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Bayern vs Monaco Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 80-91
14-17 17-29 29-21 20-24
Position#15
Record7-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game80.7
Bayern
vs
Monaco 🏆
Position#3
Record8-7
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game79.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 16· BMW Park
European cup2023
Meetings · Bayern v Monaco
05 Feb 2026
BAY91
MCO82
15 Jan 2025
BAY95
MCO94
22 Dec 2023
BAY80
MCO91
31 Mar 2023
BAY81
MCO84
13 Jan 2022
BAY78
MCO83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
92-84
92
84
+8
90avg 75
H19/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
101-100 OT
101
100
+1
94avg 75
A23/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
75avg 75
A26/11
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
90-76
90
76
+14
85avg 75
H30/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
91-84 OT
91
84
+7
87avg 75
H05/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
69-77
69
77
-8
65avg 75
A08/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#10
W
86-78
86
78
+8
84avg 75
A10/12
German Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
60avg 75
A14/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
95-80
95
80
+15
89avg 75
H17/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
80avg 75
H20/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
19-16
29-32
24-25
22-18
15-22
14-20
23-14
22-21
18-18
21-13
24-29
20-28
24-18
26-20
20-10
22-25
22-14
11-13
21-24
8-24
21-17
15-13
25-23
22-19
25-24
25-15
14-20
23-19
14-23
20-21
16-25
25-17
18-28
23-18
29-17
20-17
30-24
21-18
15-12
168.7Avg total
86.8Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.280.7159.9-1.547%
Season at home (6)84.776.7161.3+8.083%
Season away (9)75.683.3158.9-7.822%
Last 10 (10)86.881.9168.7+4.980%
Last 5 (5)81.878.8160.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.585.0156.5-13.50%
vs Similar (11)85.383.3168.5+2.055%
vs Weaker (12)86.677.6164.2+9.075%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#9
W
77-75
77
75
+2
64avg 82
A24/11
Euroleague
Le Mans
#12
W
95-84
95
84
+11
93avg 82
A28/11
LNB
Olympiacos
#4
W
85-77
85
77
+8
80avg 82
H30/11
Euroleague
Paris
#2
W
84-62
84
62
+22
95avg 82
H03/12
LNB
Partizan
#11
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
75avg 82
A05/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
83-79
83
79
+4
78avg 82
A08/12
Euroleague
Le Portel
#8
W
74-67
74
67
+7
86avg 82
A10/12
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
74-86
74
86
-12
60avg 82
A15/12
Euroleague
Roanne
#17
W
116-73
116
73
+43
139avg 82
H17/12
LNB
Panathinaikos
#2
L
90-91
90
91
-1
90avg 82
H20/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
19-17
27-23
15-16
29-16
19-25
22-23
25-20
22-17
16-22
20-20
27-18
23-9
21-25
21-17
19-11
13-16
22-16
16-19
21-21
23-19
23-18
11-22
26-20
20-24
18-13
20-20
16-10
21-24
24-22
12-22
17-18
23-15
30-18
32-24
31-16
19-22
28-17
20-17
23-35
164.6Avg total
86.3Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.079.7159.7+0.353%
Season at home (7)84.180.6164.7+3.657%
Season away (8)76.479.0155.4-2.650%
Last 10 (10)86.378.3164.6+8.070%
Last 5 (5)87.479.2166.6+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.091.0164.0-18.00%
vs Similar (12)83.278.0161.2+5.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.675.7161.4+9.982%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.5+3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.5+3.5
BayernMonaco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H19/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A23/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A26/11
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H30/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H05/12
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A08/12
Euroleague
Bonn
#10
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A10/12
German Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/12
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H17/12
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H20/12
Euroleague
81.3Avg total
41.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.582.4+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.940.785.6+4.157%-
Last 30 away (16)39.340.479.7-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.381.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.483.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.241.775.8-7.50%-
vs Similar (11)42.742.385.0+0.545%-
vs Weaker (12)43.938.882.8+5.167%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#9
