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Hamburg vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 80-81 (OT)
17-12 17-26 14-18 25-17 7-8
Position#10
Record12-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game87.7
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#1
Record19-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game77.3
GermanyBBLRound 22· Edel-optics.de Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Hamburg v Bayern
11 Apr 2027
HAM v BAY
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
HAM96
BAY81
20 Apr 2025
HAM74
BAY70
24 Mar 2024
HAM80
BAY81
22 Oct 2022
HAM81
BAY78
24 Apr 2022
HAM87
BAY83
27 Mar 2021
HAM91
BAY86
26 Apr 2020
HAM v BAY
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hamburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HamburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHamburg
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#8
L
80-91
80
91
-11
73avg 76
H20/01
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
L
83-114
83
114
-31
73avg 76
H24/01
Eurocup
Vechta
#6
L
71-79
71
79
-8
58avg 76
A28/01
BBL
BC Wolves
#14
L
84-94
84
94
-10
77avg 76
A30/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
73avg 76
H03/02
BBL
Venezia
#12
L
83-90
83
90
-7
79avg 76
H06/02
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
W
105-89
105
89
+16
102avg 76
H10/02
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
70-83
70
83
-13
69avg 76
A13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
81-70
81
70
+11
80avg 76
A10/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
76-96
76
96
-20
61avg 76
A17/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
14-22
22-26
23-22
22-28
23-24
17-31
21-31
23-22
18-18
13-20
17-19
20-22
21-34
22-19
21-19
18-20
25-18
21-22
16-27
20-21
15-25
28-15
20-29
29-24
29-19
25-23
22-23
21-22
15-23
12-20
22-18
18-20
25-18
15-15
23-17
15-21
23-26
19-18
19-31
170.6Avg total
81.3Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.287.7173.9-1.555%
Season at home (9)83.986.4170.3-2.656%
Season away (13)87.888.5176.4-0.754%
Last 10 (10)81.389.3170.6-8.020%
Last 5 (5)83.085.6168.6-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)82.393.9176.2-11.617%
vs Similar (6)85.086.3171.3-1.350%
vs Weaker (6)101.392.0193.3+9.3100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Ulm
#3
W
81-65
81
65
+16
77avg 78
H18/02
German Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
86-74
86
74
+12
95avg 78
H28/02
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
74-66
74
66
+8
72avg 78
H01/03
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
90-81
90
81
+9
90avg 78
H03/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
86-109
86
109
-23
81avg 78
A07/03
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
no box
H10/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
64-58
64
58
+6
61avg 78
H15/03
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
77-71
77
71
+6
72avg 78
A17/03
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
68-70
68
70
-2
61avg 78
A20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 78
H22/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-18
26-10
24-19
22-18
29-21
17-17
22-23
18-13
20-19
12-8
21-19
21-20
25-15
31-21
22-22
12-23
28-26
21-27
16-35
21-21
24-21
32-19
14-18
10-22
18-10
15-11
17-16
14-21
13-23
19-23
22-11
23-14
15-28
22-17
19-12
12-13
21-22
14-26
27-15
12-26
156.1Avg total
78.8Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)89.477.3166.8+12.183%
Season at home (13)90.676.8167.5+13.892%
Season away (10)87.978.0165.9+9.970%
Last 10 (10)78.877.3156.1+1.560%
Last 5 (5)74.275.6149.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.088.8165.8-11.80%
vs Similar (12)79.380.3159.7-1.058%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.573.8163.3+15.793%
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -2.6-2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -2.6-2.6
HamburgBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HamburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H20/01
BBL
Cedevita Olimpija
#20
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H24/01
Eurocup
Vechta
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A28/01
BBL
BC Wolves
#14
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A30/01
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H03/02
BBL
Venezia
#12
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H06/02
Eurocup
Rostock
#15
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H10/02
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A13/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A10/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A17/03
BBL
86.3Avg total
41.5Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.046.989.9-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.845.587.2-3.731%-
Last 30 away (17)43.947.991.9-4.035%-
