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Real Madrid vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 88-73
19-23 23-14 21-20 25-16
Position#1
Record12-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game75.8
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Bayern
Position#15
Record6-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game80.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 14· WiZink Center
European cup2023
Meetings · Real Madrid v Bayern
15 Dec 2026
MAD v BAY
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
MAD93
BAY70
18 Apr 2025
MAD93
BAY71
03 Jan 2025
MAD88
BAY76
14 Dec 2023
MAD88
BAY73
06 Apr 2023
MAD79
BAY67
08 Apr 2022
MAD88
BAY97
29 Oct 2020
MAD100
BAY82
22 Feb 2019
MAD91
BAY78
05 Nov 2015
MAD101
BAY99
15 Jan 2014
MAD111
BAY87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Monaco
#3
W
91-73
91
73
+18
102avg 75
H16/11
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
84avg 75
H19/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
99-75
99
75
+24
109avg 75
H23/11
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
85-76
85
76
+9
80avg 75
H26/11
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
99-70
99
70
+29
99avg 75
A28/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
91avg 75
A30/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
91-58
91
58
+33
97avg 75
H03/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
77-71
77
71
+6
79avg 75
A05/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
W
90-78
90
78
+12
92avg 75
A07/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
97-71
97
71
+26
94avg 75
H10/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
23-19
27-11
11-23
25-26
29-13
18-27
21-33
27-17
17-16
23-18
32-24
20-16
23-17
26-26
16-17
36-21
16-20
22-15
25-14
29-16
15-21
23-22
20-28
17-19
24-9
27-12
23-18
23-19
14-17
24-21
16-14
24-23
22-22
26-10
18-23
31-14
23-23
20-16
23-18
169.2Avg total
92.1Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.275.8164.9+13.492%
Season at home (6)89.372.7162.0+16.7100%
Season away (7)89.078.4167.4+10.686%
Last 10 (10)92.177.1169.2+15.080%
Last 5 (5)90.875.6166.4+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)85.485.4170.8+0.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)90.776.2166.9+14.596%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Bonn
#7
L
83-88 OT
83
88
-5
no box
A12/11
BBL
Partizan
#11
W
94-85
94
85
+9
90avg 75
H15/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
73-74
73
74
-1
68avg 75
A17/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
92-84
92
84
+8
90avg 75
H19/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
94avg 75
A23/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
75avg 75
A26/11
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
90-76
90
76
+14
85avg 75
H30/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
91-84 OT
91
84
+7
87avg 75
H05/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
69-77
69
77
-8
65avg 75
A08/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#10
W
86-78
86
78
+8
84avg 75
A10/12
German Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
23-12
14-26
18-17
25-32
28-19
17-12
24-22
18-25
25-16
18-21
12-12
20-11
19-16
29-32
24-25
22-18
15-22
14-20
23-14
22-21
18-18
21-13
24-29
20-28
24-18
26-20
20-10
22-25
22-14
11-13
21-24
8-24
21-17
15-13
25-23
22-19
25-24
25-15
14-20
169.1Avg total
86.4Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.280.8160.0-1.746%
Season at home (5)84.477.8162.2+6.680%
Season away (8)75.982.8158.6-6.925%
Last 10 (10)86.482.7169.1+3.770%
Last 5 (5)84.279.2163.4+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)71.284.4155.6-13.20%
vs Similar (10)85.284.5169.7+0.750%
vs Weaker (14)84.575.5160.0+9.079%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.1+7.1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
Real MadridBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#3
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H16/11
Euroleague
Unicaja
#2
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H19/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H23/11
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H26/11
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A28/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A30/11
Euroleague
Breogan
#16
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H03/12
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A05/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A07/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#7
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H10/12
ACB
83.6Avg total
46.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.136.982.0+8.183%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.335.081.3+11.387%-
Last 30 away (15)43.938.982.7+5.080%-
Last 10 (10)46.836.883.6+10.0100%-
