4+1.147%-
Last 30 away (13)33.039.672.6-6.638%-
Last 10 (10)34.637.371.9-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)32.638.671.2-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.339.372.7-6.025%-
vs Similar (8)32.234.666.9-2.438%-
vs Weaker (10)37.835.573.3+2.370%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Troy wins
2
Georgia State wins
DateGameScore
03/02/24Georgia State v Troy74-78
13/01/23Georgia State v Troy53-65
04/02/22Georgia State v Troy63-67
20/02/21Georgia State v Troy65-53
19/02/21Georgia State v Troy80-66
01/02/20Georgia State v Troy78-84
18/01/20Troy v Georgia State75-65
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HLa Grange105-60
14/12/24HMiddle Georgia State87-53
11/12/24AHouston42-62
01/12/24HEastern Kentucky84-74
29/11/24HMerrimack Warriors68-72
26/11/24HUTSA Roadrunners86-72
20/11/24AWest Georgia84-65
17/11/24AOregon61-82
14/11/24AArkansas49-65
09/11/24ANew Orleans78-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24AAuburn59-100
14/12/24HCharlotte63-77
07/12/24HKennesaw State77-81
30/11/24AKentucky76-105
27/11/24HTulsa74-71
26/11/24HAustin Peay50-62
23/11/24HN. Carolina Central93-79
19/11/24HToccoa Falls106-66
14/11/24AJacksonville State67-72
09/11/24AMississippi St.66-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%83%40%
Points / game75.385.762.8
Allowed / game67.367.567.0
Point differential+8.0+18.2-4.2
Avg total142.5153.2129.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%83%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Georgia State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeWLWLL57%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %36%57%0%
Points / game72.976.367.0
Allowed / game80.071.794.5
Point differential-7.1+4.6-27.5
Avg total152.9148.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas State129375%79.371.9+7.4
2 Texas State117464%76.967.6+9.3
3 Troy117464%75.367.3+8.0
4 South Alabama117464%71.965.9+6.0
5 Marshall127558%78.272.6+5.7
6 Georgia Southern127558%75.578.6-3.1
7 James Madison116555%75.069.3+5.7
8 Coastal Carolina116555%68.966.8+2.1
9 Appalachian State126650%70.065.0+5.0
10 Southern Miss114736%71.877.6-5.8
11 Georgia State114736%72.980.0-7.1
12 Louisiana Monroe134931%72.671.8+0.8
13 Old Dominion113827%67.977.8-9.9
14 Louisiana Lafayette123925%66.476.8-10.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy393877
Georgia State253257
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