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Tubingen vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 75-92
13-27 22-28 15-21 25-16
Position#18
Record6-20
FormLWLLL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game96.5
vs
Rostock 🏆
Germany
Position#15
Record6-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game94.3
GermanyBBLRound 27· Paul Horn Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Tubingen v Rostock
05 Apr 2024
TUB75
ROS92
21 May 2022
TUB77
ROS78
27 Mar 2022
TUB109
ROS88
05 Dec 2020
TUB90
ROS96
12 Oct 2019
TUB96
ROS87
11 Jan 2019
TUB83
ROS84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tubingen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TubingenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTubingen
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
L
95-116
95
116
-21
93avg 74
H21/01
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
97-76
97
76
+21
99avg 74
A27/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
85-96
85
96
-11
81avg 74
H02/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
70-101
70
101
-31
36avg 74
A11/02
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
82-92
82
92
-10
76avg 74
H14/02
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
76-97
76
97
-21
67avg 74
A02/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
88-78
88
78
+10
89avg 74
H09/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
69-112
69
112
-43
60avg 74
A16/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
79-98
79
98
-19
75avg 74
H22/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
81-96
81
96
-15
76avg 74
A30/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
26-27
21-31
24-28
31-23
25-25
26-21
15-7
18-25
26-22
16-20
25-29
14-25
22-17
10-34
24-25
16-23
30-25
17-31
19-13
25-24
14-21
18-30
19-22
19-16
27-28
20-12
22-22
24-21
10-35
16-32
19-24
26-18
16-30
15-29
22-21
17-26
25-25
13-22
26-23
178.4Avg total
82.2Scored
96.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)84.796.5181.3-11.823%
Season at home (13)85.696.5182.2-10.923%
Season away (13)83.896.5180.4-12.723%
Last 10 (10)82.296.2178.4-14.020%
Last 5 (5)78.696.2174.8-17.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)84.897.1181.9-12.326%
vs Similar (5)79.485.6165.0-6.20%
vs Weaker (1)86.080.0166.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 79
H20/01
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
90-104 OT
90
104
-14
no box
A27/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
90-94
90
94
-4
74avg 79
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
89-105
89
105
-16
75avg 79
A10/02
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
77-92
77
92
-15
66avg 79
H14/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
102-106
102
106
-4
94avg 79
A02/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
75-76
75
76
-1
66avg 79
H10/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
86-88
86
88
-2
82avg 79
A16/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
91-98 OT
91
98
-7
no box
H22/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
64-99
64
99
-35
51avg 79
H31/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
27-23
14-22
24-23
22-20
21-25
15-21
28-20
26-23
18-26
19-19
27-26
24-29
19-29
23-25
23-22
20-21
25-24
17-25
15-22
26-26
23-27
26-30
27-23
19-27
17-15
25-10
14-24
18-22
26-17
18-12
24-37
34-20
14-19
22-27
12-16
21-20
15-25
19-24
9-30
179.5Avg total
84.2Scored
95.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)89.094.3183.2-5.324%
Season at home (14)90.394.8185.1-4.536%
Season away (11)87.393.6180.9-6.49%
Last 10 (10)84.295.3179.5-11.10%
Last 5 (5)83.693.4177.0-9.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)84.693.2177.8-8.612%
vs Similar (5)94.895.4190.2-0.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.982.0169.9+5.967%
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -9.0-9.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -4.0-4.0
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -9.0-9.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -4.0-4.0
TubingenRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TubingenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H21/01
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A27/01
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H02/02
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/02
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H14/02
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A02/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A16/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H22/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A30/03
BBL
92.1Avg total
43.5Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.645.087.6-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.446.190.5-1.638%-
Last 30 away (14)40.643.884.4-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)43.548.692.1-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)40.648.889.4-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)43.146.589.6-3.430%-
