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Rostock vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 90-94
26-23 18-26 19-19 27-26
Position#15
Record6-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game94.1
Rostock
Germany
vs
Chemnitz 🏆
Germany
Position#3
Record15-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game75.4
GermanyBBLRound 19· Stadthalle Rostock
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Rostock v Chemnitz
11 Apr 2027
ROS v CHE
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
ROS73
CHE78
27 Oct 2024
ROS60
CHE68
03 Feb 2024
ROS90
CHE94
18 Jan 2023
ROS81
CHE96
29 Dec 2019
ROS91
CHE101
28 Oct 2018
ROS76
CHE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
W
96-92
96
92
+4
90avg 78
H25/11
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
83-93
83
93
-10
81avg 78
A28/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
107-89
107
89
+18
109avg 78
A03/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
101-78
101
78
+23
97avg 78
H17/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
98-92
98
92
+6
101avg 78
H26/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
no box
A30/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
85-91
85
91
-6
79avg 78
H07/01
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
94-111
94
111
-17
94avg 78
H13/01
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 78
H20/01
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
90-104 OT
90
104
-14
no box
A27/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
25-23
26-20
25-22
27-24
6-25
24-21
26-23
28-18
27-34
29-18
23-19
32-16
20-26
23-15
26-21
30-24
21-27
19-22
28-19
16-13
24-21
25-21
13-23
16-27
23-24
18-16
28-24
20-26
37-26
13-36
24-23
13-23
27-23
14-22
24-23
22-20
21-25
15-21
28-20
183.9Avg total
91.3Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)91.294.1185.2-2.935%
Season at home (9)96.396.4192.8-0.156%
Season away (8)85.491.4176.8-6.012%
Last 10 (10)91.392.6183.9-1.340%
Last 5 (5)85.696.4182.0-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)86.295.2181.5-9.023%
vs Similar (4)93.092.8185.8+0.250%
vs Weaker (12)92.382.5174.8+9.875%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
W
81-80
81
80
+1
73avg 80
A20/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
95-67
95
67
+28
95avg 80
H26/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
90-101
90
101
-11
81avg 80
A31/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
85-66
85
66
+19
81avg 80
H06/01
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
88-58
88
58
+30
97avg 80
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
W
85-77
85
77
+8
84avg 80
A12/01
BBL
CSM Oradea
#17
W
101-98 OT
101
98
+3
94avg 80
H17/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
63avg 80
H21/01
BBL
Varese
#7
L
78-90
78
90
-12
67avg 80
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
99-77
99
77
+22
76avg 80
A27/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
19-17
22-17
20-23
26-26
22-14
29-9
18-18
19-34
26-26
25-20
20-21
14-16
24-14
15-16
32-20
17-13
27-7
24-20
20-18
18-18
20-21
20-10
27-28
23-18
28-22
19-23
19-26
25-23
19-15
16-25
13-23
21-25
16-20
20-18
21-27
21-20
28-19
29-7
21-31
167.5Avg total
87.5Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)87.175.4162.5+11.783%
Season at home (9)87.473.0160.4+14.489%
Season away (9)86.877.8164.6+9.078%
Last 10 (10)87.580.0167.5+7.570%
Last 5 (5)87.285.6172.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)81.389.0170.3-7.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)89.672.7162.4+16.993%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.4-2.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.4-2.4
RostockChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H25/11
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A28/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A03/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H17/12
BBL
Bonn
#7
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H26/12
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A30/12
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H07/01
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H13/01
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H20/01
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A27/01
BBL
92.7Avg total
45.5Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.443.787.2-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.942.688.5+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)41.044.985.9-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)45.547.292.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.689.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)42.748.290.8-5.531%-
vs Similar (4)47.547.595.0+0.025%-
vs Weaker (12)43.237.881.1+5.467%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A20/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H26/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A31/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H06/01
BBL
Leiden
#14
W
44-20
44
20
+24
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bonn
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/01
BBL
CSM Oradea
#17
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H17/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H21/01
BBL
Varese
#7
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Heidelberg
#16
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A27/01
BBL
82.4Avg total
43.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.836.279.9+7.673%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.836.282.0+9.688%-
Last 30 away (14)41.436.177.6+5.357%-
Last 10 (10)43.339.182.4+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)43.840.284.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)42.746.088.7-3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.935.179.0+8.878%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 89.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.4
54.4%
54.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.711.3
42.3%
35.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws18.915.0
79.4%
76.0%15.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.4
55.7%
54.6%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.5
34.1%
35.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.816.4
71.9%
76.0%16.4
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rostock
LLLLLWWWLW
Chemnitz
WLLWWWWLWW
#15
League position
#3
+0.8
Net rating
+9.6
120.1
Offensive rating
111.5
119.3
Defensive rating
101.8
58.2%
Effective FG%
54.0%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
16.1%
Turnover %
20.1%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
42.3%
3-point %
34.1%
67.5%
Assist %
69.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence120.1 · 111.5Defence119.3 · 101.8Shooting58.2% · 54.0%3-point %42.3% · 34.1%Ball care16.1% · 20.1%Off. rebounds29.8% · 36.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Rostock   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rostock wins
5
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
17/11/23Chemnitz v Rostock85-75
02/04/23Chemnitz v Rostock69-71
18/01/23Rostock v Chemnitz81-96
15/02/20Chemnitz v Rostock109-82
29/12/19Rostock v Chemnitz91-101
22/12/18Chemnitz v Rostock68-88
28/10/18Rostock v Chemnitz76-87
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24AGottingen90-104 OT
20/01/24HWurzburg78-91
13/01/24HHamburg94-111
07/01/24HBayern85-91
30/12/23AVechta81-85 OT
26/12/23HBonn98-92
17/12/23HBasketball Braunschweig101-78
03/12/23AUlm107-89
28/11/23ABamberg83-93
25/11/23HGottingen96-92
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24AHeidelberg99-77
24/01/24AVarese78-90
21/01/24HBayern73-86
17/01/24HCSM Oradea101-98 OT
12/01/24ABonn85-77
10/01/24ALeiden88-58
06/01/24HLudwigsburg85-66
31/12/23AAlba Berlin90-101
26/12/23HCrailsheim Merlins95-67
20/12/23AVechta81-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeWWLLL56%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%56%12%
Points / game91.296.385.4
Allowed / game94.196.491.4
Point differential-2.9-0.1-6.0
Avg total185.2192.8176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %24%22%25%
Chemnitz
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW83%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayWWLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %83%89%78%
Points / game87.187.486.8
Allowed / game75.473.077.8
Point differential+11.7+14.4+9.0
Avg total162.5160.4164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1815383%87.175.4+11.7
2 Bayern1613381%88.676.5+12.1
3 Ulm1813572%92.488.5+3.9
4 Wurzburg1712571%83.978.4+5.5
5 Vechta1812667%89.480.4+9.0
6 Alba Berlin1510567%91.484.7+6.7
7 Ludwigsburg1811761%88.480.1+8.4
8 Hamburg1710759%87.488.5-1.1
9 Bonn1911858%90.585.5+5.0
10 Oldenburg189950%85.985.4+0.5
11 Basketball Braunschweig1981142%83.186.6-3.5
12 Rostock1761135%91.294.1-2.9
13 Bamberg1861233%87.190.4-3.3
14 Syntainics MBC1861233%85.488.9-3.6
15 Gottingen1651131%91.9100.1-8.2
16 Tubingen1951426%87.396.6-9.4
17 Crailsheim Merlins1941521%79.193.6-14.5
18 Heidelberg1831517%81.895.4-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rostock2618192790
Chemnitz2326192694
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