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A24/11
Euroleague
Le Mans
#12
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A28/11
LNB
Olympiacos
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H30/11
Euroleague
Paris
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H03/12
LNB
Partizan
#11
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A05/12
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A08/12
Euroleague
Le Portel
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A10/12
LNB
Fenerbahce
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A15/12
Euroleague
Roanne
#17
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H17/12
LNB
Panathinaikos
#2
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H20/12
Euroleague
80.3Avg total
42.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.880.3+2.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.537.781.2+5.980%-
Last 30 away (15)39.639.979.5-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)42.937.480.3+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)45.838.484.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.053.092.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (12)40.838.279.1+2.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.238.380.5+3.971%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.8
53.9%
53.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.2
37.5%
36.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.813.6
81.0%
77.4%13.6
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.3
51.4%
53.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.8
38.1%
36.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.317.6
78.9%
77.4%17.6
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWLWLWWWWW
Monaco
LWLWWLWWWW
#15
League position
#3
+6.5
Net rating
+7.8
115.3
Offensive rating
118.5
108.9
Defensive rating
110.7
54.9%
Effective FG%
53.5%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
16.1%
Turnover %
13.6%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.5%
3-point %
38.1%
54.2%
Assist %
59.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 118.5Defence108.9 · 110.7Shooting54.9% · 53.5%3-point %37.5% · 38.1%Ball care16.1% · 13.6%Off. rebounds32.5% · 31.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Bayern   ■ Monaco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bayern wins
4
Monaco wins
DateGameScore
31/03/23Bayern v Monaco81-84
25/11/22Monaco v Bayern80-79
13/01/22Bayern v Monaco78-83
12/11/21Monaco v Bayern94-71
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23HAnadolu Efes86-71
17/12/23HUlm95-80
14/12/23AReal Madrid73-88
10/12/23ABonn86-78
08/12/23AOlympiacos69-77
05/12/23HOlimpia Milano91-84 OT
30/11/23HVirtus Bologna90-76
26/11/23AVechta85-81
23/11/23ALyon-Villeurbanne101-100 OT
19/11/23HLudwigsburg92-84
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/23HPanathinaikos90-91
17/12/23HRoanne116-73
15/12/23AFenerbahce74-86
10/12/23ALe Portel74-67
08/12/23AZalgiris Kaunas83-79
05/12/23APartizan85-89 OT
03/12/23HParis84-62
30/11/23HOlympiacos85-77
28/11/23ALe Mans95-84
24/11/23ABaskonia77-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW47%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %47%83%22%
Points / game79.284.775.6
Allowed / game80.776.783.3
Point differential-1.5+8.0-7.8
Avg total159.9161.3158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %13%17%11%
Monaco
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL53%
HomeWWLWL57%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%57%50%
Points / game80.084.176.4
Allowed / game79.780.679.0
Point differential+0.3+3.6-2.6
Avg total159.7164.7155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1615194%88.174.4+13.7
2 Barcelona1611569%83.278.3+4.9
3 Virtus Bologna1611569%82.880.7+2.1
4 Partizan169756%85.884.6+1.2
5 Fenerbahce169756%81.781.1+0.6
6 Valencia169756%74.173.8+0.2
7 Baskonia169756%83.183.1+0.0
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv169756%87.087.8-0.8
9 Panathinaikos158753%82.581.2+1.3
10 Monaco158753%80.079.7+0.3
11 Olympiacos168850%76.474.4+2.0
12 Bayern157847%79.280.7-1.5
13 Anadolu Efes167944%81.186.9-5.9
14 Olimpia Milano156940%80.077.9+2.1
15 Crvena zvezda1661038%81.880.5+1.3
16 Zalgiris Kaunas1651131%79.181.4-2.3
17 Alba Berlin1631319%76.585.8-9.2
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne1621412%78.688.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1417292080
Monaco1729212491
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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