Last 5 (5)44.436.681.0+7.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)43.840.684.4+3.280%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.536.081.5+9.483%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A12/11
BBL
Partizan
#11
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H15/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A17/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H19/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A23/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A26/11
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H30/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H05/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A08/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#10
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A10/12
German Cup
81.8Avg total
41.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.182.2+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.340.285.5+5.164%-
Last 30 away (16)39.240.179.3-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.981.8+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.841.682.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.641.675.2-8.00%-
vs Similar (10)42.042.484.4-0.440%-
vs Weaker (14)44.238.482.6+5.971%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 91.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.221.3
60.5%
53.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.311.1
39.2%
36.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.516.0
86.5%
77.4%16.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.7
55.9%
53.4%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.1
37.8%
36.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws15.712.2
77.7%
77.4%12.2
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWWWLWWWLW
Bayern
WLWWWWWLWL
#1
League position
#15
+20.7
Net rating
+4.5
122.2
Offensive rating
116.1
101.4
Defensive rating
111.7
59.8%
Effective FG%
56.3%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.8%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
39.2%
3-point %
37.8%
70.7%
Assist %
50.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence122.2 · 116.1Defence101.4 · 111.7Shooting59.8% · 56.3%3-point %39.2% · 37.8%Ball care16.7% · 17.8%Off. rebounds29.9% · 35.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Real Madrid wins
1
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
06/04/23Real Madrid v Bayern79-67
13/12/22Bayern v Real Madrid64-68
08/04/22Real Madrid v Bayern88-97
05/11/21Bayern v Real Madrid76-80
15/01/21Bayern v Real Madrid76-81 OT
29/10/20Real Madrid v Bayern100-82
22/02/19Real Madrid v Bayern91-78
21/12/18Bayern v Real Madrid72-82
11/12/15Bayern v Real Madrid67-86
05/11/15Real Madrid v Bayern101-99
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23HGran Canaria97-71
07/12/23APanathinaikos90-78
05/12/23AOlympiacos77-71
03/12/23HBreogan91-58
30/11/23AFenerbahce99-100 OT
28/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv99-70
26/11/23HMoraBanc Andorra85-76
23/11/23HAlba Berlin99-75
19/11/23HUnicaja93-99
16/11/23HMonaco91-73
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/23ABonn86-78
08/12/23AOlympiacos69-77
05/12/23HOlimpia Milano91-84 OT
30/11/23HVirtus Bologna90-76
26/11/23AVechta85-81
23/11/23ALyon-Villeurbanne101-100 OT
19/11/23HLudwigsburg92-84
17/11/23AZalgiris Kaunas73-74
15/11/23HPartizan94-85
12/11/23ABonn83-88 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %92%100%86%
Points / game89.289.389.0
Allowed / game75.872.778.4
Point differential+13.4+16.7+10.6
Avg total164.9162.0167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%83%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Bayern
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL46%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %46%80%25%
Points / game79.284.475.9
Allowed / game80.877.882.8
Point differential-1.7+6.6-6.9
Avg total160.0162.2158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %15%20%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1312192%89.275.8+13.4
2 Barcelona1310377%83.877.6+6.2
3 Virtus Bologna1410471%84.681.8+2.8
4 Monaco138562%79.778.4+1.3
5 Partizan148657%87.685.4+2.1
6 Baskonia148657%82.982.9+0.1
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv148657%86.587.5-1.0
8 Olympiacos137654%78.075.8+2.2
9 Valencia137654%75.175.5-0.5
10 Anadolu Efes147750%81.987.0-5.1
11 Panathinaikos136746%81.480.5+0.8
12 Fenerbahce136746%80.881.8-1.0
13 Bayern136746%79.280.8-1.7
14 Crvena zvezda145936%82.480.3+2.1
15 Zalgiris Kaunas145936%79.181.2-2.1
16 Olimpia Milano134931%78.978.6+0.3
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne1321115%80.289.0-8.8
18 Alba Berlin1421214%76.386.5-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1923212588
Bayern2314201673
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