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Tubingen vs Hamburg Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 May 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 78-93
25-23 18-24 16-28 19-18
Position#18
Record6-26
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game95.5
vs
Hamburg 🏆
Germany
Position#10
Record15-17
FormLWLWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game87.1
GermanyBBLRound 33· Paul Horn Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Tubingen v Hamburg
09 May 2024
TUB78
HAM93
30 Mar 2019
TUB104
HAM100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tubingen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hamburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TubingenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTubingen
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
88-78
88
78
+10
89avg 71
H09/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
69-112
69
112
-43
60avg 71
A16/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
79-98
79
98
-19
75avg 71
H22/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
81-96
81
96
-15
76avg 71
A30/03
BBL
Rostock
#15
L
75-92
75
92
-17
69avg 71
H05/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
82-113
82
113
-31
78avg 71
A13/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
77-88
77
88
-11
68avg 71
H19/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
73-92
73
92
-19
48avg 71
A28/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
68-81
68
81
-13
64avg 71
H01/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
63-79
63
79
-16
53avg 71
A04/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
27-28
20-12
22-22
24-21
10-35
16-32
19-24
26-18
16-30
15-29
22-21
17-26
25-25
13-22
26-23
13-27
22-28
15-21
25-16
25-27
16-25
24-29
17-32
12-17
25-17
20-22
20-32
13-21
27-22
17-24
16-25
22-17
19-20
17-19
10-25
15-24
13-18
26-23
9-14
168.4Avg total
75.5Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)82.595.5178.0-12.919%
Season at home (16)83.394.8178.1-11.419%
Season away (16)81.896.2177.9-14.419%
Last 10 (10)75.592.9168.4-17.410%
Last 5 (5)72.690.6163.2-18.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)82.196.4178.5-14.319%
vs Similar (3)84.392.3176.7-8.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
80-81 OT
80
81
-1
no box
H24/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
107-76
107
76
+31
108avg 76
H27/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
65-85
65
85
-20
53avg 76
A31/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
79-83
79
83
-4
70avg 76
H08/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
80-86
80
86
-6
66avg 76
A14/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
76-84
76
84
-8
58avg 76
H17/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
89-84
89
84
+5
84avg 76
H20/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
92-107
92
107
-15
84avg 76
A28/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
94-88
94
88
+6
78avg 76
H30/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
74avg 76
H04/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
17-26
14-18
25-17
30-21
30-12
24-21
23-22
16-19
21-21
15-23
13-22
21-19
20-23
19-22
19-19
17-18
28-25
15-28
20-15
5-16
17-24
26-22
28-22
17-22
31-24
17-13
24-25
24-26
29-33
19-32
20-16
16-24
30-12
21-31
27-21
22-22
17-22
20-23
20-18
170.0Avg total
84.1Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)85.687.1172.7-1.647%
Season at home (16)84.984.9169.9+0.050%
Season away (16)86.289.3175.5-3.144%
Last 10 (10)84.185.9170.0-1.830%
Last 5 (5)86.089.6175.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.093.3174.3-12.37%
vs Similar (8)84.688.1172.8-3.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)97.085.7182.7+11.386%
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
TubingenHamburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TubingenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A16/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H22/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A30/03
BBL
Rostock
#15
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H05/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A13/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H19/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A28/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H01/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A04/05
BBL
84.8Avg total
38.6Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.946.087.9-4.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.346.389.6-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)40.545.786.1-5.220%-
Last 10 (10)38.646.284.8-7.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.441.679.0-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)41.746.488.1-4.730%-
vs Similar (3)43.342.786.0+0.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Hamburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H24/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
60-33
60
33
+27
H27/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A31/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H08/04
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A14/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H17/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H20/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A28/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H30/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H04/05
BBL
84.6Avg total
42.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.445.889.2-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.243.285.4-1.031%-
Last 30 away (14)44.748.893.5-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)42.542.184.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.645.086.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.947.387.2-7.313%-
vs Similar (8)44.945.590.4-0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)49.043.092.0+6.057%-
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tubingentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tubingen: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.8
53.6%
54.6%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.3
31.1%
35.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.914.2
79.3%
76.0%14.2
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.2
52.2%
54.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.5
29.8%
35.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws29.422.0
74.8%
76.0%22.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tubingen
LLLLLLLLLW
Hamburg
LWLWLLLLWL
#18
League position
#10
-21.4
Net rating
-4.3
100.4
Offensive rating
107.3
121.8
Defensive rating
111.6
50.8%
Effective FG%
49.1%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
19.5%
Turnover %
18.9%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.47
31.1%
3-point %
29.8%
66.3%
Assist %
52.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 107.3Defence121.8 · 111.6Shooting50.8% · 49.1%3-point %31.1% · 29.8%Ball care19.5% · 18.9%Off. rebounds23.9% · 32.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.47Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Tubingen   ■ Hamburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tubingen wins
2
Hamburg wins
DateGameScore
15/12/23Hamburg v Tubingen94-86
30/03/19Tubingen v Hamburg104-100
06/10/18Hamburg v Tubingen103-80
Tubingenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24AOldenburg63-79
01/05/24HBasketball Braunschweig68-81
28/04/24ABayern73-92
19/04/24HVechta77-88
13/04/24AChemnitz82-113
05/04/24HRostock75-92
30/03/24AWurzburg81-96
22/03/24HLudwigsburg79-98
16/03/24AAlba Berlin69-112
09/03/24HSyntainics MBC88-78
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24HChemnitz79-85
30/04/24HCrailsheim Merlins94-88
28/04/24AOldenburg92-107
20/04/24HLudwigsburg89-84
17/04/24HAlba Berlin76-84
14/04/24ABamberg80-86
08/04/24HHeidelberg79-83
31/03/24AAlba Berlin65-85
27/03/24HSyntainics MBC107-76
24/03/24HBayern80-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tubingen
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeWLLLL19%
AwayLLLLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %19%19%19%
Points / game82.583.381.8
Allowed / game95.594.896.2
Point differential-12.9-11.4-14.4
Avg total178.0178.1177.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%6%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %9%6%12%
Hamburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL47%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayWLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %47%50%44%
Points / game85.684.986.2
Allowed / game87.184.989.3
Point differential-1.6+0.0-3.1
Avg total172.7169.9175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%12%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)60% (5)100% (3)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3227584%88.676.6+12.0
2 Alba Berlin3225778%90.281.6+8.6
3 Chemnitz3325876%89.179.2+9.9
4 Wurzburg3324973%87.580.2+7.4
5 Ulm33231070%90.983.7+7.2
6 Vechta33201361%88.082.8+5.2
7 Bonn33191458%89.686.3+3.2
8 Ludwigsburg33181555%88.482.8+5.6
9 Oldenburg33171652%85.183.8+1.2
10 Hamburg32151747%85.687.1-1.6
11 Bamberg33151845%88.689.3-0.7
12 Basketball Braunschweig33151845%82.084.6-2.6
13 Gottingen32102231%85.893.0-7.2
14 Syntainics MBC32102231%85.893.3-7.4
15 Rostock3392427%87.292.8-5.7
16 Crailsheim Merlins3382524%81.292.2-11.1
17 Heidelberg3382524%82.593.8-11.3
18 Tubingen3262619%82.595.5-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tubingen2518161978
Hamburg2324281893
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