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Bayern vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 90-76
20-28 24-18 26-20 20-10
Position#15
Record4-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game81.4
Bayern 🏆
vs
Position#8
Record7-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game80.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 11· BMW Park
European cup2023
Meetings · Bayern v Virtus Bologna
08 Oct 2026
BAY87
VIR94
30 Oct 2025
BAY86
VIR70
17 Jan 2025
BAY72
VIR82
30 Nov 2023
BAY90
VIR76
27 Jan 2023
BAY91
VIR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
W
87-64
87
64
+23
90avg 74
H29/10
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
68-74
68
74
-6
65avg 74
A02/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
81-83
81
83
-2
76avg 74
A05/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
90-93
90
93
-3
83avg 74
A09/11
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
L
83-88 OT
83
88
-5
no box
A12/11
BBL
Partizan
#11
W
94-85
94
85
+9
90avg 74
H15/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
73-74
73
74
-1
68avg 74
A17/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
92-84
92
84
+8
90avg 74
H19/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
94avg 74
A23/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
75avg 74
A26/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
21-20
23-15
22-15
19-12
16-21
24-20
9-21
17-22
23-22
19-20
22-19
19-17
25-29
19-25
27-22
20-20
23-12
14-26
18-17
25-32
28-19
17-12
24-22
18-25
25-16
18-21
12-12
20-11
19-16
29-32
24-25
22-18
15-22
14-20
23-14
22-21
18-18
21-13
24-29
168.0Avg total
85.4Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.981.4159.3-3.540%
Season at home (3)80.376.3156.7+4.067%
Season away (7)76.983.6160.4-6.729%
Last 10 (10)85.482.6168.0+2.850%
Last 5 (5)89.084.8173.8+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.886.2158.0-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.085.9168.9-2.933%
vs Weaker (16)84.976.7161.6+8.269%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#7
W
88-75
88
75
+13
83avg 81
A30/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
93-81
93
81
+12
88avg 81
H03/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
L
83-93
83
93
-10
73avg 81
A05/11
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
74-100
74
100
-26
68avg 81
A09/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
91-77
91
77
+14
89avg 81
H11/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
86-79
86
79
+7
81avg 81
H14/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
76-90
76
90
-14
64avg 81
A17/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
88-76
88
76
+12
90avg 81
H20/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
W
87-79
87
79
+8
85avg 81
H23/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
L
75-83
75
83
-8
67avg 81
A26/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
23-6
21-20
21-27
20-18
21-27
28-17
24-19
23-21
14-25
15-25
31-22
27-26
10-27
14-15
23-32
23-16
22-19
27-12
19-30
21-26
24-14
20-23
21-16
15-21
27-24
21-17
13-28
26-20
23-24
23-19
16-13
25-27
21-17
24-14
17-21
13-24
26-16
18-30
18-13
167.4Avg total
84.1Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.780.9164.6+2.870%
Season at home (6)86.279.3165.5+6.883%
Season away (4)80.083.2163.2-3.250%
Last 10 (10)84.183.3167.4+0.860%
Last 5 (5)82.481.4163.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.082.0162.0-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.878.0158.8+2.862%
vs Weaker (12)90.377.0167.3+13.383%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
BayernVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H29/10
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A02/11
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A05/11
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A09/11
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A12/11
BBL
Partizan
#11
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H15/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A17/11
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H19/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A23/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A26/11
BBL
80.3Avg total
41.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.882.1+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.139.485.4+6.764%-
Last 30 away (16)39.040.279.2-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)41.638.780.3+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.682.0+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.841.876.5-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.342.482.8-2.133%-
vs Weaker (16)44.538.282.7+6.362%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#7
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A30/10
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H03/11
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A05/11
Lega A
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A09/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#13
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H11/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/11
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A17/11
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H20/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H23/11
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A26/11
Lega A
84.7Avg total
42.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.738.781.3+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.737.182.7+8.693%-
Last 30 away (15)39.740.379.9-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)42.742.084.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.686.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.243.887.0-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.638.378.9+2.362%-
vs Weaker (12)45.437.983.3+7.575%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.8
55.2%
53.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.5
35.3%
36.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.612.7
76.5%
77.4%12.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.1
57.7%
53.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.6
33.2%
36.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.715.3
73.9%
77.4%15.3
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWWLWLLLLW
Virtus Bologna
LWWLWWLLWW
#15
League position
#8
+2.7
Net rating
+1.1
112.3
Offensive rating
114.5
109.6
Defensive rating
113.4
54.3%
Effective FG%
54.4%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.1%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.3%
3-point %
33.2%
55.4%
Assist %
63.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 114.5Defence109.6 · 113.4Shooting54.3% · 54.4%3-point %35.3% · 33.2%Ball care16.3% · 17.1%Off. rebounds30.3% · 33.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bayern wins
1
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
27/01/23Bayern v Virtus Bologna91-84
13/10/22Virtus Bologna v Bayern66-63
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23AVechta85-81
23/11/23ALyon-Villeurbanne101-100 OT
19/11/23HLudwigsburg92-84
17/11/23AZalgiris Kaunas73-74
15/11/23HPartizan94-85
12/11/23ABonn83-88 OT
09/11/23AMaccabi Tel Aviv90-93
05/11/23ABasketball Braunschweig81-83
02/11/23ACrvena zvezda68-74
29/10/23HWurzburg87-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23ABrindisi75-83
23/11/23HFenerbahce87-79
20/11/23HBrescia88-76
17/11/23APanathinaikos76-90
14/11/23HOlimpia Milano86-79
11/11/23HTreviso91-77
09/11/23AReal Madrid74-100
05/11/23ACremona83-93
03/11/23HAnadolu Efes93-81
30/10/23ABasket Napoli88-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %40%67%29%
Points / game77.980.376.9
Allowed / game81.476.383.6
Point differential-3.5+4.0-6.7
Avg total159.3156.7160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %10%0%14%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW70%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %70%83%50%
Points / game83.786.280.0
Allowed / game80.979.383.2
Point differential+2.8+6.8-3.2
Avg total164.6165.5163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1110191%90.276.0+14.2
2 Barcelona108280%82.575.6+6.9
3 Virtus Bologna107370%83.780.9+2.8
4 Monaco117464%78.977.4+1.5
5 Panathinaikos106460%82.579.4+3.1
6 Olympiacos116555%78.776.3+2.5
7 Fenerbahce116555%80.981.3-0.4
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv116555%84.786.2-1.5
9 Baskonia105550%81.582.1-0.6
10 Valencia105550%72.974.8-1.9
11 Anadolu Efes105550%80.986.9-6.0
12 Olimpia Milano104640%80.376.6+3.7
13 Partizan104640%87.087.0+0.0
14 Zalgiris Kaunas104640%79.882.7-2.9
15 Bayern104640%77.981.4-3.5
16 Crvena zvezda103730%80.579.8+0.7
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne102820%80.488.4-8.0
18 Alba Berlin111109%76.787.9-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2024262090
Virtus Bologna2818201076
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