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Bayern vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 91-84 (OT)
22-25 22-14 11-13 21-24 15-8
Position#15
Record5-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game80.9
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#12
Record4-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game77.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 12· BMW Park
European cup2023
Meetings · Bayern v Olimpia Milano
21 Jan 2027
BAY v MIL
upcoming
14 Oct 2025
BAY64
MIL53
04 Feb 2025
BAY87
MIL70
05 Dec 2023
BAY91
MIL84
20 Oct 2022
BAY81
MIL83
26 Oct 2021
BAY83
MIL77
30 Apr 2021
BAY85
MIL82
28 Apr 2021
BAY85
MIL79
02 Oct 2020
BAY79
MIL81
11 Jan 2019
BAY93
MIL87
31 Oct 2014
BAY74
MIL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
68-74
68
74
-6
65avg 74
A02/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
81-83
81
83
-2
76avg 74
A05/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
90-93
90
93
-3
83avg 74
A09/11
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
L
83-88 OT
83
88
-5
no box
A12/11
BBL
Partizan
#11
W
94-85
94
85
+9
90avg 74
H15/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
73-74
73
74
-1
68avg 74
A17/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
92-84
92
84
+8
90avg 74
H19/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
94avg 74
A23/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
75avg 74
A26/11
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
90-76
90
76
+14
85avg 74
H30/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
16-21
24-20
9-21
17-22
23-22
19-20
22-19
19-17
25-29
19-25
27-22
20-20
23-12
14-26
18-17
25-32
28-19
17-12
24-22
18-25
25-16
18-21
12-12
20-11
19-16
29-32
24-25
22-18
15-22
14-20
23-14
22-21
18-18
21-13
24-29
20-28
24-18
26-20
20-10
169.5Avg total
85.7Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.080.9159.9-1.945%
Season at home (4)82.876.2159.0+6.575%
Season away (7)76.983.6160.4-6.729%
Last 10 (10)85.783.8169.5+1.950%
Last 5 (5)88.283.0171.2+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.886.2158.0-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.784.9168.6-1.240%
vs Weaker (15)83.376.7160.1+6.667%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
W
87-57
87
57
+30
83avg 78
A05/11
Lega A
Valencia
#14
W
83-52
83
52
+31
79avg 78
H09/11
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
L
68-77
68
77
-9
57avg 78
A12/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
79-86
79
86
-7
74avg 78
A14/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
92-76
92
76
+16
96avg 78
H16/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
95-72
95
72
+23
98avg 78
H19/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
93-71
93
71
+22
88avg 78
A24/11
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
L
81-86
81
86
-5
79avg 78
H26/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
70-83
70
83
-13
61avg 78
H30/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
83-89
83
89
-6
72avg 78
A03/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-8
21-20
28-11
23-18
23-12
21-19
20-8
19-13
20-21
16-20
16-21
16-15
26-21
14-24
23-20
16-21
19-18
24-21
20-22
29-15
24-16
20-12
30-18
21-26
20-19
18-20
25-17
30-15
28-19
25-20
10-29
18-18
19-18
12-23
21-18
18-24
14-20
16-21
28-24
25-24
158.0Avg total
83.1Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.477.2156.5+2.236%
Season at home (6)77.772.3150.0+5.350%
Season away (5)81.483.0164.4-1.620%
Last 10 (10)83.174.9158.0+8.250%
Last 5 (5)84.480.2164.6+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.088.0159.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.375.3154.6+4.053%
vs Weaker (11)80.776.8157.5+3.945%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.6+2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.6+2.6
BayernOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A02/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A05/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A09/11
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A12/11
BBL
Partizan
#11
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H15/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A17/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H19/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A23/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A26/11
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H30/11
Euroleague
81.7Avg total
41.8Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.482.3+1.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.140.685.7+4.657%-
Last 30 away (16)39.040.279.2-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)41.839.981.7+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.679.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.841.876.5-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.742.883.5-2.130%-
vs Weaker (15)43.738.882.5+4.960%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#15
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A05/11
Lega A
Valencia
#14
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H09/11
Euroleague
Scafati
#14
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A12/11
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H16/11
Euroleague
Venezia
#4
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H19/11
Lega A
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A24/11
Euroleague
Pistoia
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H26/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H30/11
Euroleague
Sassari
#8
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A03/12
Lega A
76.7Avg total
39.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.275.6+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.936.476.3+3.469%-
Last 30 away (14)36.738.174.9-1.429%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.276.7+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.676.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.042.084.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.438.076.4+0.447%-
vs Weaker (11)38.735.974.6+2.864%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.4
56.0%
53.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.6
36.4%
36.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.113.5
78.9%
77.4%13.5
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.2
54.3%
53.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.4
39.4%
36.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.612.3
74.1%
77.4%12.3
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWWWLWLLLL
Olimpia Milano
LLLWWWLLWW
#15
League position
#12
+5.8
Net rating
+9.1
115.2
Offensive rating
113.8
109.4
Defensive rating
104.7
55.4%
Effective FG%
56.4%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.6%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.4%
3-point %
39.4%
55.5%
Assist %
56.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.2 · 113.8Defence109.4 · 104.7Shooting55.4% · 56.4%3-point %36.4% · 39.4%Ball care16.8% · 16.6%Off. rebounds32.2% · 27.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Bayern   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayern wins
7
Olimpia Milano wins
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/23HVirtus Bologna90-76
26/11/23AVechta85-81
23/11/23ALyon-Villeurbanne101-100 OT
19/11/23HLudwigsburg92-84
17/11/23AZalgiris Kaunas73-74
15/11/23HPartizan94-85
12/11/23ABonn83-88 OT
09/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv90-93
05/11/23ABasketball Braunschweig81-83
02/11/23ACrvena zvezda68-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23ASassari83-89
30/11/23HZalgiris Kaunas70-83
26/11/23HPistoia81-86
24/11/23ACrvena zvezda93-71
19/11/23HVenezia95-72
16/11/23HAnadolu Efes92-76
14/11/23AVirtus Bologna79-86
12/11/23AScafati68-77
09/11/23HValencia83-52
05/11/23ABrindisi87-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW45%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %45%75%29%
Points / game79.082.876.9
Allowed / game80.976.283.6
Point differential-1.9+6.5-6.7
Avg total159.9159.0160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %9%0%14%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL36%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%50%20%
Points / game79.477.781.4
Allowed / game77.272.383.0
Point differential+2.2+5.3-1.6
Avg total156.5150.0164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1211192%89.175.6+13.5
2 Barcelona119282%84.277.1+7.1
3 Monaco117464%78.977.4+1.5
4 Virtus Bologna117464%83.081.7+1.3
5 Baskonia116555%83.082.3+0.7
6 Fenerbahce116555%80.981.3-0.4
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv116555%84.786.2-1.5
8 Panathinaikos126650%81.779.8+1.9
9 Olympiacos126650%78.176.3+1.8
10 Anadolu Efes126650%80.286.2-5.9
11 Partizan115645%87.587.0+0.5
12 Bayern115645%79.080.9-1.9
13 Valencia115645%73.976.9-3.0
14 Zalgiris Kaunas125742%78.680.1-1.5
15 Olimpia Milano114736%79.477.2+2.2
16 Crvena zvezda114736%82.080.1+1.9
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne112918%81.589.5-8.1
18 Alba Berlin1221017%75.785.8-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bayern222211211591
Olimpia Milano25141324884
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