PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Tubingen vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 74-96
13-28 19-18 22-28 20-22
Position#18
Record4-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game93.9
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#1
Record7-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game78.5
GermanyBBLRound 13· Paul Horn Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Tubingen v Bayern
26 Dec 2023
TUB74
BAY96
27 Apr 2018
TUB72
BAY87
12 Mar 2017
TUB63
BAY85
30 Dec 2015
TUB73
BAY87
08 Feb 2015
TUB80
BAY117
23 Feb 2014
TUB70
BAY78
09 Mar 2013
TUB89
BAY86
27 Jan 2012
TUB80
BAY65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tubingen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TubingenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTubingen
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
L
72-103
72
103
-31
63avg 73
A07/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
84-94
84
94
-10
73avg 73
H21/10
BBL
Rostock
#15
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
no box
A29/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
81-97
81
97
-16
73avg 73
H06/11
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
68-106
68
106
-38
59avg 73
H12/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
no box
A18/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
93-84
93
84
+9
90avg 73
H26/11
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
84-87
84
87
-3
81avg 73
A02/12
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
86-94
86
94
-8
71avg 73
A15/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
99-92
99
92
+7
88avg 73
H22/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-32
22-23
16-25
14-23
29-28
12-25
23-20
20-21
17-22
16-17
26-21
34-33
27-29
22-20
16-26
16-22
19-23
17-30
19-26
13-27
19-15
20-24
16-17
22-21
32-23
26-22
12-20
23-19
26-16
19-12
25-29
14-30
20-20
28-21
25-29
13-24
27-20
24-21
21-22
27-29
181.4Avg total
86.2Scored
95.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.293.9180.1-7.833%
Season at home (6)84.895.3180.2-10.533%
Season away (6)87.592.5180.0-5.033%
Last 10 (10)86.295.2181.4-9.030%
Last 5 (5)90.888.8179.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)86.694.6181.2-8.040%
vs Similar (4)78.083.0161.0-5.00%
vs Weaker (15)90.775.7166.5+15.080%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
94avg 75
A23/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
75avg 75
A26/11
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
90-76
90
76
+14
85avg 75
H30/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
91-84 OT
91
84
+7
87avg 75
H05/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
69-77
69
77
-8
65avg 75
A08/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#10
W
86-78
86
78
+8
84avg 75
A10/12
German Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
60avg 75
A14/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
95-80
95
80
+15
89avg 75
H17/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
80avg 75
H20/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
80-91
80
91
-11
77avg 75
H22/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
15-22
14-20
23-14
22-21
18-18
21-13
24-29
20-28
24-18
26-20
20-10
22-25
22-14
11-13
21-24
8-24
21-17
15-13
25-23
22-19
25-24
25-15
14-20
23-19
14-23
20-21
16-25
25-17
18-28
23-18
29-17
20-17
30-24
21-18
15-12
14-17
17-29
29-21
20-24
168.2Avg total
85.6Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.378.5165.8+8.870%
Season at home (5)92.078.8170.8+13.2100%
Season away (5)82.678.2160.8+4.440%
Last 10 (10)85.682.6168.2+3.070%
Last 5 (5)84.081.6165.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.785.9158.6-13.10%
vs Similar (10)86.982.9169.8+4.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.677.6164.2+9.075%
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
TubingenBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TubingenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A07/10
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H21/10
BBL
Rostock
#15
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A29/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H06/11
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H12/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/11
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H26/11
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A02/12
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A15/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H22/12
BBL
88.5Avg total
44.2Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.540.483.9+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.040.386.3+5.771%-
Last 30 away (13)40.240.580.7-0.446%-
Last 10 (10)44.244.388.5-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)48.238.887.0+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)44.344.288.5+0.140%-
vs Similar (4)42.840.283.0+2.550%-
vs Weaker (15)43.938.181.9+5.880%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A23/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A26/11
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H30/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H05/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A08/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#10
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A10/12
German Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H17/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H20/12
Euroleague
Monaco
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H22/12
Euroleague
82.4Avg total
40.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.782.2+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.141.085.1+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)39.340.479.7-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.282.4-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.643.485.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.742.376.0-8.60%-
vs Similar (10)42.942.385.2+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.938.882.8+5.167%-
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tubingentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tubingen: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.2
52.6%
54.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.9
36.1%
35.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.615.2
77.6%
76.0%15.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.320.1
53.9%
54.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.7
37.2%
35.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws15.012.3
82.0%
76.0%12.3
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tubingen
WLLWWLLLLL
Bayern
LWWLWLWWWW
#18
League position
#1
-11.0
Net rating
+3.9
105.3
Offensive rating
113.3
116.3
Defensive rating
109.4
53.3%
Effective FG%
54.7%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
19.6%
Turnover %
17.0%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.1%
3-point %
37.2%
63.6%
Assist %
54.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 113.3Defence116.3 · 109.4Shooting53.3% · 54.7%3-point %36.1% · 37.2%Ball care19.6% · 17.0%Off. rebounds26.5% · 32.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Tubingen   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Tubingen wins
10
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
27/04/18Tubingen v Bayern72-87
12/11/17Bayern v Tubingen84-72
12/03/17Tubingen v Bayern63-85
29/10/16Bayern v Tubingen82-70
10/04/16Bayern v Tubingen95-70
30/12/15Tubingen v Bayern73-87
08/02/15Tubingen v Bayern80-117
02/11/14Bayern v Tubingen107-81
23/02/14Tubingen v Bayern70-78
17/11/13Bayern v Tubingen105-68
Tubingenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23HBamberg99-92
15/12/23AHamburg86-94
02/12/23ACrailsheim Merlins84-87
26/11/23HOldenburg93-84
18/11/23ABasketball Braunschweig92-87 OT
12/11/23HChemnitz68-106
06/11/23HAlba Berlin81-97
29/10/23ARostock103-108 OT
21/10/23HHeidelberg84-94
07/10/23AVechta72-103
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23HMonaco80-91
20/12/23HAnadolu Efes86-71
17/12/23HUlm95-80
14/12/23AReal Madrid73-88
10/12/23ABonn86-78
08/12/23AOlympiacos69-77
05/12/23HOlimpia Milano91-84 OT
30/11/23HVirtus Bologna90-76
26/11/23AVechta85-81
23/11/23ALyon-Villeurbanne101-100 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tubingen
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW33%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game86.284.887.5
Allowed / game93.995.392.5
Point differential-7.8-10.5-5.0
Avg total180.1180.2180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %17%0%33%
Bayern
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW70%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%100%40%
Points / game87.392.082.6
Allowed / game78.578.878.2
Point differential+8.8+13.2+4.4
Avg total165.8170.8160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1211192%86.873.6+13.2
2 Ulm129375%92.189.7+2.4
3 Alba Berlin107370%93.383.8+9.5
4 Bayern107370%87.378.5+8.8
5 Wurzburg117464%82.275.6+6.5
6 Bonn138562%89.884.5+5.4
7 Ludwigsburg127558%87.579.8+7.7
8 Vechta127558%87.880.6+7.2
9 Hamburg127558%87.890.3-2.6
10 Oldenburg126650%84.882.7+2.1
11 Rostock115645%93.193.2-0.1
12 Bamberg125742%90.292.8-2.5
13 Basketball Braunschweig135838%82.388.3-6.0
14 Syntainics MBC124833%82.986.6-3.7
15 Tubingen124833%86.293.9-7.8
16 Gottingen102820%88.099.1-11.1
17 Heidelberg1221017%81.793.0-11.3
18 Crailsheim Merlins1221017%79.895.8-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tubingen1319222074
Bayern2818282296
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.