vs Similar (5)43.041.684.6+1.440%-
vs Weaker (1)41.035.076.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H20/01
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A27/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H03/02
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
43-58
43
58
-15
A10/02
BBL
Vechta
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H14/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A02/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H10/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H22/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H31/03
BBL
88.9Avg total
42.8Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.044.988.9-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.043.788.7+1.347%-
Last 30 away (13)42.746.489.1-3.731%-
Last 10 (10)42.846.188.9-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.686.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)43.147.490.5-4.225%-
vs Similar (5)47.848.696.4-0.820%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.438.381.8+5.178%-
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tubingentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tubingen: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.5
55.7%
54.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.8
39.2%
35.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.214.7
76.6%
76.0%14.7
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.3
52.2%
54.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.0
36.8%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.213.2
76.7%
76.0%13.2
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tubingen
LLLWLLLLWL
Rostock
LLLLLLLLLL
#18
League position
#15
-17.7
Net rating
-13.4
106.9
Offensive rating
109.3
124.5
Defensive rating
122.8
57.0%
Effective FG%
53.4%
61.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
21.9%
Turnover %
17.0%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.2%
3-point %
36.8%
73.9%
Assist %
58.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 109.3Defence124.5 · 122.8Shooting57.0% · 53.4%3-point %39.2% · 36.8%Ball care21.9% · 17.0%Off. rebounds25.4% · 27.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 0%
■ Tubingen   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Tubingen wins
7
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
29/10/23Rostock v Tubingen108-103 OT
21/05/22Tubingen v Rostock77-78
16/05/22Rostock v Tubingen81-73
27/03/22Tubingen v Rostock109-88
02/10/21Rostock v Tubingen83-97
17/01/21Rostock v Tubingen83-79
05/12/20Tubingen v Rostock90-96
09/02/20Rostock v Tubingen66-62
12/10/19Tubingen v Rostock96-87
11/01/19Tubingen v Rostock83-84
Tubingenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24AWurzburg81-96
22/03/24HLudwigsburg79-98
16/03/24AAlba Berlin69-112
09/03/24HSyntainics MBC88-78
02/03/24ABamberg76-97
14/02/24HBonn82-92
11/02/24AGottingen70-101
02/02/24HCrailsheim Merlins85-96
27/01/24AUlm97-76
21/01/24HGottingen95-116
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24HOldenburg64-99
22/03/24HBamberg91-98 OT
16/03/24AHeidelberg86-88
10/03/24HAlba Berlin75-76
02/03/24ASyntainics MBC102-106
14/02/24HVechta77-92
10/02/24AHamburg89-105
03/02/24HChemnitz90-94
27/01/24AGottingen90-104 OT
20/01/24HWurzburg78-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tubingen
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL23%
HomeLLLWL23%
AwayWLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %23%23%23%
Points / game84.785.683.8
Allowed / game96.596.596.5
Point differential-11.8-10.9-12.7
Avg total181.3182.2180.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %12%8%15%
Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeLLLLL36%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %24%36%9%
Points / game89.090.387.3
Allowed / game94.394.893.6
Point differential-5.3-4.5-6.4
Avg total183.2185.1180.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%7%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)50% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %20%21%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2521484%89.577.6+11.9
2 Chemnitz2621581%88.778.2+10.5
3 Alba Berlin2318578%92.082.0+10.0
4 Wurzburg2619773%86.678.8+7.8
5 Vechta2617965%89.181.7+7.4
6 Ulm2617965%91.086.3+4.7
7 Ludwigsburg26161062%88.381.3+7.0
8 Bonn26161062%90.285.7+4.5
9 Hamburg25131252%86.086.8-0.9
10 Oldenburg26121446%84.484.5-0.1
11 Basketball Braunschweig26111542%83.385.6-2.3
12 Bamberg26111542%88.190.4-2.3
13 Syntainics MBC2681831%86.092.8-6.9
14 Gottingen2681831%86.894.6-7.8
15 Rostock2561924%89.094.3-5.3
16 Tubingen2662023%84.796.5-11.8
17 Heidelberg2662023%83.095.0-12.1
18 Crailsheim Merlins2652119%79.692.5-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tubingen1322152575
Rostock2728211692
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