Last 10 (10)41.544.886.3-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)42.043.885.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)41.448.189.6-6.722%-
vs Similar (6)42.743.085.7-0.350%-
vs Weaker (6)48.047.095.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H18/02
German Cup
Gottingen
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H28/02
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H01/03
Euroleague
Bonn
#7
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H03/03
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A07/03
Euroleague
Vechta
#6
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H10/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H15/03
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A17/03
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H22/03
Euroleague
79.3Avg total
41.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.081.3+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.938.079.9+3.971%-
Last 30 away (13)42.940.283.2+2.754%-
Last 10 (10)41.138.279.3+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.078.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.041.578.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (12)38.841.280.0-2.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.936.383.2+10.693%-
This opponent (Hamburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hamburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hamburg: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.820.3
58.3%
54.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.3
35.0%
35.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.315.0
73.9%
76.0%15.0
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.118.5
59.5%
54.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.2
33.2%
35.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.212.9
79.6%
76.0%12.9
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hamburg
LWLWLLLLLL
Bayern
LLWWLLWWWW
#10
League position
#1
-10.2
Net rating
+5.7
107.6
Offensive rating
110.2
117.7
Defensive rating
104.5
56.0%
Effective FG%
54.9%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
22.7%
Turnover %
18.8%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.0%
3-point %
33.2%
56.6%
Assist %
65.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 110.2Defence117.7 · 104.5Shooting56.0% · 54.9%3-point %35.0% · 33.2%Ball care22.7% · 18.8%Off. rebounds32.3% · 28.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Hamburg   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Hamburg wins
4
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
08/10/23Bayern v Hamburg90-79
14/02/23Bayern v Hamburg70-89
22/10/22Hamburg v Bayern81-78 OT
24/04/22Hamburg v Bayern87-83
02/03/22Bayern v Hamburg86-75
27/03/21Hamburg v Bayern91-86 OT
17/01/21Bayern v Hamburg85-71
30/09/19Bayern v Hamburg111-55
Hamburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24AWurzburg76-96
10/03/24ABasketball Braunschweig81-70
13/02/24AUlm70-83
10/02/24HRostock105-89
06/02/24HVenezia83-90
03/02/24HBonn80-87
30/01/24ABC Wolves84-94
28/01/24AVechta71-79
24/01/24HCedevita Olimpija83-114
20/01/24HOldenburg80-91
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv74-89
20/03/24AValencia68-70
17/03/24AGottingen77-71
15/03/24HZalgiris Kaunas64-58
10/03/24HVechta88-90 OT
07/03/24AAnadolu Efes86-109
03/03/24HBonn90-81
01/03/24HCrvena zvezda74-66
28/02/24HGottingen86-74
18/02/24HUlm81-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hamburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL55%
HomeWWLLW56%
AwayWLLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22913
Win %55%56%54%
Points / game86.283.987.8
Allowed / game87.786.488.5
Point differential-1.5-2.6-0.7
Avg total173.9170.3176.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%11%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Bayern
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayWWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %83%92%70%
Points / game89.490.687.9
Allowed / game77.376.878.0
Point differential+12.1+13.8+9.9
Avg total166.8167.5165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%62%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %9%8%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz2420483%88.177.2+10.9
2 Bayern2319483%89.477.3+12.1
3 Alba Berlin2116576%92.883.0+9.8
4 Wurzburg2518772%86.278.7+7.5
5 Vechta2416867%89.581.9+7.6
6 Ludwigsburg2516964%89.580.8+8.6
7 Ulm2516964%90.987.4+3.5
8 Bonn24141058%90.286.1+4.1
9 Hamburg22121055%86.287.7-1.5
10 Oldenburg24111346%83.884.7-1.0
11 Basketball Braunschweig24111346%83.985.8-1.9
12 Bamberg25111444%88.490.1-1.7
13 Syntainics MBC2481633%86.091.5-5.5
14 Gottingen2571828%87.295.4-8.2
15 Rostock2461825%90.094.1-4.1
16 Tubingen2561924%84.996.6-11.7
17 Heidelberg2552020%82.795.4-12.7
18 Crailsheim Merlins2552020%79.492.6-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Hamburg17171425780
Bayern12261817881
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